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Shuffling the PS

The roster shuffling continued all the way down to the practice squad. Out are Mike Hartline – a quarterback who really needs time to develop, which the Colts don’t have – and linebacker Caleb Campbell – the soldier everyone wanted to see succeed. And in are Cal wide receiver Jeremy Ross and guard Matt Murphy.

The book on Ross is that he’s a great athlete who really hasn’t translated it to the field. The primary culprits are his hands (he’s a double catcher) and, to little surprise, his routes. More impressive, though, are his skills as a returner, which may come into use now that Joe Lefeged may be starting at safety. His career numbers at Cal were 57-764-3 (13.41) receiving, 25-201-2 (8.04) rushing, 41-851-0 (20.76) kick returns and 31-471-1 (15.19) punt returns. Signed by the Patriots, he looked overwhelmed as a receiver (2-6-0 on five targets), but pretty good returning kicks (3-68-0) and especially punts (4-37-0 with no fair catches). The kid can obviously run and jump, but can he catch?

His numbers (all from his pro day):

Height: 5117, Weight: 209, 10-yard dash: 1.50, 20-yard dash: 2.53, 40-yard dash: 4.44, Bench press: 22pd, Vertical jump: 39.0, High jump: 9’7, 20-yard shuttle: 4.19, 3-cone drill: 7.20

Nice kid, well spoken, has a degree from Cal.

Murphy was a four-year left tackle and team captain at UNLV and had athleticism a lot of teams liked but didn’t draft. Short for the position, most teams projected him inside at guard or perhaps even center. He signed with the Falcons, but didn’t show enough as a run blocker to make the team. With solid technique, he could develop into a player – he certainly has the drive. But he could stand to add more muscle.

His numbers (all from his pro day):

Height: 6037, Weight: 304, 10-yard dash: 1.82, 20-yard dash: 3.00, 40-yard dash: 5.14, Bench press: 25pd, Vertical jump: 33.0, High jump: 9’4, 20-yard shuttle: 4.73, 3-cone drill: 7.56

Three out, three in ... wait, Tryon?

Okay, so we have Gary Brackett, Melvin Bullitt and Justin Tryon out, while Dan Orlovsky, AJ Edds and Jermale Hines are all in. I already spoke about Orlovsky, so here’s some info on Edds and Hines.

Lots of people were excited about Edds before the 2010 draft after a great career alongside Pat Angerer at Iowa, saying he looked like a potential starter down the road. But it didn’t work out with either the Dolphins, who picked him in the fourth round but gave up on him, or the Patriots. Edds didn’t play badly, just wasn’t spectacular.

Granted, both the Fish and the Pats ask their outside linebackers than the Colts do, but Edds needs significant improvement at play recognition before he can play for anyone on defense in the NFL. Right now, he’s an extra body/special teamer, but he could start showing up on defense if injuries mount.

His combine/pro day numbers:

Height: 6035, Weight: 246, 10-yard dash: 1.60c/1.63pd, 20-yard dash: 2.64c/2.75pd, 40-yard dash: 4.62c/4.67pd, Bench press: 16c/18pd, Vertical jump: 33.0c/35.5pd, High jump: 9’9c/10’0pd, 20-yard shuttle: 4.28c/4.41pd, 3-cone drill: 7.19c/7.40pd

Also to note – Edds is a Greenwood, Indiana, native and pronounces his last name as though it rhymes with “seeds.”

Hines played both free and strong safety at the Ohio State University and was a fifth-round pick of the Rams. They cut him after he failed to play a down in their first three games. The book on him is that he’s very Bullitt-like, playing more like a linebacker than a true safety. He’s not quick in zone coverage and just not at all suited to man. That makes me think he’s headed toward special teams and not much more.

His combine/pro day numbers (which are remarkably similar to Edds’):

Height: 6011, Weight: 219, 10-yard dash: 1.62c/1.56pd, 20-yard dash: 2.63c/2.63pd, 40-yard dash: 4.61c/4.59pd, Bench press: 19c/--pd, Vertical jump: 31.0c/--pd, High jump: --c/9’6pd, 20-yard shuttle: 4.21c/--pd, 3-cone drill: 6.90c/--pd

Brackett and Bullitt went IR for obvious reasons. Brackett’s effectiveness has been flagging in recent years and the Colts are set and satisfied with Angerer as their Mike for years to come. With a contract calling for $5 million next year and $6.6 million for 2013 and again in 2014, I think it’s safe to say we have seen the last of the man from Rutgers in a Colts’ uniform. Bullitt demanded a long-term contract in the offseason, got a three-year deal, played very poorly and could also be done in Indy. I don’t have the details of his contract handy, but I’m pretty sure cutting him after the season would not cripple the team.

As for Tryon, who knows? He didn’t make much money, played well when he got a chance and they traded to get him in the first place. There’s a Twitter controversy brewing, but it’s all just so much political-speak, I can’t be bothered to follow it. I think his absence weakens the team – unless there’s something we’re not being told.

Oh, and Bob Sanders is on IR again. Looks like he's about done.

With Joe Pisarcik retired, Colts settle for Dan Orlovsky

It’s not too surprising the Colts re-signed Dan Orlovsky in the wake of Kerry Collins’ injury, but what I found interesting was the fact that they made him compete against ex-Chief Brodie Croyle for the contract. Croyle is definitely a better pure passer than Orlovsky and probably a more able field general, but his Bob Sanders-like history of injuries and abject unfamiliarity with the Colts’ offense would seem to make his a very, very long shot at best. It doesn’t show much confidence in Dan the Would-be Man.

But why should they have much confidence in him? Weak-armed (though generally accurate on short passes), Orlovsky is not a quick decision maker, can’t make time for himself in the pocket and doesn’t seem to inspire his teammates. Kicking around the league since 2005, Orlovsky has played in 13 games, starting seven and recording a perfect 0-7 record. His actual passing stats haven’t been terrible (272-150-1,679-8-8/71.2), but that has been inflated by throwing mainly safe, short and ultimately ineffective passes. Do I even have to bring up the Jaren Allen incident?

In preseason, the Colts gave Orlovsky every opportunity to wrest the pseudo-starting job away from Curtis Painter. But in 54 attempts, he completed just 25 and played so well they signed Collins, named Painter the No. 2 guy and stashed young Brian Hartline (no great shakes as a prospect himself) on the practice squad, letting Orlovsky walk.

Kind of makes you wonder what Nate Davis is up to these days.

Some thoughts after the Steelers game

• Yes, Curtis Painter did look marginally better than Kerry Collins. But that’s like comparing sewage systems in war-torn developing nations. Jim Irsay said not to expect to see Peyton Manning this season; then clarified, tweeting that he’s still holding out hope and that’s why Manning’s not on the IR. I’d like to reiterate my opinion that he should be on the retired list.

• Against the Steelers was the best I have ever seen Joseph Addai play. He did his best to pull the offense behind him, and nearly pulled out a win. Of course, he still didn’t break anything longer than 11 yards and wasn’t really part of the passing game. But I did notice that they used him on short yardage, which is sort of an anti-endorsement for Delone Carter, who was supposed to take that role. Still no carries for Godamnit Donald, but he did look awful on special teams, if that counts.

• Did you see how Pierre Garçon clicked with Painter once he came in? I thought it was interesting that Reggie Wayne was a big Painter supporter earlier, and now it seems Garçon is on board as well. Austin Collie still doesn’t look back to normal to me. The tight ends looked great as blockers, less so as receivers.

• I thought the o-line improved. The Steelers threw everything at them and they did a decent job in pass pro. And they are much better than last year’s unit at run blocking. Look at it this way, Anthony Castonzo can learn to be a better pass blocker, but Charlie Johnson and Co. will never get more sand in their pants as run blockers. I certainly don’t miss Kyle DeVan, who was pressed into started duty for the Eagles against the Giants and looked totally overwhelmed. When it came to the Steelers game, veteran center Jeff Saturday – that master of leverage and angles – in particular looked like a monster. And he was facing Casey Hampton.

• Maybe it was because he was facing Jonathan Scott, but Dwight Freeney looked phenomenal. And Robert Mathis also had a good day as a rusher, facing rookie Marcus Gilbert. I just hope that stupid mega-stunt is put to rest. It takes far too long to develop. The rest of the D-line? Drake Nevis looked quick, but not all that strong. Eric Foster did nothing good that I noticed. Props to Jamaal Anderson for breaking tackles, though. He looked like a tight end.

• Love, love, love Pat Angerer. He still falls for even the simplest offensive rouses, but is everywhere and knows how to tackle. I have to praise his pal Kavell Conner as well. I’ve always liked him as a chase guy, but he showed a little forward momentum against the Steelers as well. If only his coverage would improve. Some Colts fans think he’s just keeping the seat warm until Ernie Sims comes back from injury, but I’m not sure if Sims would be an upgrade. From what I've seen, he's more name than game.

• As is well known, David Caldwell was horribly burned on Mike Wallace’s long TD, and really didn’t look all that good in any aspect of the game. He started in place of injured safety Melvin Bullitt, but was outplayed by rookie free agent Joe Lefeged, who has also earned a spot as the team’s primary kick returner. Still not sure why Justin Tryon and Kevin Thomas are not playing.

• Pat McAfee has ridiculous leg power, ridiculous.

Another in our rare and occasional installments of ColtPlay

You have probably noticed that I take long hiatuses from ColtPlay for time to time. There are three primary reasons for this: a) As a full-time dad, author and freelancer, I’m a busy guy and can’t devote too much time to things that don’t help the kids, sell books or make money; b) the other Colts-related blogs (like StampedeBlue) do a great job of coverage; and c) the Bill Polian-Peyton Manning Colts have been kind of boring to talk about. The lockout certainly didn’t help, either.

But now that the players are back and the Colts suck and Manning is out and Polian is under fire, I may just tap out a few more words.

Here are some things I think:

• Manning should retire. Football is football, your neck is your neck. It’s not worth risking life in a wheelchair for another Super Bowl. I know every NFL player does that on every play, but their risk is actually statistically quite slight. Manning’s isn’t any longer.

• Of course Anthony Castonzo is having trouble with speed rushers. He is a rookie who had his learning curve disrupted by the lockout. I still think he blossoms into a top-of-the-line left tackle. Jeff Linkenbach on the other side is a different story.

• Austin Collie had the best hands in the NFL before his concussion problems. This year, he has caught three of the 13 passes headed his way. Sure, Kerry Collins is no Manning, but 23.07 percent is ridiculous compared to his previous standards.

• Newcomer of the year so far? Jamaal Anderson. The former first rounder who couldn’t catch a break in Atlanta is looking very much like a solid two-way defender for the Colts.

• I’m not sure Gary Brackett is the Colts’ best middle linebacker anymore.

• Melvin Bullitt is awful in coverage – why am I the only Colts fan who can admit that?

• Stevie Brown, the latest signee, is a box safety with limited coverage skills. Just like Bullitt. They cut rookie halfback Darren Evans to sign him. Evans was inactive for both of the first two games and now finds himself on the practice squad.

Crystal ballin'

My guesses at who’ll start at which positions for the Colts on opening day in 2011. That is, if the season ever starts (and, of course, barring injury).

QB Peyton Manning

Sure he’s a free agent. And I’m a soccer fan.

RB Joseph Addai

But he’s just keeping the seat warm; Delone Carter will take over as the lead back before too long

WR1/SE Reggie Wayne

Reports of his demise have been greatly exaggerated

WR2/FL Pierre Garçon

Should bounce back after mildly disappointing 2010 season

WR3/SB Austin Collie

If he’s healthy he’s a major weapon – if not, look for Blair White to leapfrog Anthony Gonzalez for this spot

TE Dallas Clark

No question, even though Jacob Tamme was very impressive filling in last season

H-B/FB Brody Eldridge

I’m sure lots of people would like to see Tamme here, but with all the questions on the offensive line, the team needs blocking more than yet another short- to medium-range receiver

LT Anthony Castonzo

He’s everything you think he is, but rookie tackles almost always struggle at first

LG Charlie Johnson

Back at his natural position, Charlie helps out Castonzo

C Jeff Saturday

One last hurrah before this position turns to chaos

RG Ben Ijalana

This could just be an audition for his future at tackle, or it could be his home in the NFL

RT Jeff Linkenbach (above)

Forget his horrible games at guard, he graded out as the Colts’ best tackle in 2010 in my book

RDE Dwight Freeney

Doesn’t appear to be slowing down

RDT Drake Nevis

Going out on a limb here as it usually takes rookie defensive tackles a while to get their feet wet, but the Colts seem fed up with the alternatives – Anthony Johnson, Daniel Muir and Eric Foster

LDT Fili Moala

Looks like he gets it after a pretty good second season

LDE Robert Mathis

See RDE

RLB Clint Session

This spot is conditional; even if Session re-signs, he’ll have to fight off hard-charging soph Kavell Conner

MLB Gary Brackett

One more season before he makes way for Pat Angerer

LLB Pat Angerer

The future in the middle is too good to keep off the field now

RCB Jerraud Powers

A proven commodity

LCB Kelvin Hayden

Gets No. 1 spot on rep, previous seasons but could find himself in trouble if he falters or gets hurt

3rdCB Justin Tryon

Excellent but undersized cover man should excel against slots

SS Melvin Bullitt

He’s not the obvious answer everyone thinks he is – even if he re-signs, he’ll have to fight off youngsters David Caldwell and Brandon King

FS Antoine Bethea

Ever the stalwart

Armyoftwoairsoft said: “Moore always reminded me of the grand old guy who everybody loved too much to tell that he was repeating the same stories. Peyton has absorbed all of Moore’s offense and will have enough clout to keep the parts that he likes. Time for some new ideas.”

I could not agree more.

Mrcrayz888 said: ‘Moore’s offense hasn't been able to operate effectively in the past few years because of a lack of running game threat and a lack of a down-field threat (Harrison's fall off, Garçon’s shoddy hands, lack of pass pro time). Hopefully, with increased talent along the O-line we’ll see some of that come back. Got a few ideas of possible write-ups since we’re in lock-out mode. Love your analysis! Mike Pollak – chances he’s a better NFL OC than he's been at OG? Jacques McClendon – chances he challenges for a starting OG spot this season, or did that go out the window with the drafting of Ijalana? Jaimie Thomas – in the mix at OG or failed project? Joe Reitz – activated late because they believe in his talent or just cause they wanted another healthy OT (even though Link and Toudouze clearly were there for a reason)?”

1) Pollak at center? Yeah, that was his college position, but he has not shown enough functional strength to be a player at any o-line position. Maybe we’ll see something this season, but it looks like the clock is running out on him.

2) Ijalana’s presence certainly makes things tougher for McClendon et al, but don’t count him out. He played fairly well as a short-yardage tight end last season. The problem with McClendon is that he’s slow footed and may never be an NFL quality pass blocker at any position. Ijalana is a rookie from a relatively small school and only ever played tackle in college. If he’s not ready, and Charlie isn’t signed it’s not out of the question McClendon could have a bigger role – even as a short-term starter.

3) Thomas is a very similar player to McClendon, maybe a bit quicker but not as strong. He’s farther back experience-wise, though, so it’ll be harder for him to make a starting bid.

4) Bit of both with Reitz. They needed any warm body at OT, but they also liked him, having scouted him before the draft. He’s an athlete to be sure, but is he a football player? That remains to be seen, but it’ll be fun to watch him in camp.

No Moore of that guy

Readers of ColtPlay and my previous Colt-oriented spoutings-off will know I’ve never been aTom Moore guy. I always found his offenses predictable, archaic and prone to break down in pressure situations. The fact is, the Colts rode Peyton Manning’s right arm since the day he pulled a jersey over his head and in all likelihood would have put up similar, if not better, numbers in any modern(-ish) offensive scheme.

People say Moore is a great guy; I don’t doubt it, and I wish him the best. But I’m also glad there’s a chance that the new offensive co-ordinator will tailor the attack to his personnel better, adjust when unforeseen circumstances (like Manning’s aching bursa sac or Tony Ugoh’s abject, almost historic, failure at left tackle) affect the personnel, bring some unpredictability to the attack and have a short-yardage and goal-line package that doesn’t look like Mouse Davis’Rick Astley-era run-and-shoot.

Clyde Christensen is his replacement. I mean, Christensen was officially the OC in 2010, but it was still Moore’s offense. Expect changes to be slight again this year as the Colts take great pride in continuity and have no desire to alienate their veterans with a whole new system.

Christenson’s only other experience as the top offensive guy happened in 2001 when he was OC under Tony Dungy in Tampa. The Bucs went 9-7 and had the 15th-ranked offense. It was kind of a hard-luck season with a past-his-prime "bad" Brad Johnson (who was never that great anyway) at quarterback. Halfback Warrick Dunn suffered an injury that robbed him, and the running game, of any quickness. But Christensen, to his credit, did adjust his offense to exploit the talents of Mike Alstott, an altogether very different back, going 7-4 after a 2-3 start. Although the Bucs went 12-4 and won the Super Bowl the next season under Jon Gruden’s staff, it should be noted that the offense (under Bill Muir, who was at one point a Coltsdefensive coordinator) actually fell statistically and finished 18th in the league.

It was an offense that would not be unfamiliar to Colts fans with many multiple-receiver and two-tight end formations, but it was also one that saw the use of an actually fullback (Jameel Cook, memba him?) and the odd trick play.

So what do I see in 2011? More of the same basic Moore-style offense, but perhaps an added ability to bring different looks in situations that require them, and maybe a surprise or two.

***

So Drake Nevis says he weighs 308. Great. But don’t expect him to play any differently than he did at LSU. And the same reasons he was 294 at the Combine will make him 294 on game day. Heck, I thought he’d be closer to 285.

***

Ben Ijalana said that the Colts spoke with him about playing guard as a rookie. Many would assume that it means they will be giving Ryan Diem one last shot, so that the Colts would in all likelihood line up Diem-Ijalana-Saturday-Charlie-Castonzo to make a veteran-rookie sandwich. Believe all the hype about Castonzo, but he’ll need help as a rookie (they all do), so expect to seeBrody Eldridge play a lot of snaps, particularly as the big rook gets his feet wet.

But it may not actually be Diem on the right side. Jeff Linkenbach had some tough times as a rookie last year – particularly when he started at right guard against the Bengals in Week 10 – but when he played tackle, he did not do badly at all. I’d direct all doubters to Week 14 against the Titans when he started at left tackle and played much better than Charlie ever did at that position, and especially the Wild Card loss to the Jets. You may not want to look at the game tape again, but in that game, Linkenbach started at right tackle and, for my money, graded out as the Colts best o-lineman.

***

Chris Rucker is staying at corner. I thought so.

Is there a safety in these numbers?

Every Colts fan can recall the horror they felt when they saw Aaron Francisco run out there to start the playoff game against the Jets. It’s unlikely that will ever occur again, but who will be the Colts’ strong safety next season? Bob Sanders is a Charger, Melvin Bullitt is unsigned, Jamie Silva is unsigned and on crutches and the draft didn’t bring in any obvious contenders. Here’s a look at the men who would be the Colts’ strong safety.

23 Al Afalava

Height: 5107, weight: 207, 40-yard dash: 4.47, 20-yard dash: 2.57, 10-yard dash: 1.52, Bench press: 25, vertical jump: 40, long jump: 10’5, shuttle: 4.07, three-cone: 6.60

2010 stats: 3 special-teams tackles, 1 special-teams assist in four games with the Colts

Comments: A former sixth-round draft pick of the Bears, Afalava started a few games there but was cut and became a Colt. Considered a big run stopper who has problems with coverage, he is better known as a special teamer than a safety.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?: Yes

Contract status: Unsigned

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Slim

30 David Caldwell

Height: 5105, weight: 212, 40-yard dash: 4.58, 20-yard dash: 2.60, 10-yard dash: 1.52, Bench press: 24, vertical jump: 39 1/2, long jump: 10’10, shuttle: 4.07, three-cone: 6.69

2010 stats: None (no preseason stats)

Comments: This promising small school prospect missed his entire rookie season to injury. He certainly has the athleticism to make noise at the position, and his college production was phenomenal.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?: No

Contract status: Signed through 2012

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Not bad

33 Melvin Bullitt

Height: 6011, weight: 201, 40-yard dash: 4.48, 20-yard dash: 2.55, 10-yard dash: 1.50, Bench press: 15, vertical jump: 40 1/2, long jump: 10’5, shuttle: 3.97, three-cone: 6.90

2010 stats: 10 tackles, 3 assists, 1 special-teams tackle, 1-0-0 interception, 1 pass defensed, 1 special-teams assist in four games/three starts with the Colts

Comments: A former college linebacker and undrafted free agent, Bullitt has been pressed into starting duty for long stretches due to the spotty durability of Bob Sanders. While his six interceptions in 48 career games has made him a favorite among Colts fans, he’s far from an elite player in either pass defense or run stopping. His demands for a long-term contract are unlikely to have endeared him to management, but his career with the Colts makes him the favorite to start.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?: No

Contract status: Unsigned

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Likely

35 Ken Hamlin

Height: 6024, weight: 209, 40-yard dash: 4.61, 20-yard dash: 2.71, 10-yard dash: 1.59, Bench press: 16, vertical jump: 33, long jump: 9’9, shuttle: 3.92, three-cone: 6.80

2010 stats: 1 tackle, 2 assists, 1-0-0 interception, 1-0-0 fumble recovery in seven games with the Ravens, no stats in two games with the Colts

Comments: A former second-round pick and Pro Bowler, Hamlin is at the very end of a career marred and shorted by severe injuries including a fractured skull. Although his intellect and experience put him in the right place to make a play when he can get there, his speed is a thing of the past and any lengthy amount of playing time would expose him as a liability, especially in coverage.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?: Yes

Contract status: Unsigned

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Very slim

37 Brandon King

Height: 5096, weight: 195, 40-yard dash: 4.59, 20-yard dash: 2.62, 10-yard dash: 1.59, Bench press: 23, vertical jump: 36, long jump: 9’11, shuttle: 4.28, three-cone: 6.87

2010 stats: 1 special-teams tackle in four games with the Colts

Comments: An undrafted cornerback who played one year of safety in college, the Colts moved him back to safety out of necessity when injuries piled up. There was a lot of hype early in the season about him potentially starting for the Colts at safety after a fairly impressive preseason, but he played almost entirely on special teams before going on injured reserve.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?: No

Contract status: Signed through 2012

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Not bad

38 Mike Newton

Height: 5101, weight: 197, 40-yard dash: 4.48, 20-yard dash: 2.55, 10-yard dash: 1.50, Bench press: 9, vertical jump: 41, long jump: 10’0, shuttle: 4.09, three-cone: 6.94

2010 stats: 1 assist, 3 special-teams tackles, 1 special-teams assist in 12 games with the Colts

Comments: A very good athlete who was very raw after playing in the Mid-American conference, Newton played primarily on special teams.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?: Yes

Contract status: Unsigned

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Slim

40 Jamie Silva

Height: 5106, weight: 204, 40-yard dash: 4.79, 20-yard dash: 2.72, 10-yard dash: 1.58, Bench press: DNP, vertical jump: 32, long jump: 9’0, shuttle: 4.50, three-cone: 6.86

2010 stats: None

Comments: The book on Silva was that he was a great college player who was just too slow for the NFL. But in limited appearances on both special teams and defense, he has graded out very well. Still, depending on him for extended periods, let alone as a starter, is inviting disaster. Besides, his rehab is not going well and it’s unlikely he would be available on Opening Day.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?:

Contract status: Unsigned

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Very slim

49 Chip Vaughn

Height: 6013, weight: 221, 40-yard dash: 4.42, 20-yard dash: 2.57, 10-yard dash: 1.49, Bench press: 21, vertical jump: 37, long jump: 10’5, shuttle: 4.12, three-cone: 7.03

2010 stats: 1 special-teams tackle in three games with the Colts

Comments: Much-heralded as a big-play guy at Wake Forest, Vaughn was drafted by the Saints in the fourth round of the 2009 draft. He missed his rookie season due to injury and was a final cut the following season. He was picked up and dropped by the Eagles before landing with the Colts and playing a little bit on special teams. The book on him is that he’s a good run stuffer, but not much of a coverage guy and one who can be faked easily.

Did he know the shame of being on the roster when the Colts started Aaron Francisco against the Jets?:

Contract status: Signed though 2011

Chance of starting for the Colts on Sept. 11th: Slim

• “Bill Polian” asked my opinion of Wisconsin QB Scott Tolzien, indicating he believed him to be a better prospect than Curtis Painter. Well, to tell the truth Tolzein reminds me of the man Painter replaced, fellow Wisconsin alum Jim Sorgi. Smart but athletically limited, Tolzein looks like a career backup in the NFL. But that, of course, means I think he’s already way ahead of Painter.

• Blue MD suggested some undrafted free agents, here are my takes on them:

DeAndre McDaniel SS Clemson: Interesting prospect, there are serious holes in his game but there’s also a lot to work with. But keep in mind that his arrest and suspension came from beating up his girlfriend, not backing into a parked car in a 7-11 parking lot. His 4.67 forty didn’t impress me either. I’d probably pass on him.

Deunta Williams FS North Carolina: A hot-and-cold player who can hit and cover, but makes some bad reads, takes some poor angles and can be fooled. With good coaching he might blossom. His suspension doesn’t bother me (he seems like a decent kid), but his leg injury sure does. Could be a guy you stash on the practice squad if his health checks out.

Dom DeCicco SS Pittsburgh: Great athlete, tough guy, big hitter but is absolutely lost in coverage. He could, as Blue MD suggests be converted to a weakside ’backer, but looks more like a career special teamer and blitz/short-yardage specialist. Worth a look? Sure. Worth a roster spot? I don’t know.

Cedric Thornton DT Southern Arkansas: To tell you the truth, I have seen very little of this guy. He was tremendous in 2009, but was limited by injuries and constant double-teaming in 2010. He’s very raw, even when you consider him a D2 prospect, but has potential. Looks like another practice squad guy you hope develops.

Weslye Saunders TE South Carolina: No thanks, kid’s a brat, won’t work out with the Colts.

I'm a stat geek and proud of it

So Bill Polian is telling all us “stat geeks” that the Colts running game has been quietly effective. Uh huh. If that’s the case, then why did he spend two firsts, a fourth and a sixth on halfbacks and a first, three seconds (one of which cost a first), a fifth, two sixths and two sevenths on offensive linemen in the last five drafts when the defense has been pretty lacking in talent? I’m not even gonna get started on his pulling Dominic Rhodes out of whatever museum of tired old halfbacks he was on display in. I get his point that people are misinterpreting the stats and that the running game is just there to set up and augment the run – but it’s not doing it nearly as well as it should.

• Speaking of halfbacks, it’s a position that seems to be a flux. I know the Colts will invite Joseph Addai back, but there is no way they will offer him a long-term contract. Not only is he not worth it, but they just don’t do that. His return in 2011 is i think better than 50-50, and the longer the lockout goes on the better it is, but I think you won’t see him in Indy in 2012 or beyond. Same with dammit Donald Brown. Not only has he been a spectacular failure as a blocker, but he hasn’t done much as a runner. He’s a pretty decent receiver, but adds nothing as a return man. He has one year to turn it around, but I don’t see it happening. After that, there’s Mike Hart, a free agent unlikely to be re-signed, Javarris James, a decent spare part, and Devin Moore, who is a halfback in name only (it would surprise me if this not-too-durable return specialist saw a dozen snaps on offense in any given season). Which means a lot is expected from fourth-round pick Delone Carter. I hope he’s up to it.

• That reminds me of my worries in the return game. The Colts tried a number of people at the position with little success. Moore and Justin Tryon returned kicks adequately, but neither was special, Moore doesn’t seem durable and Tryon will be busy as the Colts’ slot corner. On punts, the Colts used Jerraud Powers and Blair White with similarly unspectacular results. Powers is a starting corner and White, though sure handed, is no burner. The draft added no return prospects, so expect the Colts to shop for undrafted and street free agents. Recent rule changes have reduced the draft value of kick returners (but not punt returners), so there are more than a few available. Here are some I like:

Phillip Livas (left)

WR Louisiana Tech 5073/179/4.43

2010 return stats: 35-862-1 (24.63) on kicks, 12-186-1 (15.50) on punts

Career return stats: 107-2,758-4 (25.78) on kicks, 43-587-4 (13.65) on punts

Comment: A tiny slot receiver who will need to return kicks and/or punts to get a pay packet playing football, sees the end zone

Shaky Smithson

WR Utah 5110/202/4.65

2010 return stats: 21-507-0 (24.14) on kicks, 30-572-2 (19.07) on punts

Career return stats: 43-1,050-0 (24.42) on kicks, 43-695-2 (16.16) on punts

Comment: He’s not straight-line fast, but has electric moves and incredible balance. His forty time and lack of experience on offense kept him from being drafted.

Derrick Locke

HB Kentucky 5082/188/4.37

2010 return stats: 15-395-0 (26.33) on kicks, 1-8-0 (8.00) on punts

Career return stats: 54-1,464-2 (27.11) on kicks, 1-8-0 (8.00) on punts

Comment: Undersized and oft-injured halfback is a blazer who had a great deal of collegiate success returning kicks and should be able to handle punts.

Leon Berry

WR Mississippi State 6001/205/e4.52

2010 return stats: 14-375-1 (26.79) on kicks, 0-0-0 (0.00) on punts

Career return stats: 52-1,390-2 (26.73) on kicks, 9-69-0 (7.67) on punts

Comment: Limited receiving prospect, but a bona fide returner if he can stay healthy

Jock Sanders

WR West Virginia 5061/181/4.50

2010 return stats: 12-299-0 (24.92) on kicks, 8-86-0 (10.75) on punts

Career return stats: 22-515-0 (23.41) on kicks, 31-281-0 (9.06) on punts

Comment: Incredibly quick but tiny receiver will have to make his NFL living as a returner

Ricardo Lockette

WR Fort Valley State 6021/211/4.34

2010 return stats: 10-214-0 (21.40) on kicks, 0-0-0 (0.00) on punts

Career return stats: 18-436-1 (24.22) on kicks, 0-0-0 (0.00) on punts

Comment: Lightning-fast track star has little football experience and once tested positive for high testosterone levels

• Sports Illustrated’s Andrew Perloff predicts that the Colts will draft Miami safety Ray Ray Armstrong with the No. 25 pick in the 2012 first round. Makes sense. Playoff run, no Super Bowl. Desperately seeking a run stopper, and Armstrong looks to come out after his junior season.

• Day 1 offensive line? From right to left, my guess is Charlie-Ijalana-Saturday-DeVan-Castonzo. But Devan’s name is written in pencil. Lightly. And I have a back-up eraser.

• Everybody in the media loves the Colts’ draft class. That worries me.

• Mrcrayz888 points out that the Colts have lots of strong safety prospects under contract or a phone call away. He's right, of course, but I'm not sold on any of them.

Perception vs. reality

Quarterback

What the media said: It’s time to find Peyton Manning’s replacement.

What happened: The Colts kicked the tires on some major prospects like Andy Dalton and Colin Kaepernick (remember, they had also worked out Mark Sanchez back in ’09), but didn’t enter the ridiculously inflated quarterback draft market. Rather than spend a high draft pick, the Colts went without.

What’s next: They’ll invite a camp arm or two, but they will have to survive with Curtis Painter as Manning’s backup for one more year, and find Manning’s heir apparent when he’s closer to necessary.

Runningback

What the media said: What? Joseph Addai, Donald Brown and Mike Hart? That’s enviable depth that is.

What happened: Actually, since both Addai and Hart are free agents and Brown sucks, this was a need position. The Colts drafted Syracuse’s Delone Carter in the fourth round.

What’s next: Now that I’m over my shock and childish rage that the Colts drafted Carter instead of a speed back, I’m pretty down with the plan. The Colts haven’t had a truly tough inside runner in years and Carter will change that. Though he offers almost no breakaway threat, I would be surprised if he ends up getting more carries than any other Colts back in 2011, even if Addai is re-signed. There’s a lot of BenJarvus Green-Ellis in this kid, the Colts just need a Danny Woodhead to go with him.

Receivers

What the media said: Reggie Wayne is ancient! Injuries! Contracts! Need this now!

What happened: In fact, the Colts are quite deep here, but could definitely have used a home run threat. None fell to them and other needs had to be filled, so it didn’t happen.

What’s next: The Colts go to war with Wayne, Pierre Garçon, Austin Collie, Blair White, Taj Smith and, perhaps, Anthony Gonzalez.

Tight ends

What the media said: Nothing much.

What happened: Nothing much.

What’s next: With star Dallas Clark returning, Jacob Tamme having emerged and Brody Eldridge having solidified the blocking role, the Colts are fine here for now.

Offensive line

What the media said: An upgrade here is necessary, but perhaps not as much as the defensive line.

What happened: The Colts saw sense and grabbed two potential Day 1 starters – Anthony Castonzo and Ben Ijalana – with their first two picks.

What’s next: It would be an incredible shock if Castonzo does not take over the left tackle spot immediately. Ijalana could start at right tackle or right guard, depending on the fate of Ryan Diem and where they want to put Charlie Johnson (if he re-signs). If everything falls into place, the Colts could be secure at four of five offensive line positions, whereas they were sure at only one heading into it. The remaining spot – probably right guard if Ijalana settles in at right tackle and Johnson at left guard – would be an interesting fight between Jacques McClendon, Mike Pollak, Kyle DeVan, Jamey Richard, Jamie Thomas, Jeff Linkenbach, Mike Tepper and potentially others.

Defensive line

What the media said: Get us a fat dude! Any fat dude! Preferably in the first two picks.

What happened: The Colts actually looked at some big guys before the draft, but ultimately found them not worth the picks they would require. Instead, they drafted undersized overachiever Drake Nevis in the third round.

What’s next: My gut says that Nevis is a better overall prospect than Fili Moala was, but like Moala, he will need a year to get acquainted with the system. Until then, look for the Colts to rotate him in with Mookie Johnson, Daniel Muir and perhaps DeMario Pressley.

Linebackers

What the media said: Some made pleas for linebacking help, few took them seriously

What happened: Not much.

What’s next: Looks like Clint Session will return, which would make Pat Angerer, Kavell Connor and Phillip Wheeler fight for the strongside spot if Gary Brackett returns in the middle. Otherwise, Angerer is the middle man.

Cornerbacks

What the media said: Well, as this is a position on defense, many commentators believed the Colts needed a player here.

What happened: The Colts are actually fairly deep at corner, but added Chris L Rucker in the sixth because his upside was just too great to pass up.

What’s next: There are rumors that Rucker could wind up at safety, a position of greater need, but I’ll believe that when I see it. Instead I think he starts at the bottom and works his way up at corner.

Safeties

What the media said: Wait, Bob Sanders is gone? It’s an emergency!

What happened: The Colts looked at a few safeties, but didn’t draft any.

What’s next: It looks like re-signing Melvin Bullitt is more of a priority than it was pre-draft. That is, unless Mike Newton is way better than I think he is.

Carter, Rucker and the whole thing

As delighted as I was with the first three Colts picks, I’m a little less so with the other two.

While they definitely needed a halfback, I’m pretty sure Delone Carter is the wrong one. Not that he’s a bad back, not at all – he runs tough, has a low center of gravity, can catch and block. But he’s one of those one-speed guys who lack an extra gear. Okay, enough with the hoary football clichés, my problem with Carter is that he’s just more of the same. All the backs the Colts have had since Edgerrin James’ ACL injury have all been the same guy with varying degrees of this or that quality. But all of them have lacked that kind of spark, the magic that stops defenders in their cleats and gives defensive coordinators nightmares. Wait, more clichés? Yes, but they are apt. Carter will help carry the load, but he won’t be special, he won’t return kicks with great aplomb and he won’t make the Colts’ offense any more exciting – more efficient, perhaps, but not more exciting. Polian has got to realize that the model for the perfect halfback is not James Mungro.

I’m being unduly harsh, of course, but what bothers me is that there were so many speed/moves backs available, and now they have jobs elsewhere. I’m sure Carter will have a long and productive career in Indy, and he does have a rep as a strong between-the-tackles runner – they could definitely use that. Critics have pointed out that he holds the ball in a strange way, but it didn’t lead to fumbling at Syracuse, so I doubt it will in the NFL.

The numbers:

Height: 5085, Weight: 222, 10-yard dash: 1.54 (1.51 at pro day), 20-yard dash: 2.58 (2.53 at pro day), 40-yard dash: 4.54 (4.46 at pro day), Bench press: 27, Vertical jump: 37, Long jump: 10’0 (10’1 at pro day), Shuttle: 4.07, Three-cone: 6.92, Arm length: 31, Hand length: 9.5

The final pick was another good player who might get lost in the shuffle for the Colts, although there is an outside chance he could change positions. And – in a rarity for the Colts – he has serious character questions.

Chris L Rucker is a Michigan State cornerback who was once thought so highly of, he was projected by some as a second rounder. He certainly has the size and strength. He’s not quite smooth enough in coverage to be considered elite, but should be better than average in most situations, especially in the zone-friendly Colts defense. His real skills are in the initial jam, knocking receivers off their routes and tackling. Those abilities could translate well to safety, where the Colts needs are far more pressing than cornerback. More likely, though, Rucker will not play much on defense, at least at first, concentrating instead on special teams and getting better at whichever position they put him at.

I have seen Rucker a few time on tape and was impressed. Check out the Capital One Bowl, in which he spent much of his time isolated one-on-one against Julio Jones (the guy the Falcons traded two firsts, a second and two fourths to pick). Although Rucker was playing hurt, he limited Jones to three catches for 49 yards (only really getting beat once) in an incredibly lopsided affair in which the Tide rolled all over the Spartans.

Rucker’s problems with the law stem from a 2009 brawl that involved several Spartans’ players. He pleaded guilty and was sentenced to probation with the proviso that he not consume alcohol. Less than a year later, he was arrested for DUI, and spent eight days in jail. If you read the official details of his arrest here and here, you get an idea of what happened that night, and Rucker comes off as not that bad a person. I’ve seen some people call him things like a “thug” online, but I’m not sure those two incidents indicate that he’s a bad guy. Of course, they don’t indicate he’s squeaky clean, either. I think he’s a pretty ordinary young man who made a couple of mistakes and is unlikely to repeat them. History shows us that neither Polian nor the Colts are at all interested in problem children, and I’m sure they did much more homework on him than most blog posters and forum commentators. Late note: I also find it interesting that, although Carter was charged with assault after punching out a student at an on-campus snowball fight, nobody called him a "thug" or "character risk."

Is Rucker a terrible pick? Certainly not. He’s a very talented player who can help on specials right away, and perhaps grow into a starting-quality defender. That’s not bad for a sixth rounder. But he’s not a true safety, certainly not the big bopper the Colts could use there, and he’s not a returner, which is a position they could also stand to upgrade.

The numbers:

Height: 6004, Weight: 195, 10-yard dash: 1.65, 20-yard dash: 2.68, 40-yard dash: 4.54, Bench press: 13, Vertical jump: 33.5, Long jump: 9’11, Shuttle: 4.35, Three-cone: 6.87, Arm length: 33, Hand length: 9

To sum it all up, I would have to say that I am more satisfied with this draft than any the Colts have had since 1999. Anthony Castonzo looks like a bastion of solidity at left tackle, Ben Ijalana should join him and start from Day 1 elsewhere on the line, while Drake Nevis should get some quality reps on the defensive line and contribute right away. There’s no question that the Colts needed all three of those guys. Carter is not my favorite halfback, but should help carry the load and get those tough yards. Rucker is a bit of a risk, but it’s hard not to like his upside.

Some things on my wish list did not get fulfilled – most notably, a starting quality strong safety, a young quarterback and a return specialist who can also make plays on offense – but it’s really hard to complain when you look at the Colts’ first three picks.

Nevis

Come on, did any of you really think the Colts would draft a giant space-eating defensive tackle? Instead, Polian stuck to the plan and selected Drake Nevis, a defensive tackle who has everything you want, except size. And he won’t get any bigger. And that’s just about the scouting report on him. Great kid, motor’s always running, uses his hands well, splits double teams, disrupts offensive plans, moves well both forward and side-to-side and tackles well. The only problem, as you may already have realized, is that he’s not very tall, and not very heavy. Which prompts the question – will he be able to do in the NFL what he did in college? I think the answer is yes and no. He is likely to show flashes, even stretches, of brilliance but will also be overpowered, overwhelmed and engulfed at inopportune times.

The numbers:

Height: 6005, Weight: 294, 10-yard dash: 1.67, 20-yard dash: 2.85, 40-yard dash: 5.06, Bench press: 31, Vertical jump: 30.5, Long jump: 9’4, Shuttle: 4.65, Three-cone: 7.71, Arm length: 31.5, Hand length: 9.375

So what’s left? Without a fifth or seventh pick, the Colts should still be able to pick up a decent safety and an offensive spark. Only five safeties have been selected so far (unfortunately, one of them was Jaiquan Jarrett, who is now Eagles’ property). Some notables who remain include: Tyler Sash, Da’Norris Searcy, Shiloh Keo and DeAndre McDaniel. And there are tons and tons of speedy offensive players left, like Kendall Hunter, Taiwan Jones, Da’Rel Scott, Jacquizz Rodgers, Edmund Gates or Denarius Moore. Searcy and Jones would really put a nice pair of exclamation marks on an already promising draft crop. But this is Bill Polian pulling the strings, and he hasn't drafted anyone out of the blue yet, so the picks could just as likely be Keanemana Silva and Chad Spann.

Ijalana

Wow. Again. I’m very impressed with the Colts for trading up, and agin they selected a very impressive player at a position of need. Ben Ijalana played left tackle in college, but because of his height (and now the presence of Anthony Castonzo on the roster) many are projecting him at guard. I see him more as a right tackle – I mean, he has 36-inch arms for Jiminy’s sake – with Charlie Johnson pushed inside to guard. Or it could go the other way, depending on Ijalana’s feet. The numbers:

Height: 6035, Weight: 317, 10-yard dash: 1.75, 20-yard dash: 2.93, 40-yard dash: 5.20, Bench Reps: DNP, Vertical jump: 25.5, Long jump: 8’9, Shuttle: 4.70, Three-cone: 7.75, Arm length: 36, Hand length: 10.5

The Colts are now minus a fifth rounder, but so what? Looks like they have two starters on the offensive line.

So what’s next? Safety? Receiver? Halfback? Defensive tackle? Quarterback? I’m thinking offensive gamebreaker. Jacquizz? Hunter? Jernigan?

Castonzo

All I can say is wow. The Colts drafted the best lineman in the draft. Anthony Castonzo is a tailor-made left tackle, at No. 22. If you look at all my mocks, you'll see I had Derek Sherrod (basically a poor man's Castonzo) because I was sure the 6'7 Rhodes Scholar candidate would have been long gone. Note: Sherrod was later astutely snatched up by the Super Bowl-champion Packers ten picks later.

I don't have much but praise for the pick. Sure he could add some weight and strength, but he has gained 90 pounds in the last four years (and the strength that comes with it), so another 15 or so on his frame wouldn't hurt. He starts from Day 1 and protects Peyton Manning's blindside until he retires.

The numbers:

Height: 6070, Weight: 311, 10-yard dash: 1.80, 20-yard dash: 2.92, 40-yard dash: 5.21, Bench press: 28, Vertical jump: 29½ , Long Jump: 8’9, Shuttle: 4.40, Three-cone: 7.25, Arm length: 34.5, Hand length: 10.625

So now what? I think the next pick could be an offensive play maker (Jerrel Jernigan?), another offensive lineman (Ben Ijalana?), a safety (Tyler Sash) or a defensive tackle (Drake Nevis). I'm also still seriously under the belief that Ricky Stanzi will be wearing blue.

1 Carolina Cam Newton QB 6’5 248 Auburn

It kind of had to happen, it’s the kind of risk that you need to take to build a winner, I think he’ll succeed

2 Denver Von Miller OLB 6’3 246 Texas A&M

He’s undersized, but they need a pass-rush in the worst way and seem to be following the LeBeau plan, that’s smart

3 Buffalo Marcell Dareus DT 6’3 319 Alabama

No brainer, they suck against the run and Dareus had the talent to be the top pick

4 Cincinnati A.J. Green WR 6’4 207 Georgia

I guess they have an idea who’ll play QB there (I should have known Brown would never give in to Carson palmer’s pouting), and they need to clear out the old guard

5 Arizona Patrick Peterson CB 6’0 219 LSU

Again, I believe they have a plan at QB that I don’t know about; Peterson is a great value, but he’s not the sure-thing the media had represented him as; a tremendous athlete, but not a natural at the position like Joe Haden is

6 Atlanta Julio Jones WR 6’3 220 Alabama

I know, I know, they are following the Polian plan of overwhelming your opponents with offense, but their pass rush is weak and is Jones really worth two first, a second and two fourths?

7 San Francisco Aldon Smith DE 6’5 255 Missouri

Nothing against Smith, but the Harbaughs are playing to get a great pick next season

8 Tennessee Jake Locker QB 6’3 231 Washington

I could not have wished for anything better; Locker simply lacks the accuracy and drive to be a big winner in the NFL

9 Dallas Tyron Smith OT 6’5 307 Southern California

Everyone knew this was going to happen; good value starts on the right side while learning the game then moves to left

10 Jacksonville Blaine Gabbert QB 6’4 234 Missouri

I have no idea why he lasted this long and they were smart to trade up to get him as it only cost them their second; no, he’s not Sam Bradford, but he’s better than David Garrard and Jake Locker and, in all likelihood, Cam Newton

11 Houston J.J. Watt DE 6’6 285 Wisconsin

They need help all over the defense, so they took the most solid prospect, boring but astute

12 Minnesota Christian Ponder QB 6’2 229 Florida State

Nice pick if they design the offense to his abilities and it looks like they will with Bill Musgrave at the helm

13 Detroit Nick Fairley DT 6’5 314 Auburn

This is great, they need corners badly, but how do you block Suh, Fairley and Vanden Bosch?

14 St. Louis Robert Quinn DE 6’4 265 North Carolina

Nice pick to have fall in your lap; still need receivers badly

15 Miami Mike Pouncey OG 6’5 303 Florida

As predicted by most everyone, fills a need

16 Washington Ryan Kerrigan DE 6’4 267 Purdue

So many holes to fill, so they just got a nice player, trading down shows they had no faith in this year’s crop of QBs

17 New England Nate Solder OT 6’8 319 Colorado

Immense potential, but will take a while to develop – they have the time

18 San Diego Corey Liuget DT 6’2 298 Illinois

Ho hum, nice player, nice pick

19 New York Giants Prince Amukamara CB 6’0 206 Nebraska

What a gift, he’s not really what they needed most, but how do you pass him up? More NFL-ready than Peterson in my opinion

20 Tampa Bay Adrian Clayborn DE 6’3 281 Iowa

We all knew they were drafting an end, Clayborn could be the piece that pushes them into the NFL’s elite

21 Cleveland Phil Taylor DT 6’4 355 Baylor

Smart trade, smart pick; the Browns are rebuilding and can use the extra picks, Taylor lines up next to Atyba Rubin inside to form a huge wall; receivers, ends come later

22 Indianapolis Anthony Castonzo OT 6’7 311 Boston College 1

Just what they needed

23 Philadelphia Danny Watkins OG 6’3 310 Baylor

Watkins represents a good choice anywhere he goes

24 New Orleans Cameron Jordan DE 6’4 287 California

Nice pick, but I think a speedier guy would have helped more (if there was one available)

25 Seattle James Carpenter OT 6’5 300 Alabama

They see something in him I don’t

26 Kansas City Jon Baldwin WR 6’5 230 Pittsburgh

A physical presence sure, but a No. 1 receiver? Maybe in the far off future

27 Baltimore Jimmy Smith CB 6’2 211 Colorado

Great player, but a character risk

28 New Orleans Mark Ingram HB 5’9 215 Alabama

29 Chicago Gabe Carimi OT 6’7 314 Wisconsin

They needed o-line help and he was the best of what was left

30 New York Jets Muhammad Wilkerson DT 6’5 300 Temple

Not really bulky enough to be a nose, and what they really needed was rush backers

31 Pittsburgh Cameron Heyward DE 6’5 294 Ohio State

They lucked out

32 Green Bay Derek Sherrod OT 6’5 321 Mississippi State

As did they

Just a few hours now

A look at a few last-minute prospects who have spoken with the Colts (mostly small schoolers)

Anthony Bratton SS Delaware

6001/213 Ten: 1.52 Twenty: 2.62 Forty: 4.50 Bench: 15 Vertical: 37 Long jump: 10’5 Shuttle: 4.09 Three-cone: 6.71

2011 stats: 55 tackles, 41 assists, 3-10 tackles for loss, 0.5-7 sacks, 2-3-0 interceptions, 12 passes defensed, 2 forced fumbles

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Tough safety who’s much better going forward than back; troubles with coverage could lead to a special-teams-only career, but he has the skills and attitude to succeed there – has played some wide receiver and returner

Ron Parker FS Newberry

5117/206 Ten: 1.51 Twenty: 2.49 Forty: 4.35 Bench: 17 Vertical: 32 Long jump: 10’3 Shuttle: 4.15 Three-cone: 6.74

2011 stats: 45 tackles, 14 assists, 2-2 tackles for loss, 5-1-0 interceptions, 13 passes defensed, 3-72-1 fumble recoveries, 1 forced fumble

Likely draft round: 6th

Comment: Great coverage safety with ballhawking skills (11 picks in his last 18 games); unbelievably athletic but incredibly raw – a great pick for the future, but don’t expect much right away

Larry Dean OLB Valdosta State

5116/229 Ten: 1.50 Twenty: NA Forty: 4.50 Bench: 22 Vertical: 36.5 Long jump: 10’1 Shuttle: 4.37 Three-cone: 6.79

2011 stats: 49 tackles, 73 assists, 8.5-45, 1-6-1 interception, 3 passes defensed, 1-12-1 fumble recovery, 1 forced fumble, 1 blocked kick

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Athletic, do-everything outside linebacker who is smaller than NFL teams want and could project to strong safety – eerily reminiscent of former Colt Jordan Senn, who has carved out a nice career with the Panthers

David Akinniyi DE North Carolina State

6035/254 Ten: 1.72 Twenty: 2.71 Forty: 4.79 Bench: 18 Vertical: 35 Long jump: 9’8 Shuttle: 4.46 Three-cone: 7.00

2011 stats: 12 tackles, 8 assists, 5-31 tackles for loss, 2.5-23 sacks, 1-0-0 fumble recovery, 1 forced fumble

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Great kid, great athlete, played 5-technique at NC State but needs seasoning and development – had 141 tackles, 22 tackles for loss and 12 sacks in 34 games at Northeastern before transferring when the Huskies dropped football – could be a steal

Andrew Soucy DT Eastern Kentucky

6021/311 Ten: 1.75 Twenty: 3.09 Forty: 5.28 Bench: 32 Vertical: 30 Long jump: 8’9 Shuttle: 4.56 Three-cone: 7.59

2011 stats: 15 tackles, 13 assists, 9.5-42 tackles for loss, 4-30 sacks, 1-0-0 fumble recovery, 1 forced fumble, 1 blocked kick

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Monstrously strong interior lineman who produced at low level of competition but has lots and lots to learn

Matt Szymanski K SMU

6017/205 numbers not important because he’s a kicker

2011 stats: 7-12 field goals, 32-32 extra points, 52-2,149-9 (14 in 20) punting, 19-1,249-5 kickoffs, 2-30-0 rushing

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Big leg, likely to stick in the NFL as a kickoff specialist

Jake Laptad DE Kansas

6036/257 Ten: 1.75 Twenty: 2.82 Forty: 4.95 Bench: 20 Vertical: 31.5 Long jump: 9’3 Shuttle: 4.55 Three-cone: 7.75

2011 stats: 22 tackles, 16 assists, 8.5-38 tackles for loss, 4.5-27 sacks, 3 forced fumbles

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Great guy, good performer who may lack athleticism for NFL

Cliff Matthews DE South Carolina

6034/257 Ten: 1.65 Twenty: 2.72 Forty: 4.81 Bench: 17 Vertical: 32 Long jump: 9’4 Shuttle: 4.37 Three-cone: 7.21

2011 stats: 30 tackles, 14 assists, 8.5-43 tackles for loss, 5.5-34 sacks, 2 passes defensed, 4 forced fumbles

Likely draft round: 5th

Comment: Great athlete who seems to lack any real dedication to the game, upside is high, downside is scary

Preston Dial TE Alabama

6021/238 did not participate in workouts after a serious knee injury

2011 stats: 25-264-5 receiving

Likely draft round: 7th

Comment: College fullback and tight end with receiving skills should translate into H-back for most offenses in the NFL, big-time special-teams contributor

Brian Maddox HB South Carolina

5101/232 Ten: 1.75 Twenty: 2.79 Forty: 4.83 Bench: 23 Vertical: 32.5 Long jump: 10’1 Shuttle: 4.65 Three-cone: 7.19

2011 stats: 74-391-3 rushing, 10-67-0 receiving,

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Stocky, multipurpose back who could never win starting job with the Gamecocks

Chris Dieker QB Southern Illinois

6051/232 Ten: 1.69 Twenty: 2.82 Forty: 4.92 Bench: NA Vertical: 32 Long jump: 9’4 Shuttle: 4.44 Three-cone: 7.30

2011 stats: 256-158-1,816-15-11 passing, 96-272-6 rushing

Likely draft round: UDFA

Comment: Looked good (15-4 record as a starter) until breaking his collarbone as a junior and looking tentative as a senior; a student of the Manning brothers – looks like a camp arm at this point

• I’m increasing sure the Colts are after Iowa’s Ricky Stanzi, he has the look of a future starter to me

• Blue MD wants to know why the Colts seem to have no love for Kyle DeVan and tons for Donald Brown. He suggests that new running backs coach David Walker has something to do with Brown’s situation. I think the Colts have seen DeVan at his best and feel he’s eminently replaceable. But they invested a first-round pick in Brown, and almost certainly hope he can put something together now that he’s got his feet wet. Besides, Joseph Addai and Mike Hart are not under contract. If the season started today, the Colts would have just Brown, Javarris James and Devin Moore at halfback. Yikes.

• That reminds me, keep an eye on Pittsburgh halfback Dion Lewis. He’s only three years out of high school, tiny (5065/193) and not that fast (4.56c/4.47pd), but was a favourite of Walker’s when he coached him, and has some very shifty moves. Late rounder, but he’s better than Hart.

Just a few final, predraft thoughts

I like this article. In it, Polian speaks about how it takes a few years to evaluate prospects. He blames injuries for slowing both Mike Pollak (left) and Tony Ugoh’s development and goes on to say that it was Ugoh’s inability to recover that led to his eventual dismissal. He also says that although he thinks Pollak has contributed, his play has not been up to that standard of safety Melvin Bullitt or receiver Austin Collie. Kinda makes me think he might be leaning toward re-signing Bullitt. The flip side of Polian’s cogent argument is that if injuries derailed Ugoh and Pollak, then why is Collie, who was more severely injured than either, a paragon of player development?

• Peyton Manning admitted to throwing concussion-related baseline testing. No surprise. This is a fellow who had missed one snap due to injury in 12 seasons, and that was for a broken jaw. Clearly, playing is more important to him than his health.

• Am I nuts or could there really be five or six quarterbacks selected in the first round? Looks like the Colts will be shut out for a development guy early. Still, I think they take a flyer on North Carolina’s TJ Yates or a similar prospect later on.

• A final look at draft needs would have to include a starting left tackle and upgrades all over the offensive line and a home run hitter on offense either at halfback or receiver. The defense, as always, could use some beef up front and a new safety would be a boon.

• Have you heard of Scout.com’s Draft Muncher? They look at 46 mock drafts to determine who the experst think each team will select in the first round. As of this morning, 16 drafts had the Colts drafting Colorado’s Nate Solder, ten had Boston College’s Anthony Castonzo, seven had Illinois’ Corey Luiget, five had Wisconsin’s Gabe Carimi and four other players were also named at least once. I’m glad the pundits are leaning toward a left tackle, but I still like Mississippi State's Derek Sherrod better than Solder or Carimi and expect Castonzo to be gone by No. 22.

Last man scouted

As the draft draws nearer, it’s time to wrap up. Don’t go looking for the latest guy the Colts worked out in your draft books, but don’t be surprised if he gets drafted. Chris Posinski is a free safety from Wyoming, who is a bit stiff and straight-linish in coverage, but is a great open field tackler and an incredible all-around athlete. Check out his pro day numbers:

6010/20, Ten: 1.54, Twenty: 2.60, Forty: 4.39, Bench: 14, Vertical: 39.5, Long jump: 11’2, Shuttle: 4.28, Three-cone: 6.85

I don’t think he steps in and starts, but he could well be a valuable spare-part/special teamer who could eventually work his way into the lineup.

Happy predicting Colts fans. In our house, we have a pie riding on who gets the most hits in the first round.

Is football back?

If the lockout is indeed over, the Colts will have to tend to their free agents. The ones they tendered and apparently intend to keep are starting halfback Joseph Addai, starting left tackle Charlie Johnson (although he could find himself at guard if the Colts, as expected, find a better option at left tackle), on-again, off-again starting strong safety Melvin Bullitt, starting weakside linebacker Clint Session, starting defensive tackle Antonio Johnson (above) and two defensive tackles of dubious merit named Daniel Muir and Eric Foster. Of course, if the old agreement holds, and it looks like it will, Peyton Manning is a franchise player and not going anywhere.

My take? Addai’s too plodding to be an effective starter, but would be a valuable role player if another quality back was added. Johnson is a good guard who can fake it at left tackle if he has help and should not be let go. Bullitt is a fan favourite, but is also the kind of guy you want to have on the roster but not starting. Session’s hot and cold, but a quality player worth keeping, Johnson makes the Colts’ defense much, much better when he plays, while Muir and Foster and guys who have shown flashes, but have also been dominated for long stretches.

The following were not tendered: ordinary safety Al Afalava, ineffective defensive end or tackle Keyunta Dawson, decent guard Kyle DeVan, horrible safety Aaron Francisco, sluggish linebacker Tyjuan Hagler, slow safety Ken Hamelin, ancient halfback Dom Rhodes, slo-mo halfback Mike Hart, a guy named Mike Richardson, unathletic tight end Gijon Robinson, slow Jamie Silva and always-available Michael Toudouze.

• Still more questions:

1. Can the Watkins kid play LT?

I don’t really know. I mean, he played well there at the collegiate level, but his height (6033) and arm length (34.25) are making those “in the know” project him to guard. To tell you the truth, I think he’d be okay outside but would be better inside. He reminds me a lot of Brandon Albert, even though he played guard in college and tackle in the NFL. Watkins would probably represent an improvement of Charlie Johnson at left tackle once he gets his feet wet, but is not the ideal candidate outside.

2. What about taking him first and that Wisniewski kid 2nd? I’d like to see the Colts toughen up on the OL.

Do you guys remember his dad? Not his uncle, but his dad, Leo, who played nose tackle for some really awful Colts teams. Loved him. He had impeccable hand work and it translated to a remarkable number of sacks for the position (14.5 in 35 career games, 7 in 14 games in 1984). Injuries derailed him. Anyway, the boy, Stefen, is the complete package at center who should also be able to excel at guard in the NFL. The Colts should be delighted if he fell to them in the second round. If they selected both him and Watkins, they would have two very strong and versatile offensive linemen for years to come, although no elite left tackle. And forget Wisniewski there, he’s even shorter than Watkins and has very short 33-inch arms.

3. Also, what about McElroy as a QB in the 6th?

I’m not sold. He has subpar arm strength, a hitch in his delivery and gets the yips under pressure. Heck, the Colts already have Curtis Painter …

Qs and As

Wow, lots of questions. Let’s get to them all.

From “Bill Polian” (aka tmilohan from Ohio)

1. Asks if I agree with LT, G, DT, SS, RB/WR as the Colts’ needs.

Yes, but not in that order.

2. Could Tepper be the answer even if he has less impressive measurable than Pollak?

Hard to say. Pollak had great measurables, but so did Jamey Richard and Steve Justice, and all three have been major washouts so far. Tepper is a college tackle getting over a series of major injuries and is nothing more than a projection inside. But he has rare size, strength and intelligence and would not surprise me if he stuck.

From Blue MD

1. I also think the colts should trade back, but only if 3 of 1er OTs/DTs Rounders are at 22 (Castonzo, JJ Watt, Carimi, Liuget, Sherrod). The “lower” upside/lower risk Sherrod, should be the pick

I’m a huge Sherrod supporter. Castonzo is likely to have been selected by No. 22, and I’m not as high on Carimi, who I don’t think is the athlete you want at LT, and not all that interested in any defensive linemen in the first round.

2. 1 DT of Paea, Taylor, Wilkerson, Heyward, Ballard, in the 2nd?; or this is the place to trade down and get a 3er tier DT (Jenkins, Nevis, Ellis, Casey or even Fua)

I think the hype machine has been in love with Paea since his Combine performance and he’ll be overdrafted. Sure he’s strong and has been productive in the college game, but he lacks any finesse and his instincts are just so-so – that will make the transition to the NFL very tough. Taylor will also be overdrafted because of his size and how many teams are running 30-fronts. Character and condition issues make me think the Colts would pass on him. Heyward is more a Colts-like player and could make an interesting pairing with Fili Moala inside. I certainly don’t see him falling to the end of Round 2, though. Ballard? He’s a possibility, but I hope they don’t choose him. The third echelon guys you mention make varying degrees of sense to me, my favourites being Nevis and Jarvis.

3. Da’Norris Searcy: there are 10 or more safeties with more “ceiling;” could He be at later rounds. He is a good pick: good tackler,he can cover slot receivers, steady (UNC coaches’),returner, good 2010 production, and athletic (40=4.54, Benching=27, Vertical=33, Arm=33 1/2). He sounds like a Colt.

I’m with you. He’s one of a few safety prospects I really like this year.

4. The expectation is: 6-7 QBs in rounds (Rs) 1-2, 20s D.liners in Rs 1-3, 15s O.liners in Rs 1-3, 20s DBs in Rs 1-4, 10s RBs in Rs 2-4; hence, high value non-pash rushers LBs will fall. Will the Colts consider a LB in mid rounds? (Clint Sesssion is FA).

I hope not, but they may well. Even though Larry Coyer is more likely to blitz than any other defensive co-ordinator the Colts have had in the Polian/Manning era, it’s still not a huge part of the defense. And look at the last time the Colts drafted a blitzer at the position – they got Phillip Wheeler.

• In other news, the Colts met with Bowie State WR Derrick McPhearson. It might just be because he was a local high school phenom, but he’s a legitimate prospect. He’s bounced around from receiver to defensive back and back to wideout and from Illinois to Hampton to Bowie State. He is incredibly raw as a receiver, but is a natural as a return man. I don’t see anyone spending a draft pick on him, but he’ll be invited to someone’s summer camp.

Questions, answers, another Silva and a great big Ellis

First things first, must answer the questions from a reader who would prefer not to give his or her identity (I’m pretty sure it’s Bill Polian):

Do you think the Colts a.) will and b.) should trade back or trade up in next week's draft? I find it ironic that the spots where they usually pick (#28/29/30/31) are probably better suited to trading back than their current spot of #22. It would be nice to have more than 6 picks--though as someone (Bill Walsh?) once said, "it's not where you pick but who you pick." They need 2 or 3, maybe even 4, good players out of this draft.

Well, “Bill,” thanks for reading and thank you for your excellent question. I don’t actually think they should trade down. Extra picks are nice, but the value formula dilutes those extra picks. If you trade down from No. 22 to, say No. 31, what do you pick up? The chart says you get a late third or early fourth rounder, a pick unlikely to net a rookie starter at most positions.

Trading down (especially out of the first) usually happens if a team isn’t impressed by what’s in the first round and has fallen in love with a potential second rounder, as happened in the perfect storm that allowed the Colts to grab Bob Sanders. But this is a first round rich in the positions the Colts desire, and the need for a n offensive lineman to start from Day 1 is so great, I think the No. 22 pick is too valuable to give up.

• Further to Bill’s point, I do think the Colts need upgrades at (not in order) left tackle, right tackle, halfback, right guard, left guard, right defensive tackle, strong safety and return specialist. And they could use depth and/or heirs apparent at quarterback, wide receiver, center and all over the defense.

• At this time of year, everyone is looking at workout numbers. Let’s take a look at the numbers of the guys already on the roster who would have us believe they deserve to be next season’s guards:

61 Jamey Richard

Size: 6046/295 Ten: 1.69 Twenty: 2.89 Forty: 5.22 Bench: 22 Vertical: 26.5 Long jump: 8’11 Shuttle: 4.69 Three-cone: 7.58

65 Jacques McClendon

Size: 6021/308 Ten: 1.82 Twenty: 2.98 Forty: 5.08 Bench: 37 Vertical: 29 Long jump: 8’5 Shuttle: 4.76 Three-cone: 7.70

66 Kyle DeVan

Size: 6015/308 Ten: Twenty: Forty: Bench: Vertical: Long jump: Shuttle: Three-cone:

Note: Devan wasn’t invited to the combine and I can’t track down his pro day numbers.

72 Jeff Linkenbach

Size: 6064/311 Ten: 1.78 Twenty: 2.97 Forty: 5.14 Bench: 22 Vertical: 27.5 Long jump: 8’2 Shuttle: 4.82 Three-cone: 7.76

73 Jaimie Thomas

Size: 6040/323 Ten: 1.78 Twenty: 3.00 Forty: 5.29 Bench: 20 Vertical: 28 Long jump: 8’0 Shuttle: 4.67 Three-cone: 7.99

78 Mike Pollak

Size: 6034/301 Ten: 1.68 Twenty: 2.87 Forty: 4.99 Bench: 29 Vertical: 9’2 Long jump: 9’2 Shuttle: 4.47 Three-cone: 7.49

79 Mike Tepper

Size: 6054/324 Ten: 1.82 Twenty: 3.04 Forty: 5.25 Bench: 28 Vertical: 26.5 Long jump: 7’10 Shuttle: 4.87 Three-cone: 7.66

• The Colts looked at a couple of other prospects, Keanemana Silva, a safety from Hawaii, and Kendrick Ellis, a defensive tackle from Hampton. Since Silva is the more likely of the two to end up in Indy, we should look at him first. He’s an incredible athlete, racking up the following numbers at his pro day:

Size: 6006/206 Ten: 1.52 Twenty: 2.55 Forty: 4.43 Bench: 23 Vertical: 40 Long jump: 10’3 Shuttle: 4.16 Three-cone: 6.97

In 14 starts at free safety as a senior, he recorded 50 tackles, 35 assists, 3-25 tackles for loss, 8-60-0 interceptions, 22 passes defensed and one fumble recovery. He’s not a huge hitter, but a solid open-field tackler. He’s much better in zone than man and still seems to be learning. Usually there are big questions about transfers, but Silva started as a walk-on at Oregon State, had a son then accepted a full-ride scholarship in his home state to help take care of him. He’s a good kid who does a lot of charity work. He’s rising very quickly on draft boards, and the Colts are a likely home for him in the sixth or even fifth.

Ellis is also a transfer, but was dismissed from the University of South Carolina for multiple disciplinary reasons. Nobody doubts his ability on the field, if he plays to his abilities, he could well be the best defensive tackle in the draft. Built like a tall nose tackle (6047/346), he’s actually better suited to play the ol’ 3-technique, as a penetrator. If he reminds me of anyone, it’s Albert Haynesworth. But unfortunately, that comparison extends to his character, as well as his play on the field. He is a potential first rounder, but represents a huge risk. Interestingly, his defensive co-ordinator at South Carolina was former Colt Ellis Johnson, so I’m sure the team has been able to get a solid background check on him.

• Polian went on record as saying passing accuracy can’t be taught at the pro level. I knew he believed that, that’s why I predicted they would start a post-Manning world with a Christian Ponder, not a Jake Locker.

Another day, another mock

1/22 Derek Sherrod T Mississippi State 6053/321 5.18c

I still think he's the best option at No. 22

2/53 Jerrel Jernigan WR Troy 5087/185 4.46c

Although I’d prefer a halfback here, the Colts have to get someone who can add some spark to their offense and special teams; Jernigan has some Steve Smith to him

3/87 Jaiquawn Jarrett S Temple 5117/198 4.62c

They need a safety who can cover and help out in the run game

4/119 Jake Fitzpatrick C TCU 6017/200 5.31pd

He’s no great athlete, but he confounded Phil Taylor when they met and still has upside

5/152 TJ Yates QB North Carolina 6033/219 5.06c

No Manning 2.0, but a heady backup who could be covered up in a West Coast if it came to that

6/188 Frank Kearse DT Alabama A&M 6040/315 5.30pd

Whoa-oh, here he comes, he’s a maneater …

Busy or not ... I gotta blog

Back again. I’ll start with some question from Roy.

What say you about Tryon?

I say I love him. Both the stats and the eyeball test gave him high marks this season and, if the Colts’ corners are healthier this year, they would have the advantage of playing Tryon in more advantageous matchups. And he only cost a seventh-round pick.

Chances of Kevin Thomas becoming a player?

Good, if he can stay healthy, Thomas has strong measurables and good football sense. Going by his college tapes, he’s strong in press coverage and is probably the most skilled blitzer the Colts have had at the position in my memory. His best skill is open-field tackling, so at worst he helps on specials. I see him as competing for the No. 4 spot in 2011 and maybe starting in 2012.

Your thoughts on why Hughes has such a inactive rookie season?

He had a hard time adjusting to the Colts’ rather complicated defense – many players, like Fili Moala for example, take a year to master it. It’s hard to make much of an impact as a pass-rushing end with Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis taking so many snaps. I would still rank him as a top prospect, but I have to admit my confidence that he’ll break out has dimmed a little.

In other news:

While other Colts – like Austin Collie – are rehabbing at or ahead of schedule, Jamie Silva’s ACL is still a big problem. That only underlines the Colts’ need for an immediate upgrade at strong safety. Although Iowa’s Tyler Sash makes a ton of sense, I really like North Carolina’s DaNorris Searcy (left) and there's another safety prospect listed below who deserves a look-see from all Colts fans.

There's a persistent rumor that Bears defensive tackle Tommie Harris will sign with the Colts when the lockout ends. That scenario is kind of like being bitten by a piranha while swimming in a lake in Minnesota – it’s not theoretically impossible, but we all know it’s not gonna happen.

If you look at the players who the Colts have visited and scouted you can get a pretty good idea of who they’re going to draft and where. It’s not that they will draft any of these guys, but if they look at four first-round-level left offensive tackles, you can expect they will at least consider a left tackle in the first round. The number beside the player is his ranking on the NFLDraftScout.com database.

Quarterbacks

56 Colin Kaepernick QB Nevada

63 Andy Dalton QB TCU

297 TJ Yates QB North Carolina

Analysis: Kapernick and Dalton have about the same value, but for different reasons. Kaepernick is a big arm and Dalton is a big producer. Either could become an NFL starter, with Kaepernick having a higher ceiling and a much lower floor. Yates is an under-rated prospect who sees the field extremely well, but doesn’t have the arm strength or athleticism to transcend.

Halfbacks

441 Chad Spann HB North Illinois

Analysis: Spann’s a back like I like ’em – short, wide and productive. Still, he’s a third-day pick at best.

Fullbacks

Analysis: None? Interesting.

Wide receivers

44 Leonard Hankerson WR

49 Jerrel Jernigan WR Troy

601 Jarred Fayson WR Illinois

Analysis: I’m surprise – well, not surprised but disappointed – that the Colts are looking at receivers high. Hankerson is a great talent, but not the kind of natural football player and hard worker who could replace Reggie Wayne. A nice addition? Yes. A future No. 1? Probably not. Jernigan makes more sense, not as a No. 1, but as a slot/halfback/return guy who can score from anywhere. Fayson’s a project who hasn’t developed in part through hard luck.

Tight ends

Analysis: None? Interesting.

Centers and Guards

228 Jake Kirkpatrick C TCU

301 Ryan Bartholomew C Syracuse

667 John Gianninoto G UNLV

Analysis: Same ol’, same ol’. Both Kirkpatrick and Bartholomew are smart, hard-working but limited players. I wouldn’t be surprised to see either suit up with the ol’ horseshoe.

Offensive tackles

14 Tyron Smith T USC

22 Derek Sherrod T Mississippi State

24 Nate Solder T Colorado

630 Matt Murphy T UNLV

Analysis: Hmmm, there are five left tackles considered worthy of first-round consideration, and the Colts have dined three of them. Note that the three are all extraordinary athleteic specimens for their size and position and are known more for pass pro than run blocking.

Defensive tackles

29 Phil Taylor DT Baylor

400 Zach Clayton DT Auburn

448 Frank Kearse DT Alabama A&M

728 Teryl White DT North Carolina Central

Analysis: Ordinarily, I’d be delighted that the Colts are looking at a 350-pound first-round nose tackle, but not this year, there’s too much of a need at offensive tackle. Clayton is more of a 3-technique, but Kearse is another monster. I’d like to see a big guy here and it may, for once, actually happen.

Defensive Ends

7 Da’Quan Bowers DE Clemson

45 Brooks Reed DE Arizona

591 Marc Schiechl DE Colorado School of Mines

Analysis: Forget Bowers. Reed would disappoint me a great deal. Not that he’s a bad player, just that he’s not what they need. Schiechl is a lottery ticket.

Inside linebackers

Analysis: None? Interesting.

Outside linebackers

Analysis: None? Interesting.

Cornerbacks

99 Johnny Patrick CB Louisville

NL Prathon Wilkerson CB Albany State

Analysis: Patrick’s a talent, but I’m not sure they need him. Wilkerson is an interesting small school talent.

Safety

145 Jaiquawn Jarrett S Temple

Analysis: Undersized, but otherwise just what they need.

Bored

• What do Antonie Bethea, Clint Session and Pierre Garcon have in common? They were all compensatory draft picks. Too bad the Colts don’t have any this year.

• I have always hated the name “3-technique” because it’s misleading. It makes it sound as though it’s a skill set, not a position. In the Colts’ defense, both defensive tackles usually line up as “3-technique.” Rarely do you actually see anyone line up as a true nose tackle (or as modern terminology rather sadly puts it, “0-technique”). No matter what size or shape the Colts draft at defensive tackle, he will line up as a 3-technique.

• How does this guy sound? Starting left tackle at a big-time program who projects inside to guard. He runs 6054/324. Dashes? Ten in 1.82, twenty in 3.04 and forty in 5.31. He managed 28 reps, a 26.5 vertical, 7’10 long jump, 5.25 shuttle and 7.95 three-cone. Smart kid, graduated from top school in American studies. Draft him in a second, right? He’s already on the Colts roster. His name is Mike Tepper. He missed his senior season because a man trying to assault a young woman ran him over, dragged him 30 yards and broke his leg in four places. He’s all better now and could make some noise on a team with a pretty weak set of guards.

• Polian said he’s drafting as though all fourth-year free agents are unrestricted. That means he plans to go ahead without Joseph Addai, Melvin Bullitt, Antonio “Mookie” Johnson and Charlie Johnson. On paper, that’s four starters. Even with them, the Colts were looking at some big holes. Assuming the Colts can and will re-sign all of their free agents with three or fewer accrued seasons, this is what they would have (I have also included free agent Peyton Manning because without him, all bets are off and the team starts from Square One):

QB 18 Peyton Manning, 7 Curtis Painter

Analysis: Manning’s got a few years left and won’t be replaced this year unless the unthinkable happens; but Painter has been atrocious as a pro and needs replacing.

RB 31 Donald Brown, 42 Javarris James, 45 Devin Moore

Analysis: Ugh, Brown’s been a bust, James is a role player and Moore is a fragile return man who offers little from scrimmage.

FL 85 Pierre Garcon, 17 Austin Collie, 15 Blair White, 12 Chris Brooks

SE 87 Reggie Wayne, 11 Anthony Gonzalez, 10 Taj Smith, 13 Kole Heckendorf

Analysis: Some pretty good players here. Wayne probably needs a successor, but not right away.

TE 44 Dallas Clark, 84 Jacob Tamme

H-B 81 Brody Eldridge, 86 Rob Myers

Analysis: Solid, not the problem.

RT 71 Ryan Diem, 60 James Williams

LT 72 Jeff Linkenbach, 76 Joe Reitz

Analysis: Wow, the weakest part of the team – even weaker if, as many have predicted, they cut Diem.

RG 78 Mike Pollak, 73 Jaimie Thomas, 62 Mike Tepper

C 63 Jeff Saturday, 65 Jacques McClendon

LG 66 Kyle DeVan, 61 Jamey Richard, 77 Casey Bender

Analysis: Not quite as dire as the situation at tackle. Not quite.

RDE 93 Dwight Freeney, 92 Jerry Hughes

LDE 98 Robert Mathis, 68 Eric Foster, 97 John Chick

Analysis: Two top-notch starters and I think Hughes still has a big future.

RDT 90 Daniel Muir, 69 DeMario Pressley

LDT 95 Fili Moala, 91 Ricardo Mathews, 69 John Gill

Analysis: Moala surprised me by being decent, there’s not much else here, though, unless Pressley’s light finally switches on.

RLB 55 Clint Session, 53 Kavell Conner

MLB 58 Gary Brackett, 52 Cody Glenn

LLB 51 Pat Angerer, 50 Philip Wheeler, 54 Nate Triplett

Analysis: Solid with depth, move along.

RCB 25 Jerraud Powers, 27 Jacob Lacey, 39 Cornelius Brown, 36 Jordan Hemby

LCB 26 Kelvin Hayden, 20 Justin Tryon, 22 Kevin Thomas, 43 Terrence Johnson

Analysis: Surprisingly deep.

SS 23 Al Afalava, 38 Mike Newton, 30 David Caldwell

FS 41 Antoine Bethea, 49 Chip Vaughn, 37 Brandon King

Analysis: One great player and a bunch of maybes.