Maybe it will be a corner with the first pick. Colts GM Ryan Grigson to ESPN's Paul Kuharsky that if he had to choose between a rookie offensive lineman and a rookie corner, he'd go with a defensive back. His reasoning is that the learning curve is steeper on the line and linemen see things in the NFL "they've never even dreamed of" during their college careers. Astute reasoning, I think.
***
He also spoke with the Indy star's Mike Chappell. Updating injuries on the defensive line, he thinks Josh Chpman will be ready for OTAs, as will Drake Nevis. Brandon McKinney will be take a little longer and Fili Moala longer still. He especially called out Chapman, saying he "played it safe with him" and that he has "big plans" for the giant nose tackle. That, I think, should quiet any more talk of a first-round nose tackle (unless, of course, a can't-miss mega-prospect falls into their laps). Grigson also said he hoped to re-sign Moala, an unrestricted free agent.
He also said he likes the teams halfbacks, especially Vick Ballard. He even outlined a Ballard-Godammit Donald Brown-Delone Carter pecking order.
The other meaningful thing he said was that TY Hilton has to hit the weight room. He even called him a "peanut." Not exactly Bill Parcells calling Terry Glenn "she," but I'm sure young Eugene gets the point.
***
Lots of talk on the net about the Colts potentially acquiring Nnamdi Asomugha after the Eagles renegotiate his contract. Not sure how that'd work. It wouldn't be feasible under his current deal (it calls for salaries of $15 million in 2013, $12 million is 2014 and 2015, the first $4 million is guaranteed), and if the Eagles are working to restructure him, they'd probably also like to retain him. Great guy, great player, but I can't see the Colts getting him unless he refuses to play for Philadelphia outright (which doesn't appear likely given his high character and ethical standards).
***
As I do every year, I'll keep a list of prospects the Colts have made contact with. Here's what I have so far (please feel free to add, provide links if you can): Note: Sharp-eyed mrcrayz888 has already been keeping a list and has supplied additions. Thanks.
Corey Fuller WR Virginia Tech (postseason game)
Vance McDonald TE Rice (postseason game)
Ty Powell OLB Harding (postseason game)
Shamarko Thomas S Syracuse (postseason game)
Earl Watford G James Madison (postseason game)
Sylvester Williams DE/DT North Carolina (postseason game)
Luke Marquardt T Azusa Pacific (combine interview)
Wes Horton OLB USC (postseason game/thx mrcrayz888)
Arthur Brown ILB Kansas State (postseason game/thx mrcrayz888)
Datone Jones OLB UCLA (postseason game/thx mrcrayz888)
Christine Michael HB Texas A&M (postseason game/thx mrcrayz888)
Josh Williams OLB Kansas (postseason game/thx mrcrayz888)
Ray Graham HB Pitt (postseason game/thx mrcrayz888)
DJ Fluker T Alabama (postseason game/thx mrcrayz888)
Lane Johnson T Oklahoma (combine interview)
***
I took a Wonderlic for a job last year. Because I'm telling you that, I was pretty proud of my score.
Friday, February 22, 2013
Thursday, February 21, 2013
Corner in Round 1?
I'm not at all surprised that the Colts put in a waiver claim for ex-Saints defensive back Johnny Patrick. Nor am I surprised that they were beaten out by San Diego, whose GM is former Colts personnel whiz Tom Telesco.
It's not that Patrick is all that great (he's a dog in man coverage, but has the potential to be solid in the right system, and would probably benefit from a switch to free safety). But it shows that new blood at the position is very much something the Colts are in the market for. It won't be like last season's American Idol-style mass audition, but there will be lots of tire kicking.
Currently, the Colts have four corners under contract (or indentured as an ERFA). One, Vontae Davis, is a solid NFL starter. The other three -- Josh Gordy, Marshay Green and Teddy Williams -- are prospects of varying degrees. Keep an eye on Williams, a Olympic-class sprinter who did not play football in college, but has gone to camp with the Cowboys, played in the UFL and practiced with the Colts.
Other than their own free agents -- injury-prone Jerraud Powers, unpredictable Darius Butler and limited Cassius Vaughn -- the Colts may be shopping the field. The free agent group doesn't excite me, although there are some decent ones, like Bradley Fletcher (who I wanted the Colts to draft back in the day) and maybe Keenan Lewis.
The draft could provide a potential star in the first round (Poyer, Trufant, Banks) or a contributor in the third, but I still think pass rusher and pass protector are bigger needs.
***
People are excited about Jeremy Kelley, the king-sized wide receiver the Colts signed, but I'm reserved until I see something. The guy is huge and an athletic freak, check out his Pro Day numbers:
Height: 6055
Weight: 223
10-yard dash: 1.47
20-yard dash: 2.62
40-yard dash: 4.55
Bench press: 14
Vertical jump: 42
Broad jump: 10’11
20-yard shuttle: 3.89
3-cone drill: 6.60But he was unable to crack the lineup at Maine (Maine!), where he caught 13 passes and returned one punt in four seasons. Undrafted, he went to my hometown Hamilton Tiger-Cats of the pass-happy CFL and had two receptions for 15 yards. He then went to the Utah Blaze of the Arena League. Although his 19-231-7 receiving line may look pretty impressive, it was only good enough to be sixth on the team, way behind leader Aaron Lesue's 155-1,810-56 or even the inimitable Tysson Poots, who went 108-1,167-30.
I would totally give those numbers a pass if Kelley was coming to football from basketball or, like Williams at corner, track. But he isn't. Four years of college after four years of high school.
I'd love to see him work out in the NFL, but I'm not banking on it. He should concentrate on special teams, and hope the Colts want to keep him for that reason.
***
Just realized the Colts have been in Indy as long as they were in Baltimore.
Wednesday, February 20, 2013
Dead money
What it would cost against the cap to cut certain Colts veterans:
Samson Satele C $2,133,334
Jerry Hughes OLB $2,112,500
Donald Brown HB $1,015,000
Ben Ijalana G $721,090
Delone Carter HB $212,602
The Colts are already on the hook for $4,973,004 (96.52 percent of it because of Gary Brackett)
Gary Brackett LB $4,800,000
Chris Rucker CB $50,836
Tim Fugger OLB $47,046
Brody Eldridge TE $40,700
Chandler Harnish QB $34,422
Note: Harnish is back with the team, but his pro-rated bonus still counts against the cap because he was cut and re-signed in 2012.
Samson Satele C $2,133,334
Jerry Hughes OLB $2,112,500
Donald Brown HB $1,015,000
Ben Ijalana G $721,090
Delone Carter HB $212,602
The Colts are already on the hook for $4,973,004 (96.52 percent of it because of Gary Brackett)
Gary Brackett LB $4,800,000
Chris Rucker CB $50,836
Tim Fugger OLB $47,046
Brody Eldridge TE $40,700
Chandler Harnish QB $34,422
Note: Harnish is back with the team, but his pro-rated bonus still counts against the cap because he was cut and re-signed in 2012.
Current roster
Including ERFAs. If anyone has any fixes, changes or comments, please post. To be updated throughout the offseason.
Chandler
Harnish QB 6’2 219 7/28/1988 24
Clifton Geathers DE Lawrence
Guy DE 6’4 304 3/17/1990 22
Delano
Howell S 5’11 189 1/1/1900 113
QB
Andrew Luck QB 6’4 234 9/12/1989 23
HB
Vick Ballard HB 5’10 219 7/16/1990 22
Donald Brown HB 5’10 210 4/11/1987 25
Delone Carter HB 5’9 225 6/22/1987 25
Deji Karim HB 5’8 209 11/18/1986 26
Alvester Alexander HB 5’11 204 10/17/1990 22
Davin Meggett HB 5’9 215 3/22/1990 22
WR
Reggie Wayne WR 6’0 198 11/17/1978 34
T.Y. Hilton WR 5’10 183 11/14/1989 23
LaVon Brazill WR 5’11 192 3/15/1989 23
Griff Whalen WR 6’1 185 3/1/1990 22
Nathan Palmer WR 5’11 195 4/14/1989 23
Jeremy Kelley WR 6’6 223 6/9/1988 24
Jabin Sambrano WR 5’11 175 3/15/1990 22
TE/FB
Dwayne Allen TE 6’3 255 2/24/1990 22
Coby Fleener TE 6’6 247 9/20/1988 24
Weslye Saunders TE 6’5 270 1/16/1989 24
Dominique Jones TE 6’3 255 8/15/1987 25
Robert Hughes FB 5’11 235 6/21/1989 23
T
Anthony Castonzo T 6’7 305 8/9/1988 24
Jeff Linkenbach T 6’6 311 6/9/1987 25
Bradley Sowell T 6’7 316 6/6/1989 23
Lee Ziemba T 6’6 318 3/29/1989 23
G
Mike McGlynn G 6’4 320 3/8/1985 27
Joe Reitz G 6’7 320 6/9/1985 27
Seth Olsen G 6’5 308 12/17/1985 27
Ben Ijalana G 6’4 317 8/6/1989 23
Robert T. Griffin G 6’6 335 11/22/1989 23
Justin Anderson G 6’4 335 4/15/1988 24
C
Samson Satele C 6’3 300 11/29/1984 28
*AQ Shipley C 6’1 309 5/22/1986 26
DE
Cory Redding DE 6’4 298 11/15/1980 32
Drake Nevis
DE
Ricardo Mathews DE 6’3 294 7/30/1987 25
NT
Josh Chapman NT 6’1 316 6/10/1989 23
Brandon McKinney NT 6’2 345 8/24/1983 29
Martin Tevaseu NT 6’2 325 10/7/1987 25
Kellen Heard NT 6’6 346 10/17/1985 27
OLB
Robert Mathis LB 6’2 245 2/26/1981 31
Jerry Hughes LB 6’2 255 8/13/1988 24
Justin Hickman LB 6’2 265 7/20/1985 27
Jake Killeen LB 6’4 240 2/15/1986 27
Quinton Spears LB 6’4 234 5/11/1988 24
Monte Simmons LB 6’3 226 1/29/1989 24
ILB
Kavell Conner LB 6’0 242 2/23/1987 25
Jerrell Freeman LB 6’0 234 5/1/1986 26
Pat Angerer LB 6’0 235 1/31/1987 26
Mario Harvey LB 6’0 250 8/10/1987 25
A.J. Edds LB 6’4 246 9/18/1987 25
Scott Lutrus LB 6’3 241 4/23/1988 24
Shawn Loiseau LB 6’1 240 10/10/1989 23
CB
Vontae Davis CB 5’11 203 5/27/1988 24
Josh Gordy CB 5’11 195 2/9/1987 26
Marshay Green CB 5’10 175 1/14/1986 27
Teddy Williams CB 6’3 200 7/3/1988 24
S
Antoine Bethea S 5’11 203 7/27/1984 28
Tom Zbikowski S 5’11 200 5/22/1985 27
Joe Lefeged S 6’0 205 6/2/1988 24
Sergio Brown S 6’2 210 5/22/1988 24
Larry Asante
S 6’0 210 3/7/1988 24
ST
Matt Overton LS 6’0 254 7/6/1985 27
Adam Vinatieri K 6’0 202 12/28/1972 40
* I'm not entirely sure if Shipley is signed or an RFA
A nose tackle in the first round?
A healthy number of mock drafts on the internet are predicting the Colts will draft a nose tackle in the first round. It makes some sense as the incumbent nose tackle, Mookie Johnson, is an unrestricted free agent (and not all that good anyway). To make a 3-4 front work, a quality nose tackle is more than important, it's essential.
But many believe the Colts already have the answer on their roster. They drafted Alabama's Josh Chapman in the fifth round last season, fully aware that he was recovering from a major injury. In fact, he missed his entire rookie season. He's obviously a talent, but is he the answer?
Injury aside, Chapman certainly was capable in college. Like a stone wall against the run, Chapman used his immense strength to dominate blockers, often challenging two at once. Although he was surprisingly quick off the snap, he won't get behind blockers often (he recorded just 2.5 sacks in four years at Bama). In the passing game, his primary purpose is to occupy blockers to let someone else supply pressure. Of course, the usual liabilities with definitive-style nose tackles apply: Chapman won't make many tackles outside the interior line, will rarely stunt effectively, will only fall into sacks and will always be battling his weight.
His technique is good, and he's a selfless player who relishes his role as a wrestler. His experiences at Bama were similar to what the Colts would ask him to do -- spend most of his time as a two-gap nose tackle, shift over to a more traditional one-gap defensive tackle on occasion and get plenty of rest on passing downs.
So if we take out the injury question, Chapman would appear to be a solid nose tackle prospect. There's no doubt he's limited, but in the role he'd be asked to perform, he represents an upgrade over Johnson.
But you can't take away the injury question. It's been well documented that in his third season with the Crimson Tide, he played with a severe labrum injury, and in his fourth, he actually played (at a consistently high level) on a torn ACL.
While that indicates that he is remarkably tough, it also hints that he's injury prone and perhaps that he's damaged goods. A torn ACL is not like Tommy John surgery, you don't heal stronger than you were before. Still, it's not like he's a halfback, making quick cuts.
But he did have the surgery, performed by the justifiably famous Dr James Andrews, more than a year ago (January 2012), and the Colts activated him late last year, hoping he'd be ready to play. He wasn't, but he seems upbeat and his Twitter feed indicates that he fully expects to take the starting job next season.
For insurance, the Colts have Brandon McKinney and Martin Tevaseu. McKinney was signed from the Ravens last offseason, and was expected to be the starter, but he tore his ACL. If he is back to where he was before, he's a similar type of player to Chapman, but bigger and stronger, but even less mobile and not nearly as explosive. Tevaseu is not in the same class as Chapman or McKinney, but is strong for his size. He played extensively as Johnson's backup last season, but was uninspiring. Oh, and there's Kellen Heard.
I think that the Colts will probably be fine, at least capable, at nose tackle when Chapman and McKinney return. Since both have wonky knees, it's a bit of a risk, but what isn't in the NFL?
Unless a Vince Wolfork-level prospect falls to them at No. 24, and they have solutions in hand at more pressing areas like pass rusher and guard, I would recommend the Colts do not invest their first-round pick in a nose tackle.
***
More recent veteran cuts:
Steve Breaston: I used to really like this guy, and he did have a huge season (77-1,006-3) in 2008. He's fallen off since, and I don't see the Colts having much interest in another skinny receiver who, at his best, avoids the middle and is not much help in the red zone. If they wanted that, it'd be easier to re-sign Donnie Avery.
Kevin Boss: Great player a few years back, but concussions have made him unsignable. Not unlike Austin Collie.
David Thomas: The Colts don't go looking for 30-year-old spare parts very often, but Thomas has value as a versatile tight end who can also play slot or even fullback. Thomas is a good route runner with reliable hands, but not a guy who'll split the safeties anymore. A better run blocker than pass blocker, he's more than passable at both. I can't see the Colts inviting him to camp, but I could see them calling him if injuries hit or their other backup options at tight end do not work out.
Johnny Patrick: A third-round pick just a few years back, Patrick was the worst in a bad set of corners in New Orleans last year. On those grounds, I wouldn't touch him (although he would look better in the Colts' scheme than he did in the Saints'). But, considering his tackling ability and skills in zone coverage, I would definitely grab him on the cheap and try to mold him into a free safety. Ah, but that's me. The Colts will probably pass. Late note: Patrick was claimed by the Chargers, whose personnel department is headed by former Colts guy Tom Telesco.
Bart Scott: He was quietly effective last season as an inside linebacker for the Jets, and would probably be the same with the Colts. But I don't see them bringing in a 33-year-old veteran, especially one who's made it clear he'd prefer to return to the Meadowlands.
Josh Baker: Marginal guy with ACL problems, pass.
Jason Smith: Considered one of the biggest busts in draft history, Smith's value now is as a jumbo tight end (extra blocker in short-yardage situations) and, perhaps, as a reclamation project at right tackle. If Joe Gilbert thinks he can bring out the fire in this reluctant dragon, he could be worth a low-cost flyer.
Calvin Pace: The Colts could use a pass rusher, but Pace's glory days are long over.
Eric Smith: Never more than a spot starter and special-teams guy, Smith has some intriguing qualities, but is on the downside of his career. The only scenario I could see him joining the Colts under would be as an injury replacement.
***
Other thoughts:
• I'd be surprised if Nate Palmer does not make the team. A legitimate speedster, he's raw, but has a gift.
Colts fans should check out the 2011 MAC championship in which NIU edged Ohio. Palmer was the MVP with 4-115-2 receiving and 4-17-0 rushing. On the opposing side, LaVon Brazill chipped in 8-124-0 receiving and 1-6-0 rushing. And Palmer was getting his passes from fellow Colt Chandler Harnish, who went 26-16-250-3-1 passing and 13-31-0 rushing.
Oh, and Palmer also sang the anthem before NIU games.
With him, Brazill, Reggie Wayne, TY Hilton and Griff Whalen, it may be difficult for a rookie or free agent to crack the roster. Still, the group lacks size. If a big target who can make yards after the catch appears on the horizon, I could see the team making room for him.
• After writing about the danger of high-buck free agents, a case study of sorts occurred to me. Jake Long is a star player (a former No. 1 pick) who plays at a position of need for the Colts. Not only are the Dolphins not putting a franchise tag ($15.4 million) on him, but they are low-balling him with an offer in the $6 million-$7 million range. If he's right and in the right scheme, he's worth close to double that.
If he's right. Long toughed out an injury-plagued 2012 season (finishing on injured reserve), and there has been some talk that he's already breaking down even though he'll be just 28 at the start of next season. That the Dolphins are not aggressively pursuing him is an indication that they are, at best, taking a wait-and-see strategy with him.
And in the right scheme. Long is a power-forward style tackle, and struggled to adjust when the Dolphins moved to a more movement-oriented approach. That style is a lot closer to what the Colts are likely to play in 2013.
Long will find a home this season, just not likely in Indy.
• So Peyton Manning is trying to sell Dwight Freeney on Denver. Could be a nice match. Another good fit would be the Giants. He's from the area, and would thrive in their defense. There are also rumblings Freeney might end up in Atlanta. It would be a good fit football-wise. Any of the three would give him another chance at a Super Bowl.
But many believe the Colts already have the answer on their roster. They drafted Alabama's Josh Chapman in the fifth round last season, fully aware that he was recovering from a major injury. In fact, he missed his entire rookie season. He's obviously a talent, but is he the answer?
Injury aside, Chapman certainly was capable in college. Like a stone wall against the run, Chapman used his immense strength to dominate blockers, often challenging two at once. Although he was surprisingly quick off the snap, he won't get behind blockers often (he recorded just 2.5 sacks in four years at Bama). In the passing game, his primary purpose is to occupy blockers to let someone else supply pressure. Of course, the usual liabilities with definitive-style nose tackles apply: Chapman won't make many tackles outside the interior line, will rarely stunt effectively, will only fall into sacks and will always be battling his weight.
His technique is good, and he's a selfless player who relishes his role as a wrestler. His experiences at Bama were similar to what the Colts would ask him to do -- spend most of his time as a two-gap nose tackle, shift over to a more traditional one-gap defensive tackle on occasion and get plenty of rest on passing downs.
So if we take out the injury question, Chapman would appear to be a solid nose tackle prospect. There's no doubt he's limited, but in the role he'd be asked to perform, he represents an upgrade over Johnson.
But you can't take away the injury question. It's been well documented that in his third season with the Crimson Tide, he played with a severe labrum injury, and in his fourth, he actually played (at a consistently high level) on a torn ACL.
While that indicates that he is remarkably tough, it also hints that he's injury prone and perhaps that he's damaged goods. A torn ACL is not like Tommy John surgery, you don't heal stronger than you were before. Still, it's not like he's a halfback, making quick cuts.
But he did have the surgery, performed by the justifiably famous Dr James Andrews, more than a year ago (January 2012), and the Colts activated him late last year, hoping he'd be ready to play. He wasn't, but he seems upbeat and his Twitter feed indicates that he fully expects to take the starting job next season.
For insurance, the Colts have Brandon McKinney and Martin Tevaseu. McKinney was signed from the Ravens last offseason, and was expected to be the starter, but he tore his ACL. If he is back to where he was before, he's a similar type of player to Chapman, but bigger and stronger, but even less mobile and not nearly as explosive. Tevaseu is not in the same class as Chapman or McKinney, but is strong for his size. He played extensively as Johnson's backup last season, but was uninspiring. Oh, and there's Kellen Heard.
I think that the Colts will probably be fine, at least capable, at nose tackle when Chapman and McKinney return. Since both have wonky knees, it's a bit of a risk, but what isn't in the NFL?
Unless a Vince Wolfork-level prospect falls to them at No. 24, and they have solutions in hand at more pressing areas like pass rusher and guard, I would recommend the Colts do not invest their first-round pick in a nose tackle.
***
More recent veteran cuts:
Steve Breaston: I used to really like this guy, and he did have a huge season (77-1,006-3) in 2008. He's fallen off since, and I don't see the Colts having much interest in another skinny receiver who, at his best, avoids the middle and is not much help in the red zone. If they wanted that, it'd be easier to re-sign Donnie Avery.
Kevin Boss: Great player a few years back, but concussions have made him unsignable. Not unlike Austin Collie.
David Thomas: The Colts don't go looking for 30-year-old spare parts very often, but Thomas has value as a versatile tight end who can also play slot or even fullback. Thomas is a good route runner with reliable hands, but not a guy who'll split the safeties anymore. A better run blocker than pass blocker, he's more than passable at both. I can't see the Colts inviting him to camp, but I could see them calling him if injuries hit or their other backup options at tight end do not work out.
Johnny Patrick: A third-round pick just a few years back, Patrick was the worst in a bad set of corners in New Orleans last year. On those grounds, I wouldn't touch him (although he would look better in the Colts' scheme than he did in the Saints'). But, considering his tackling ability and skills in zone coverage, I would definitely grab him on the cheap and try to mold him into a free safety. Ah, but that's me. The Colts will probably pass. Late note: Patrick was claimed by the Chargers, whose personnel department is headed by former Colts guy Tom Telesco.
Bart Scott: He was quietly effective last season as an inside linebacker for the Jets, and would probably be the same with the Colts. But I don't see them bringing in a 33-year-old veteran, especially one who's made it clear he'd prefer to return to the Meadowlands.
Josh Baker: Marginal guy with ACL problems, pass.
Jason Smith: Considered one of the biggest busts in draft history, Smith's value now is as a jumbo tight end (extra blocker in short-yardage situations) and, perhaps, as a reclamation project at right tackle. If Joe Gilbert thinks he can bring out the fire in this reluctant dragon, he could be worth a low-cost flyer.
Calvin Pace: The Colts could use a pass rusher, but Pace's glory days are long over.
Eric Smith: Never more than a spot starter and special-teams guy, Smith has some intriguing qualities, but is on the downside of his career. The only scenario I could see him joining the Colts under would be as an injury replacement.
***
Other thoughts:
• I'd be surprised if Nate Palmer does not make the team. A legitimate speedster, he's raw, but has a gift.
Colts fans should check out the 2011 MAC championship in which NIU edged Ohio. Palmer was the MVP with 4-115-2 receiving and 4-17-0 rushing. On the opposing side, LaVon Brazill chipped in 8-124-0 receiving and 1-6-0 rushing. And Palmer was getting his passes from fellow Colt Chandler Harnish, who went 26-16-250-3-1 passing and 13-31-0 rushing.
Oh, and Palmer also sang the anthem before NIU games.
With him, Brazill, Reggie Wayne, TY Hilton and Griff Whalen, it may be difficult for a rookie or free agent to crack the roster. Still, the group lacks size. If a big target who can make yards after the catch appears on the horizon, I could see the team making room for him.
• After writing about the danger of high-buck free agents, a case study of sorts occurred to me. Jake Long is a star player (a former No. 1 pick) who plays at a position of need for the Colts. Not only are the Dolphins not putting a franchise tag ($15.4 million) on him, but they are low-balling him with an offer in the $6 million-$7 million range. If he's right and in the right scheme, he's worth close to double that.
If he's right. Long toughed out an injury-plagued 2012 season (finishing on injured reserve), and there has been some talk that he's already breaking down even though he'll be just 28 at the start of next season. That the Dolphins are not aggressively pursuing him is an indication that they are, at best, taking a wait-and-see strategy with him.
And in the right scheme. Long is a power-forward style tackle, and struggled to adjust when the Dolphins moved to a more movement-oriented approach. That style is a lot closer to what the Colts are likely to play in 2013.
Long will find a home this season, just not likely in Indy.
• So Peyton Manning is trying to sell Dwight Freeney on Denver. Could be a nice match. Another good fit would be the Giants. He's from the area, and would thrive in their defense. There are also rumblings Freeney might end up in Atlanta. It would be a good fit football-wise. Any of the three would give him another chance at a Super Bowl.
Tuesday, February 19, 2013
The dangers of signing veteran free agents
There seems to be a feeling among Colts fans that because they have a huge amount of money under the cap, they should sign everyone they can as though the NFL was a giant game of Madden. But there are dangers associated with signing free agents, especially older ones, that can manifest themselves down the line. Many a team has been crippled by throwing a huge contract at a guy, and having it not work out. Besides, bringing in an outside player for huge money can not only affect the teams' salary structure, but it can breed resentment.
I'm not against signing free agents, I just think wisdom, even frugality should be applied.
Since the Patriots say they are unwilling to put a franchise tag on Wes Welker, their super slot man of so many years, some Colts fans will be clamoring for their team to sign him. But there are two big red flags and one smaller, sort of yellow-ish one.
The first and most important of the mitigating factors is that Welker has a ton of wear and tear on him. In 140 NFL regular-season games, he has caught 768 passes, ran the ball 19 times and returned 241 punts and 183 kicks. Factor in that the Patriots usually go quite deep into the playoffs and you're looking at a guy who has run a lot of routes and taken a lot of hits. While Welker is certainly tough and has a Franco Harris-like ability to avoid big hits, he's not a big man and hardly a young one.
The other major stumbling block is that, although I would not say that he's the product of the Patriots' system, I would say that he's been very comfortable in it. As a Charger and Dolphin, he was "that Welker kid," not the undisputed king of the slot. Maybe it was just maturity or being given a chance, but it seems to me that Welker would have a hard time recreating that comfort level in another uniform.
And the third, perhaps minor factor is that I think he might not want to come to Indy. He has a bikini model for a wife, he hangs out with 50 Cent, he vacations in Aspen. I'm not sure he'd be excited about relocating to the Midwest (although he is originally from OKC).
Although I'm sure there is some GM willing to open up the vaults for Welker, I don't think it'll be Ryan Grigson. Even so, I think Welker would take a plus-sized pay cut to stay in Foxboro.
The franchise number on Welker is about $11.4M. He won't make that, but is almost certain to eclipse Reggie Wayne's $5.8M annual salary by a wide margin. How do you explain that to a young team whose primary strength is unity?
It's a similar scenario with Ed Reed. The guy's had a stellar, maybe Hall of Fame, career. He's a leader, an athlete and a good guy. So why not?
Well, he's old. Very old by football standards. He'll be 35 in the second week of the 2013 regular season. He's played in 160 games (starting 159) at one of the most grueling and body-destroying positions in football. Although he played well in 2012, Reed began to show his age. Still a whiz in coverage because of his placement, anticipation and encyclopedic knowledge, Reed was flagged more often than usual and made a habit of missing tackles, particularly in the run game. I would not be surprised if it represented the beginning of a very rapid end to Reed's playing days.
And he's a free safety. The Colts actually have a younger, more effective free safety on their roster in Antoine Bethea. He's set to become an unrestricted free agent after the 2013 season. Obviously, Colts fans don't see Reed as a long-term replacement for Bethea (at least I hope not), so I guess they think he'll play strong safety. It can be argued that the difference is not great, but it still would require a transition on Reed's part. And you have to wonder, would signing Reed push Bethea's price up?
Reed reminds me of Jeff Saturday. After a long and distinguished career as a Colt, he spent one decent but realistically superfluous season with the Packers and has come back to retire with the Colts. Besides the risks of breakdown, erosion of talent and profound salary-structure ramifications, there's one other huge reason not to sign veteran star free agents -- there heart will always belong to another team.
***
Some late-round prospects to discuss:
David Bass OLB Missouri Western D2 sackmaster
Micah Hyde CB Iowa Tough guy who knows zones
David Bakhtiari G Colorado Short, scrappy tackle
Cobi Hamilton WR Arkansas Strong deep threat
Shamarko Thomas SS Syracuse Depth at position pushes him down
Travis Johnson OLB San Jose State Quick sack guy, may be overvalued at this point
Aaron Mellette WR Elon Big kid makes his own yards
Jordan Mills G Louisiana Tech May be drafted higher
JC Tretter G Cornell Small-school standout
Quanterus Smith OLB Western Kentucky Sun Belt sack machine recovering from ACL tear
I'm not against signing free agents, I just think wisdom, even frugality should be applied.
Since the Patriots say they are unwilling to put a franchise tag on Wes Welker, their super slot man of so many years, some Colts fans will be clamoring for their team to sign him. But there are two big red flags and one smaller, sort of yellow-ish one.
The first and most important of the mitigating factors is that Welker has a ton of wear and tear on him. In 140 NFL regular-season games, he has caught 768 passes, ran the ball 19 times and returned 241 punts and 183 kicks. Factor in that the Patriots usually go quite deep into the playoffs and you're looking at a guy who has run a lot of routes and taken a lot of hits. While Welker is certainly tough and has a Franco Harris-like ability to avoid big hits, he's not a big man and hardly a young one.
The other major stumbling block is that, although I would not say that he's the product of the Patriots' system, I would say that he's been very comfortable in it. As a Charger and Dolphin, he was "that Welker kid," not the undisputed king of the slot. Maybe it was just maturity or being given a chance, but it seems to me that Welker would have a hard time recreating that comfort level in another uniform.
And the third, perhaps minor factor is that I think he might not want to come to Indy. He has a bikini model for a wife, he hangs out with 50 Cent, he vacations in Aspen. I'm not sure he'd be excited about relocating to the Midwest (although he is originally from OKC).
Although I'm sure there is some GM willing to open up the vaults for Welker, I don't think it'll be Ryan Grigson. Even so, I think Welker would take a plus-sized pay cut to stay in Foxboro.
The franchise number on Welker is about $11.4M. He won't make that, but is almost certain to eclipse Reggie Wayne's $5.8M annual salary by a wide margin. How do you explain that to a young team whose primary strength is unity?
It's a similar scenario with Ed Reed. The guy's had a stellar, maybe Hall of Fame, career. He's a leader, an athlete and a good guy. So why not?
Well, he's old. Very old by football standards. He'll be 35 in the second week of the 2013 regular season. He's played in 160 games (starting 159) at one of the most grueling and body-destroying positions in football. Although he played well in 2012, Reed began to show his age. Still a whiz in coverage because of his placement, anticipation and encyclopedic knowledge, Reed was flagged more often than usual and made a habit of missing tackles, particularly in the run game. I would not be surprised if it represented the beginning of a very rapid end to Reed's playing days.
And he's a free safety. The Colts actually have a younger, more effective free safety on their roster in Antoine Bethea. He's set to become an unrestricted free agent after the 2013 season. Obviously, Colts fans don't see Reed as a long-term replacement for Bethea (at least I hope not), so I guess they think he'll play strong safety. It can be argued that the difference is not great, but it still would require a transition on Reed's part. And you have to wonder, would signing Reed push Bethea's price up?
Reed reminds me of Jeff Saturday. After a long and distinguished career as a Colt, he spent one decent but realistically superfluous season with the Packers and has come back to retire with the Colts. Besides the risks of breakdown, erosion of talent and profound salary-structure ramifications, there's one other huge reason not to sign veteran star free agents -- there heart will always belong to another team.
***
Some late-round prospects to discuss:
David Bass OLB Missouri Western D2 sackmaster
Micah Hyde CB Iowa Tough guy who knows zones
David Bakhtiari G Colorado Short, scrappy tackle
Cobi Hamilton WR Arkansas Strong deep threat
Shamarko Thomas SS Syracuse Depth at position pushes him down
Travis Johnson OLB San Jose State Quick sack guy, may be overvalued at this point
Aaron Mellette WR Elon Big kid makes his own yards
Jordan Mills G Louisiana Tech May be drafted higher
JC Tretter G Cornell Small-school standout
Quanterus Smith OLB Western Kentucky Sun Belt sack machine recovering from ACL tear
Monday, February 18, 2013
Freeney, Collie and the Colts
It's all over the internet that the Colts "cut" Dwight Freeney and Austin Collie. The truth is only slightly different: The team has decided not to offer either unrestricted free agent a contract, even though both have publicly stated that they would have preferred to return to the team.
Freeney's exit will create a huge hole for the team. Athough much was made of his measly five sacks in 2012 (Colts fans usually expect 12-16 from him), I would argue that he was the team's best pass rusher last season. While Robert Mathis (and I am here to praise Freeney, not dis Mathis, who is an excellent player) had more sacks (eight), he had fewer QB hits (five to nine) and fewer than half the all-important QB hurries (16 to 33). Looking at it that way, Freeney got behind his man 47 times, while Mathis did just 29 times. That Mathis had more sacks seems to me just the luck of the draw. Keep in mind, though, that Freeney did almost nothing but rush the passer (414 rushes in 436 passing plays), while Mathis had more diverse duties (283 of 351).
It's unlikely the Colts can replace Freeney's production (not to mention leadership, charisma and community value) with a player currently on the roster. The outlaw Jerry Hughes showed great improvement last season (four sacks, six hits and 17 hurries in 304 rushes), but I would be surprised if the Colts think he's what they need at the position. The other guys on the roster are just guys until they prove something.
In free agency, it's all about Paul Kruger for me. I know I have been (rightfully) criticized for being a little too impressed by his performances against the Colts and in the playoffs, but his regular-season numbers are strong. In 359 pass rushes, he netted 10 sacks, 12 hits and 33 hurries. You don't have to run that through a mainframe to know those are good numbers. People have pointed out that: a) Kruger benefited from having Terrell Suggs on the other side, and b) that he never did much until his contract year. I'd respond that: a) he'd have Mathis on the other side in basically the same scheme with the Colts, and b) he was playing behind Jarrett Johnson before last season, and often out-performing him. Even better, the Ravens probably won't have the cap space to keep him, and they have Courtney Upshaw waiting in the wings. Kruger's not Freeney as an overall talent, but is younger and might be a better fit.
As for the draft, I'm holding off too many comments on this most volatile of positions until I see more.
Even if they do adequately replace him on the field, there can't be a single Colt fan who will not miss Freeney.
As for Collie, the shock won't be as great. The Grigson regime seems to have taken his absence into account right from the start. Last year's draftees TY Hilton and LaVon Brazill appear ready to take big steps in their second seasons, as does undrafted rookie slot guy Griff Whalen.
There's been widespread speculation that Collie will join his old pal Peyton Manning in Denver. It wouldn't surprise me at all. Still, I'd prefer if he moved on from the game with his health still mostly intact.
***
It would be an utter tragedy if the Colts let Pat McAfee go. Not only is he about the best at what he does, he is also the fun-loving face of the franchise. While it may be all about Andrew Luck, which would you invite to a party?
The options would be a long-term deal or the franchise tag. Don't be too surprised if the team tags his as a precaution while they work out a deal. The tag would cost about $2.9 million, so even if it came down to that, I think think he's worth it.
***
I don't think the Colts would mount a serious pursuit of Charles Woodson, even though he's still a very good player, because of his age and likely contract demands. And they wouldn't touch Titus Young with a 20-foot pole. He's just not a Colt.
Freeney's exit will create a huge hole for the team. Athough much was made of his measly five sacks in 2012 (Colts fans usually expect 12-16 from him), I would argue that he was the team's best pass rusher last season. While Robert Mathis (and I am here to praise Freeney, not dis Mathis, who is an excellent player) had more sacks (eight), he had fewer QB hits (five to nine) and fewer than half the all-important QB hurries (16 to 33). Looking at it that way, Freeney got behind his man 47 times, while Mathis did just 29 times. That Mathis had more sacks seems to me just the luck of the draw. Keep in mind, though, that Freeney did almost nothing but rush the passer (414 rushes in 436 passing plays), while Mathis had more diverse duties (283 of 351).
It's unlikely the Colts can replace Freeney's production (not to mention leadership, charisma and community value) with a player currently on the roster. The outlaw Jerry Hughes showed great improvement last season (four sacks, six hits and 17 hurries in 304 rushes), but I would be surprised if the Colts think he's what they need at the position. The other guys on the roster are just guys until they prove something.
In free agency, it's all about Paul Kruger for me. I know I have been (rightfully) criticized for being a little too impressed by his performances against the Colts and in the playoffs, but his regular-season numbers are strong. In 359 pass rushes, he netted 10 sacks, 12 hits and 33 hurries. You don't have to run that through a mainframe to know those are good numbers. People have pointed out that: a) Kruger benefited from having Terrell Suggs on the other side, and b) that he never did much until his contract year. I'd respond that: a) he'd have Mathis on the other side in basically the same scheme with the Colts, and b) he was playing behind Jarrett Johnson before last season, and often out-performing him. Even better, the Ravens probably won't have the cap space to keep him, and they have Courtney Upshaw waiting in the wings. Kruger's not Freeney as an overall talent, but is younger and might be a better fit.
As for the draft, I'm holding off too many comments on this most volatile of positions until I see more.
Even if they do adequately replace him on the field, there can't be a single Colt fan who will not miss Freeney.
As for Collie, the shock won't be as great. The Grigson regime seems to have taken his absence into account right from the start. Last year's draftees TY Hilton and LaVon Brazill appear ready to take big steps in their second seasons, as does undrafted rookie slot guy Griff Whalen.
There's been widespread speculation that Collie will join his old pal Peyton Manning in Denver. It wouldn't surprise me at all. Still, I'd prefer if he moved on from the game with his health still mostly intact.
***
It would be an utter tragedy if the Colts let Pat McAfee go. Not only is he about the best at what he does, he is also the fun-loving face of the franchise. While it may be all about Andrew Luck, which would you invite to a party?
The options would be a long-term deal or the franchise tag. Don't be too surprised if the team tags his as a precaution while they work out a deal. The tag would cost about $2.9 million, so even if it came down to that, I think think he's worth it.
***
I don't think the Colts would mount a serious pursuit of Charles Woodson, even though he's still a very good player, because of his age and likely contract demands. And they wouldn't touch Titus Young with a 20-foot pole. He's just not a Colt.
Friday, February 15, 2013
I gotta come up with better headlines
It was interesting to hear was Pep had to say. As far as trick plays and formations are concerned, I wouldn't put too much stock it in. Like the Wildcat. Do you really want to take the ball out of Andrew Luck's hands? Maybe have Vick Ballard tossing it out there? I don't remember that sort of thing happening too often at Stanford.
The last time I remember the Colts doing anything like that was in 1988 when they ran the Wishbone a few times, wisely preferring to let Eric Dickerson and Albert Bentley do their stuff than just to let Chris Chandler, Gary Hogeboom and Jack Trudeau have all the fun.
***
Speaking of the Stanford offense, I see a lot of Colts fans are hoping for a "speed back" to complement Ballard. Again, I don't see it happening. Modern NFL offenses are built with very specific tasks for halfbacks that require certain strengths. In what I like to call the Luck offense, backs must be able to pass block, contribute as receivers and get hard yards on the ground. Those backs are very strong, sometimes at the expense of speed. Let's compare forties of the Colts halfbacks from last season: Vick Ballard 4.52, Donald Brown 4.46, Mewelde Moore 4.65, Delone Carter 4.54 and Deji Karim 4.40. None are true speedsters, though Karim plays fast (and saw a total of zero downs on offense in 2012), and Brown appears to be on his ways out (so does Moore, but it's not related to speed because he never had any).
The primary halfbacks who played in the Luck offense at Stanford fit the same mold: Toby Gerhart (4.50) and Stepfan Taylor (hasn't offically run yet, but I'd peg him at 4.55-4.58). Gerhart is coming off a down season in Minnesota, but is very valuable as Adrian Peterson's backup and as a third-down specialist, so it's unlikely the Vikings would want to part with him in a trade. He is in a contract year, though. Taylor is an excellent fit for the offense, but his stock is rising fast, and it would not surprise me if he's gone before the Colts third-round pick rolls around.
***
Pep's talk led many to believe that the fullback question is answered because he nominated Dwayne Allen (Pro Bowl tight end Dwayne Allen, that is) for the job. Allen is definitely up to it, but I wouldn't mind seeing a genuine fullback on the roster as well.
A lot of people have mentioned Owen Marecic, a former Stanford Cardinal who has worn out his welcome in Cleveland. I guess it could happen, but I don't think he is a good enough receiver -- he actually dropped all four passes directed at him in 2012 -- to be a Colt. He is a pretty good blocker and special teamer, though.
***
Looking at recent NFL cuts, I see cornerback Terrence McGee. He's pretty old, injury-prone and slow, but is smart and a very good tackler. If his knee checks out okay, he may be able to extend his career as a free safety, but that's a longshot at best.
The Bills also cut safety George Wilson and linebacker Nick Barnett. Wilson's a very good box safety with some coverage skills. He's drawing lots of interest around the league despite being 32. Although he would work well in the Colts' defense, he would not represent an upgrade over incumbent Tom Zbikowki, so the team would be unwise to enter a bidding war for his services. Barnett, a former first-round pick, has been a solid player for years, but failed his physical with the Bills (who just happened to gain $3M in cap space by cutting him). He played well last season, but is a bit light for the Colts. If they have any interest in him at all, they would be wise to check him over thoroughly.
Also available is former Titans linebacker Kevin Malast. More athlete than football player, I don't see how he would fit in Indy.
The biggest name cut recently is receiver Johnny Knox. But he has rather wisely decided to retire.
***
Bleacher Report has a seven-round mock draft. Here's what they have the Colts getting:
1. Alex Okafor LB Texas
3. Sean Porter LB Texas A&M
4. Aaron Dobson WR Marshall
6. Reid Fragel OT Ohio State
I like Okafor, certainly, and pass rusher is a top need. Porter could be a fit inside, but it's really not a need and he's not special enough to transcend that. Dobson is an oustanding pick. Big and strong, he's a great red-zone target and has great YAC ability. Plus he's a great guy. Love this pick. As much as I like Fragel and think the former tight end would be a bargain in the sixth, I think the Colts need an offensive lineman before then.
If you replace Porter with someone like Cal center Brian Schwenke, it'd be a great draft.
The last time I remember the Colts doing anything like that was in 1988 when they ran the Wishbone a few times, wisely preferring to let Eric Dickerson and Albert Bentley do their stuff than just to let Chris Chandler, Gary Hogeboom and Jack Trudeau have all the fun.
***
Speaking of the Stanford offense, I see a lot of Colts fans are hoping for a "speed back" to complement Ballard. Again, I don't see it happening. Modern NFL offenses are built with very specific tasks for halfbacks that require certain strengths. In what I like to call the Luck offense, backs must be able to pass block, contribute as receivers and get hard yards on the ground. Those backs are very strong, sometimes at the expense of speed. Let's compare forties of the Colts halfbacks from last season: Vick Ballard 4.52, Donald Brown 4.46, Mewelde Moore 4.65, Delone Carter 4.54 and Deji Karim 4.40. None are true speedsters, though Karim plays fast (and saw a total of zero downs on offense in 2012), and Brown appears to be on his ways out (so does Moore, but it's not related to speed because he never had any).
The primary halfbacks who played in the Luck offense at Stanford fit the same mold: Toby Gerhart (4.50) and Stepfan Taylor (hasn't offically run yet, but I'd peg him at 4.55-4.58). Gerhart is coming off a down season in Minnesota, but is very valuable as Adrian Peterson's backup and as a third-down specialist, so it's unlikely the Vikings would want to part with him in a trade. He is in a contract year, though. Taylor is an excellent fit for the offense, but his stock is rising fast, and it would not surprise me if he's gone before the Colts third-round pick rolls around.
***
Pep's talk led many to believe that the fullback question is answered because he nominated Dwayne Allen (Pro Bowl tight end Dwayne Allen, that is) for the job. Allen is definitely up to it, but I wouldn't mind seeing a genuine fullback on the roster as well.
A lot of people have mentioned Owen Marecic, a former Stanford Cardinal who has worn out his welcome in Cleveland. I guess it could happen, but I don't think he is a good enough receiver -- he actually dropped all four passes directed at him in 2012 -- to be a Colt. He is a pretty good blocker and special teamer, though.
***
Looking at recent NFL cuts, I see cornerback Terrence McGee. He's pretty old, injury-prone and slow, but is smart and a very good tackler. If his knee checks out okay, he may be able to extend his career as a free safety, but that's a longshot at best.
The Bills also cut safety George Wilson and linebacker Nick Barnett. Wilson's a very good box safety with some coverage skills. He's drawing lots of interest around the league despite being 32. Although he would work well in the Colts' defense, he would not represent an upgrade over incumbent Tom Zbikowki, so the team would be unwise to enter a bidding war for his services. Barnett, a former first-round pick, has been a solid player for years, but failed his physical with the Bills (who just happened to gain $3M in cap space by cutting him). He played well last season, but is a bit light for the Colts. If they have any interest in him at all, they would be wise to check him over thoroughly.
Also available is former Titans linebacker Kevin Malast. More athlete than football player, I don't see how he would fit in Indy.
The biggest name cut recently is receiver Johnny Knox. But he has rather wisely decided to retire.
***
Bleacher Report has a seven-round mock draft. Here's what they have the Colts getting:
1. Alex Okafor LB Texas
3. Sean Porter LB Texas A&M
4. Aaron Dobson WR Marshall
6. Reid Fragel OT Ohio State
I like Okafor, certainly, and pass rusher is a top need. Porter could be a fit inside, but it's really not a need and he's not special enough to transcend that. Dobson is an oustanding pick. Big and strong, he's a great red-zone target and has great YAC ability. Plus he's a great guy. Love this pick. As much as I like Fragel and think the former tight end would be a bargain in the sixth, I think the Colts need an offensive lineman before then.
If you replace Porter with someone like Cal center Brian Schwenke, it'd be a great draft.
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
More offseason thoughts
I like that the media is giving Drew Stanton some love by claiming Bruce Arians wants to take him to the desert with him. I'm not saying it couldn't happen, but after the years of bad quarterbackery there, fans really don't want to see a guy with a 2-2 record in a possible 96 games brought in as anything more than a backup.
The old adage that if you have two quarterbacks, you have none applies here except that the Cards would just be throwing Stanton on a pile that already includes Kevin Kolb (9-12), John Skelton (8-9), Ryan Lindley (1-3) and, perhaps, Brian Hoyer (0-1). The Cards are looking to restructure Kolb's massive deal, and could easily and cheaply cut ties with Skelton and Hoyer. Kolb's a better fit in Arians' offense than he was in the previous one, but the problem with him has always been his durabilty. The Cards could go into the season with him as the starter, Stanton as the backup and Lindley as the baseball cap guy.
They could, but it wouldn't be an upgrade.
***
A lot of Colts fans are hoping their team drafts huge Alabama tackle DJ Fluker in the first round. Don't count me among them. While there's no doubt Fluker is a first-round talent, he is a bad fit for the Colts. Heavy-footed and slow, his pass blocking is not up to the standard the Colts require at the position, especially when facing speed rushers. Even in the run game, the Colts' offensive scheme requires more motion than I think Fluker is actually capable of. Oklahoma's Lane Johnson, an athletic former quarterback and tight end, would represent a much better choice if he's available. He reminds me a lot of Nate Solder.
A better choice than either would be North Carolina guard Jonathan Cooper, if he's available. Fans tend to undervalue guards, but Cooper is a special one.
***
Most mock drafts I've seen have the Colts selecting a nose tackle prospect in the first round. It makes some sense. Last years' starter, Mookie Johnson, didn't do a great job and is scheduled to become a free agent. That would leave the job to 2012 fifth-round pick Josh Chapman and 2012 free agent signing Brandon McKinney. Neither is a top-notch talent, and both missed 2012 with serious knee injuries.
Barring a trade up, I can't see the Colts snagging Georgia's John Jenkins, but Alabama's Jesse Williams (Chapman's replacement with the Tide) is a realistic target. After him, though, the pickings get slim.
***
If the Colts go for a cornerback in the first round, I'd like to suggest Oregon State's Jordan Poyer. I like the way he plays. Seems a good fit for the Colts (but, in all likelihood, never a No.1), and his arrest doesn't bother me.
Of course, any interest in a corner in the first round would be greatly influenced by the Colts' actions regarding their own free-agent corners (Jerraud Powers, Darius Butler and Cassius Vaughn) and any free agents they may pursue, like Malcolm "Possum" Jenkins.
***
Of course, there is still a strong possibility the Colts could go with a pass rusher even if they re-sign Dwight Freeney or attract a free agent like Paul Kruger.
But the pass-rusher market is incredibly volatile. Look at least year's first round. Who, at this time last year, thought Bruce Irvin (who went 15th), Shea McClellin (19th), Chandler Jones (21st) or Nick Perry (28th) were potential first rounders?
Of course, a lot of water's gonna pass under the bridge before the draft, but I think the Colts can forget about Florida State's Bjoern Warner, Georgia's Jarvis Jones, Texas A&M's Demontre Moore, LSU's Barkevious Mingo, Oregon's Dion Jordan and, after his Senior Bowl breakout, BYU's Ezekiel Ahnsah.
That leaves LSU's Sam Montgomery (8 sacks in 2013), Texas' Alex Okafor (12.5) and maybe Southern Mississippi's Jamie Collins (10) as first-round possibilities. Who knows? A dark horse like Florida State's Cornelius Carradine (11) or Ohio State's John Simon (9) could emerge.
The old adage that if you have two quarterbacks, you have none applies here except that the Cards would just be throwing Stanton on a pile that already includes Kevin Kolb (9-12), John Skelton (8-9), Ryan Lindley (1-3) and, perhaps, Brian Hoyer (0-1). The Cards are looking to restructure Kolb's massive deal, and could easily and cheaply cut ties with Skelton and Hoyer. Kolb's a better fit in Arians' offense than he was in the previous one, but the problem with him has always been his durabilty. The Cards could go into the season with him as the starter, Stanton as the backup and Lindley as the baseball cap guy.
They could, but it wouldn't be an upgrade.
***
A lot of Colts fans are hoping their team drafts huge Alabama tackle DJ Fluker in the first round. Don't count me among them. While there's no doubt Fluker is a first-round talent, he is a bad fit for the Colts. Heavy-footed and slow, his pass blocking is not up to the standard the Colts require at the position, especially when facing speed rushers. Even in the run game, the Colts' offensive scheme requires more motion than I think Fluker is actually capable of. Oklahoma's Lane Johnson, an athletic former quarterback and tight end, would represent a much better choice if he's available. He reminds me a lot of Nate Solder.
A better choice than either would be North Carolina guard Jonathan Cooper, if he's available. Fans tend to undervalue guards, but Cooper is a special one.
***
Most mock drafts I've seen have the Colts selecting a nose tackle prospect in the first round. It makes some sense. Last years' starter, Mookie Johnson, didn't do a great job and is scheduled to become a free agent. That would leave the job to 2012 fifth-round pick Josh Chapman and 2012 free agent signing Brandon McKinney. Neither is a top-notch talent, and both missed 2012 with serious knee injuries.
Barring a trade up, I can't see the Colts snagging Georgia's John Jenkins, but Alabama's Jesse Williams (Chapman's replacement with the Tide) is a realistic target. After him, though, the pickings get slim.
***
If the Colts go for a cornerback in the first round, I'd like to suggest Oregon State's Jordan Poyer. I like the way he plays. Seems a good fit for the Colts (but, in all likelihood, never a No.1), and his arrest doesn't bother me.
Of course, any interest in a corner in the first round would be greatly influenced by the Colts' actions regarding their own free-agent corners (Jerraud Powers, Darius Butler and Cassius Vaughn) and any free agents they may pursue, like Malcolm "Possum" Jenkins.
***
Of course, there is still a strong possibility the Colts could go with a pass rusher even if they re-sign Dwight Freeney or attract a free agent like Paul Kruger.
But the pass-rusher market is incredibly volatile. Look at least year's first round. Who, at this time last year, thought Bruce Irvin (who went 15th), Shea McClellin (19th), Chandler Jones (21st) or Nick Perry (28th) were potential first rounders?
Of course, a lot of water's gonna pass under the bridge before the draft, but I think the Colts can forget about Florida State's Bjoern Warner, Georgia's Jarvis Jones, Texas A&M's Demontre Moore, LSU's Barkevious Mingo, Oregon's Dion Jordan and, after his Senior Bowl breakout, BYU's Ezekiel Ahnsah.
That leaves LSU's Sam Montgomery (8 sacks in 2013), Texas' Alex Okafor (12.5) and maybe Southern Mississippi's Jamie Collins (10) as first-round possibilities. Who knows? A dark horse like Florida State's Cornelius Carradine (11) or Ohio State's John Simon (9) could emerge.
Thursday, February 7, 2013
Just some thoughts
Don't be surprised if the Colts have a fullback next year. In Andrew Luck's senior year at Stanford (under current Colts' offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton), fullback Ryan Hewitt was a major contributor to the offense. The team's fourth-leading receiver (No. 1 Griff Whalen and No. 3 Coby Fleener are already Colts) with 34 catches for 282 yards and five touchdowns, Hewitt was also a strong block in both the running and passing games. He was never a big-time gainer on the ground, gaining just 67 yards on 22 carries, but he also scored seven touchdowns and has yet to be tackled behind the line of scrimmage in his college career.I say yet because Hewitt is headed back to Stanford for another year.
Before Hewitt, Luck shared the Cardinal backfield with Owen Marecic, now a member of the Cleveland Browns. While Marecic doesn't have ball skills anywhere near Hewitt's, he is a reliable blocker, adept at neutralizing blitzes.
Since the Colts pass protection is weak and Hamilton's offense often employs a blocking/outlet receiving fullback, they could well add one in the offseason. It's an ugly irony that the Colts had a Pro Bowl-quality fullback in Jerome Felton, and let him sign with Minnesota just a few weeks after Ryan Grigson took over as GM (in Grigson's defense, the Bruce Arians-led offense was far less fullback-friendly). Felton's an unrestricted free agent again this year, but it's very unlikely the Vikings will let him go after his excellent showing there. The other free agents are eight guys who can catch and not block, guys who can block but not catch or guys who can't do either.
There are some nice fullback prospects in the draft, but with picks as a premium this year, it's unlikely the team would use one on a fullback. Still, it may be worth a seventh-rounder to grab Wake Forest's Tommy Bohanon, if he falls that far.
Barring that, the Colts could extend the role of Robert Hughes, their incumbent fullback. He was gaining some momentum last year before a knee injury ended his season. He's still an unproven prospect at this point, and is not a thundering blocker, but he could develop -- or hold the spot until Hewitt comes out.
***
On the subject of Stanfordians, expect to see the Colts give Griff Whalen every opportunity to win a role on offense. Luck's favorite target at as a senior at Stanford and in the 2012 preseason, despite a nagging foot injury, Whalen will be headed into a very familiar situation after spending his rookie year on injured reserve.
Every white receiver gets compared to Wes Welker these days, but with Whalen, it's actually apt. Small but strong, Whalen's not fast (forties between 4.55 and 4.62), but is very explosive and has incredible body control and balance.And his experience as a former halfback and punt returner will help him with the coaching staff's determination to wring more yards after the catch.
***
Let's hope this second surgery helps Pat Angerer get over his broken foot better than the first one did. It was tough to watch him play through pain last year (especially because I have a broken foot that never healed correctly). When he's healthy, he's a real asset to the defense.
***
Keep in mind when you're wondering who the Colts will sign in free agency is that player movement is not a simple process. Player usually need a reason or reasons to move, among them:
A big raise
This is very important, and with good players usually only happens when their original team finds itself in salary cap trouble.
Role on team
Nobody wants to go from star to spare part, but they love going the other way. Similarly, if a player is vital to a team, they will work harder to acquire or retain him.
A better team
Football players hate to lose and can usually tell if management isn't going to get them to the promised land soon.
Suitability
A player may want to move to a team that plays a scheme or a philosophy they feel well-suited to.
A better city
It's not as profound in football as it is in basketball or even baseball, but the chance for a young man to move from Cleveland to Miami is pretty strong. Some players want to get closer to home, others want excitement, still others want peace and quiet.
Familiarity
Sometimes a player may want to be reunited with a former coach or teammate.
I always apply those criteria to any potential free agent signee. Let's take Ryan Clady and Paul Kruger as examples.
A big raise
Clady: No, the Broncos are not in salary-cap trouble, and may even franchise him to keep him. Kruger: The Ravens aren't in desperate cap trouble yet, but will have to re-sign quarterback Joe Flacco and soon might be. The Colts could easily offer him more money than the Ravens could afford.
Role on team
Clady: Peyton Manning's blindside protector is no less an honor than Andrew Luck's blindside protector. The Broncos would be in big trouble if he left. Kruger: He would essentially have the same role on either the Ravens or the Colts. He could, however, be effectively replaced by 2012 second-rounder Courtney Upshaw in Baltimore.
A better team
Clady: the Broncos are very good and still improving. Kruger: The Ravens won the Super Bowl.
Suitability
Clady: He could play in any scheme. Kruger: Both defenses are essentially the same.
A better city
Clady: He's an easygoing California guy who seems to enjoy Denver, the team that drafted him. Kruger: Originally from Idaho and into outdoor sports, Kruger would probably not be swayed by moving to Indiana.
Familiarity
Before Hewitt, Luck shared the Cardinal backfield with Owen Marecic, now a member of the Cleveland Browns. While Marecic doesn't have ball skills anywhere near Hewitt's, he is a reliable blocker, adept at neutralizing blitzes.
Since the Colts pass protection is weak and Hamilton's offense often employs a blocking/outlet receiving fullback, they could well add one in the offseason. It's an ugly irony that the Colts had a Pro Bowl-quality fullback in Jerome Felton, and let him sign with Minnesota just a few weeks after Ryan Grigson took over as GM (in Grigson's defense, the Bruce Arians-led offense was far less fullback-friendly). Felton's an unrestricted free agent again this year, but it's very unlikely the Vikings will let him go after his excellent showing there. The other free agents are eight guys who can catch and not block, guys who can block but not catch or guys who can't do either.
There are some nice fullback prospects in the draft, but with picks as a premium this year, it's unlikely the team would use one on a fullback. Still, it may be worth a seventh-rounder to grab Wake Forest's Tommy Bohanon, if he falls that far.
Barring that, the Colts could extend the role of Robert Hughes, their incumbent fullback. He was gaining some momentum last year before a knee injury ended his season. He's still an unproven prospect at this point, and is not a thundering blocker, but he could develop -- or hold the spot until Hewitt comes out.
***
On the subject of Stanfordians, expect to see the Colts give Griff Whalen every opportunity to win a role on offense. Luck's favorite target at as a senior at Stanford and in the 2012 preseason, despite a nagging foot injury, Whalen will be headed into a very familiar situation after spending his rookie year on injured reserve.
Every white receiver gets compared to Wes Welker these days, but with Whalen, it's actually apt. Small but strong, Whalen's not fast (forties between 4.55 and 4.62), but is very explosive and has incredible body control and balance.And his experience as a former halfback and punt returner will help him with the coaching staff's determination to wring more yards after the catch.
***
Let's hope this second surgery helps Pat Angerer get over his broken foot better than the first one did. It was tough to watch him play through pain last year (especially because I have a broken foot that never healed correctly). When he's healthy, he's a real asset to the defense.
***
Keep in mind when you're wondering who the Colts will sign in free agency is that player movement is not a simple process. Player usually need a reason or reasons to move, among them:
A big raise
This is very important, and with good players usually only happens when their original team finds itself in salary cap trouble.
Role on team
Nobody wants to go from star to spare part, but they love going the other way. Similarly, if a player is vital to a team, they will work harder to acquire or retain him.
A better team
Football players hate to lose and can usually tell if management isn't going to get them to the promised land soon.
Suitability
A player may want to move to a team that plays a scheme or a philosophy they feel well-suited to.
A better city
It's not as profound in football as it is in basketball or even baseball, but the chance for a young man to move from Cleveland to Miami is pretty strong. Some players want to get closer to home, others want excitement, still others want peace and quiet.
Familiarity
Sometimes a player may want to be reunited with a former coach or teammate.
I always apply those criteria to any potential free agent signee. Let's take Ryan Clady and Paul Kruger as examples.
A big raise
Clady: No, the Broncos are not in salary-cap trouble, and may even franchise him to keep him. Kruger: The Ravens aren't in desperate cap trouble yet, but will have to re-sign quarterback Joe Flacco and soon might be. The Colts could easily offer him more money than the Ravens could afford.
Role on team
Clady: Peyton Manning's blindside protector is no less an honor than Andrew Luck's blindside protector. The Broncos would be in big trouble if he left. Kruger: He would essentially have the same role on either the Ravens or the Colts. He could, however, be effectively replaced by 2012 second-rounder Courtney Upshaw in Baltimore.
A better team
Clady: the Broncos are very good and still improving. Kruger: The Ravens won the Super Bowl.
Suitability
Clady: He could play in any scheme. Kruger: Both defenses are essentially the same.
A better city
Clady: He's an easygoing California guy who seems to enjoy Denver, the team that drafted him. Kruger: Originally from Idaho and into outdoor sports, Kruger would probably not be swayed by moving to Indiana.
Familiarity
Clady: No real ties to Indy. Kruger: Would be reunited with several old coaches and players on the Colts.
So you can see why it's far more likely that the Colts could sign a guy like Kruger than a guy like Clady.
Among the cuts
Every so often, ColtPlay takes a look at players made available by other teams, and theorizes on whether or not they would be good Colts.
Demetress Bell
An impressive physical specimen who has not succeeded as an NFL left tackle in a number of chances in Buffalo and Philadelphia. Seems like a great kid who could develop into something, but I'd pass because the Colts are in need of immediate help on the line, not another "maybe" prospect.
Michael Boley
A long-time contributor as a 4-3 outside linebacker, Boley's play fell off considerably last year, and the Giants benched him for a couple of no-names. It's unlikely Boley can rebound this late in his career, and he really doesn't fit the Colts' system.
Ahmad Bradshaw
An extremely productive back for many years, Bradshaw is recovering from multiple breaks in his foot, but says he should be ready for training camp. He'd like to re-sign with the Giants, but they appear to have moved on at the position. Although Bradshaw has some excellent qualities, I can't see the Colts being interested because they hope to feature Vick Ballard at halfback, and bringing a big name into the fold would harm that, and because Bradshaw is not an effective pass blocker.
Chris Canty
Although injuries reduced his playing time in 2012, Canty was still very impressive when he did play, and still looks like one of the best players at his position (4-3 tackle/3-4 end) in the league. He's a good fit in the Colts system and a high-character guy. But he's also 30 years old and coming off a series of injuries. The Colts would be well-advised to be among the teams offering him a one- or front-loaded two-year deal.
Martin Parker
An undrafted rookie 4-3 tackle last season, Parker never saw the field. The Colts might take a flyer on him as a backup tackle/end prospect, but I doubt it.
Stephen Peterman
A long-time contributor at guard, Peterman has totally degraded as a pass blocker in recent years, while retaining his colossal skills as a run blocker. Since protecting the franchise is Job 1 in Indy, I don't see the Colts having much interest in him. He's also not the type of guard who fits Pep's offensive scheme.
Frostee Rucker
Known in the NFL for years as an unspectacular but competent run stopper, few were surprised he didn't succeed after the Browns handed him a huge contract to be a designated pass rusher. He could draw some interest from the Colts, but it's unlikely.
Kyle Vanden Bosch
After years of terrorizing the league, it looked like Vanden Bosch hit the wall last season. A big 4-3 end, I can't see Vanden Bosch adapting to, or finding a spot in, the Colts' defense. And, as a 34 year old with lots of miles on him, I don't think they would make a bid on him even if he could.
Demetress Bell
An impressive physical specimen who has not succeeded as an NFL left tackle in a number of chances in Buffalo and Philadelphia. Seems like a great kid who could develop into something, but I'd pass because the Colts are in need of immediate help on the line, not another "maybe" prospect.
Michael Boley
A long-time contributor as a 4-3 outside linebacker, Boley's play fell off considerably last year, and the Giants benched him for a couple of no-names. It's unlikely Boley can rebound this late in his career, and he really doesn't fit the Colts' system.
Ahmad Bradshaw
An extremely productive back for many years, Bradshaw is recovering from multiple breaks in his foot, but says he should be ready for training camp. He'd like to re-sign with the Giants, but they appear to have moved on at the position. Although Bradshaw has some excellent qualities, I can't see the Colts being interested because they hope to feature Vick Ballard at halfback, and bringing a big name into the fold would harm that, and because Bradshaw is not an effective pass blocker.
Chris Canty
Although injuries reduced his playing time in 2012, Canty was still very impressive when he did play, and still looks like one of the best players at his position (4-3 tackle/3-4 end) in the league. He's a good fit in the Colts system and a high-character guy. But he's also 30 years old and coming off a series of injuries. The Colts would be well-advised to be among the teams offering him a one- or front-loaded two-year deal.
Martin Parker
An undrafted rookie 4-3 tackle last season, Parker never saw the field. The Colts might take a flyer on him as a backup tackle/end prospect, but I doubt it.
Stephen Peterman
A long-time contributor at guard, Peterman has totally degraded as a pass blocker in recent years, while retaining his colossal skills as a run blocker. Since protecting the franchise is Job 1 in Indy, I don't see the Colts having much interest in him. He's also not the type of guard who fits Pep's offensive scheme.
Frostee Rucker
Known in the NFL for years as an unspectacular but competent run stopper, few were surprised he didn't succeed after the Browns handed him a huge contract to be a designated pass rusher. He could draw some interest from the Colts, but it's unlikely.
Kyle Vanden Bosch
After years of terrorizing the league, it looked like Vanden Bosch hit the wall last season. A big 4-3 end, I can't see Vanden Bosch adapting to, or finding a spot in, the Colts' defense. And, as a 34 year old with lots of miles on him, I don't think they would make a bid on him even if he could.
Tuesday, February 5, 2013
A few free agents the Colts might look at
Pass rusher
Looking for a sack artist to replace Dwight Freeney won't be easy, and is probably the position the team will be trying to target in the first round of the draft. Still, the team could improve in free agency, adding a starter or depth.
Paul Kruger
Michael Johnson
Michael Bennett
William Hayes
Victor Butler
Guard
Andy Levitre
Donald Thomas
Matt Slauson
Garrett Reynolds
Tackle
Jermon Bushrod
Sebastian Vollmer
Ryan Harris
Barry Richardson
Will Beatty
Sam Baker
Nose Tackle
Terrance Knighton
Sammie Hill
Myron Pryor
Cornerbacks
Chris Owens
Captain Munnerlyn
Kyle Arrington
Bradley Fletcher
DJ Moore
Elbert Mack
Wide Receivers
Domenik Hixon
Sammie Stroughter
Brandon Gibson
Brandon Tate
Micheal Spurlock
Braylon Edwards
Centers
Joe Berger
Halfbacks
Jonathan Dwyer
Cedric Peerman
Mike Goodson
Bernard Scott
Peyton Hillis
Monday, February 4, 2013
Colts free agency and draft needs
Pass rusher
Even with Dwight Freeney, the Colts pass rush in 2012 was tepid. And there are few, if any, who believe the Outlaw Jerry Hughes can come close to replacing him. What they need: A guy who can get to the quarterback frequently. It'd be nice if he could stop the run, too. Coverage is not a priority (Colts OLBs were targeted just 22 times last season). First-round option: UCLA's Datone Jones Third-round option: Ohio State's John Simon Free agency option: A lot of Colts fans like Anthony Spencer, but he appears to want to re-sign with Dallas. Paul Kruger, who so terrorized the Colts in the Wild Card game, is a better bet with ties to the Colts staff and the Ravens already have cap issues before even considering signing star quarterback Joe Flacco. The Rams' William Hayes is another intriguing option.
Guard
It could be argued that the Colts need two guards, as neither starter proved effective, and the depth was marginal. What they need: With Andrew Luck at the helm, pass protection is of utmost importance. Enough mobility to help on rollouts and screens is also an asset. Third-round option: Syracuse's Justin Pugh Third-round option: Illinois' Hugh Thornton Free agency option: Buffalo's Andy Levitre or the Patriots' Donald Thomas are both young and athletic, but their teams will want them back.
Right tackle
Winston Justice is a decent right tackle, but he's not very durable and is an unrestricted free agent. If a quality left tackle fell into their hands, the Colts have the option of switching incumbent left tackle Anthony Castanzo over to right tackle. What they need: Same as their guards, only bigger. First-round option: Virginia's Oday Aboushi Third-round option: Arkansas-Pine Bluff's Terron Armstead Free agency option: Barry Richardson played at a very high level with the Rams last season, and looks very much like the type of player who could start for the Colts.
Nose Tackle
Anthony Johnson is a free agent and is unlikely to return, He wasn't very good, but he kept backup Martin Tevaseu on the bench. The hope is that 2012 free agent signee and 2012 fifth-round draft pick Josh Chapman will solidify the position, but both of them missed the entire season with knee issues. What they need: A huge strong man who can be a brick wall against the run and occupy two or more blockers. Any pass-rush ability would be a bonus. First-round option: Alabama's Jessie Williams or Georgia's Jonathan Jenkins. Third-round option: North Carolina's Sylvester Williams
Cornerback
Overall play at corner last year was not great, and three of the Colts' top four are free agents. What they need: Colts GM Ryan Grigson values speed above all, but a Colts corner should also be superior in zone coverage and be at least a decent tackler as well. The secondary could also someone who gets his hands on more passes. First-round option: Oregon State's Jordan Poyer Third-round option: UConn's Blidi Wreh-Wilson Free agency option: Chris Owens is small, but plays big.
Wide receiver
Although Reggie Wayne is still a top player and 2012 rookies TY Hilton and LaVon Brazill are definitely keepers, Wayne can't last forever and Hilton and Brazill are both undersized (as is slot prospect Griff Whalen). A tall, strong red zone target could be a real asset. What they need: A big West Coast-style guy who can make yards after the catch and handle the traffic in the end zone. Third-round option: Tennessee's Justin Hunter Fourth-round option: Elon's Aaron Mellette
Center
The Colts signed Samson Satele to take over from the legendary Jeff Saturday at center, but neither he nor backup AQ Shipley look like the long-term solution at the spot. What they need: Just like their guards, but with snapping ability and experience. Third-round option: USC's Khaled Holmes Fourth-round option: Cal's Brian Schwenke
The Colts signed Samson Satele to take over from the legendary Jeff Saturday at center, but neither he nor backup AQ Shipley look like the long-term solution at the spot. What they need: Just like their guards, but with snapping ability and experience. Third-round option: USC's Khaled Holmes Fourth-round option: Cal's Brian Schwenke
Halfback
Vick Ballard, last year's fifth-round pick, has earned the starting job, but behind him the Colts have little beyond first-round disappointment Donald Brown and oft-injured Delone Carter. What they need: A big, strong, fall-forward back who can catch and pick up pass rushers as necessary. Fourth-round option: Stanford's Stepfan Taylor or Michigan State's Le'Veon Bell.
The team also has less critical needs at free safety (Antoine Bethea will be a free agent after the 2013 season), defensive end and, perhaps, fullback.
Colts likely shut out of 2013 compensatory draft picks
Since the Colts signed more free agents than they lost, they will are unlikely to be getting any compensatory picks in the 2013 NFL draft.
That means their draft picks (pending further trades), will be:
First round, No. 24
Third round, No. 86
Fourth round, No. 121
Sixth round, No. 193
Seventh round, No. 230
Notes: They traded places in the sixth round with Philadelphia in the Winston Justice trade, but since the Eagles have a better pick than the Colts, I've been told the picks have reverted. The Colts gave up an undisclosed pick for Josh Gordy, but I've been told it's a 2014 seventh rounder.
That means their draft picks (pending further trades), will be:
First round, No. 24
Third round, No. 86
Fourth round, No. 121
Sixth round, No. 193
Seventh round, No. 230
Notes: They traded places in the sixth round with Philadelphia in the Winston Justice trade, but since the Eagles have a better pick than the Colts, I've been told the picks have reverted. The Colts gave up an undisclosed pick for Josh Gordy, but I've been told it's a 2014 seventh rounder.
Friday, February 1, 2013
Colts roster: Who's under contract
QB 12 Andrew Luck, 8 Chandler Harnish
FB 29 Robert Hughes
HB 33 Vick Ballard, 31 Donald Brown, 34 Delone Carter, 39 Davin Meggett, 40 Alvester Alexander
WR 87 Reggie Wayne, 13 TY Hilton, 15 LaVon Brazill, 10 Nathan Palmer, 84 Griff Whalen, 81 Kris Adams, Jabin Sambrano, Jeremy Kelley
TE 83 Dwayne Allen, 80 Coby Fleener, 85 Weslye Saunders, 46 Dominique Jones
OT 74 Antony Castonzo, 60 Bradley Sowell, 63 Lee Ziemba
OG 75 Mike McGlynn, 71 Ben Ijalana, Robert Griffin, 79 Justin Anderson
C 64 Samson Satele, 62 AQ Shipley
LDE 90 Cory Redding, 67 Lawrence Guy, 66 Clifton Geathers
NT/LDT 96 Brandon McKinney, 61 Josh Chapman
RDE/RDT 91 Ricardo Mathews, 94 Drake Nevis, 65 Kellen Heard
LOLB/SLB 98 Robert Mathis, 55 Justin Hickman
LILB/MLB 53 Kavell Conner, 54 Mario Harvey, 56 Scott Lutrus, 59 Shawn Loiseau
RILB/WLB 50 Jerrell Freeman, 51 Pat Angerer, 57 Monte Simmons
ROLB/RDE 92 Jerry Hughes, Jake Killeen, Quinton Spears
CB 23 Vontae Davis, 30 Marshay Green, 21 Teddy Williams
SS 28 Tom Zbikowski, 38 Sergio Brown, Larry Asante
FS 41 Antoine Bethea, 35 Joe Lefeged, 26 Delano Howell
PK 4 Adam Vinatieri
LS 45 Matt Overton
FB 29 Robert Hughes
HB 33 Vick Ballard, 31 Donald Brown, 34 Delone Carter, 39 Davin Meggett, 40 Alvester Alexander
WR 87 Reggie Wayne, 13 TY Hilton, 15 LaVon Brazill, 10 Nathan Palmer, 84 Griff Whalen, 81 Kris Adams, Jabin Sambrano, Jeremy Kelley
TE 83 Dwayne Allen, 80 Coby Fleener, 85 Weslye Saunders, 46 Dominique Jones
OT 74 Antony Castonzo, 60 Bradley Sowell, 63 Lee Ziemba
OG 75 Mike McGlynn, 71 Ben Ijalana, Robert Griffin, 79 Justin Anderson
C 64 Samson Satele, 62 AQ Shipley
LDE 90 Cory Redding, 67 Lawrence Guy, 66 Clifton Geathers
NT/LDT 96 Brandon McKinney, 61 Josh Chapman
RDE/RDT 91 Ricardo Mathews, 94 Drake Nevis, 65 Kellen Heard
LOLB/SLB 98 Robert Mathis, 55 Justin Hickman
LILB/MLB 53 Kavell Conner, 54 Mario Harvey, 56 Scott Lutrus, 59 Shawn Loiseau
RILB/WLB 50 Jerrell Freeman, 51 Pat Angerer, 57 Monte Simmons
ROLB/RDE 92 Jerry Hughes, Jake Killeen, Quinton Spears
CB 23 Vontae Davis, 30 Marshay Green, 21 Teddy Williams
SS 28 Tom Zbikowski, 38 Sergio Brown, Larry Asante
FS 41 Antoine Bethea, 35 Joe Lefeged, 26 Delano Howell
PK 4 Adam Vinatieri
LS 45 Matt Overton
Colts 2013 free agents: Pat McAfee
I think McAfee deserves his own post.
As a punter, McAfee is among the league's best. Last season he punted 73 times for 3,520 yards. His gross and net averages were 48.22 and 40.32. He also managed to put 30 of them inside the opponents' 20-yard line and forced 14 fair catches.
As a kickoff man, he probably was the league's best. He kicked 74 times for 4,878 yards, a remarkable 65.92-yard average. Even more shocking were his 31 touchbacks.
He's also a good enough field-goal kicker that he could replace future Hall of Famer Adam Vinatieri without a dropoff, and is also a decent last line of defense, recording five special-teams tackles in 2012.
But what's really remarkable is his ability to contribute off the field. He serves the team well as a goodwill ambassador with his Twitter feed and his video blog Facebook Fridays. And he was a key component in the Colts' ChuckStrong campaign.
I'm an unabashed fan of the Boomstick. It would be terrible if the Colts did not re-sign McAfee.
As a punter, McAfee is among the league's best. Last season he punted 73 times for 3,520 yards. His gross and net averages were 48.22 and 40.32. He also managed to put 30 of them inside the opponents' 20-yard line and forced 14 fair catches.
As a kickoff man, he probably was the league's best. He kicked 74 times for 4,878 yards, a remarkable 65.92-yard average. Even more shocking were his 31 touchbacks.
He's also a good enough field-goal kicker that he could replace future Hall of Famer Adam Vinatieri without a dropoff, and is also a decent last line of defense, recording five special-teams tackles in 2012.
But what's really remarkable is his ability to contribute off the field. He serves the team well as a goodwill ambassador with his Twitter feed and his video blog Facebook Fridays. And he was a key component in the Colts' ChuckStrong campaign.
I'm an unabashed fan of the Boomstick. It would be terrible if the Colts did not re-sign McAfee.
Colts 2013 free agents: The rest (except Pat McAfee)
Moise Fokou
Who is he?: A 4-3 outside linebacker known for special-teams prowess who plays inside in the 3-4.
How was his 2012?: Not bad. A fairly solid contributor inside, but no real threat to start over the other guys the Colts have at the position. His special-teams efforts were tempered by a few unnecessary penalties.
Will he be back?: Probably, but as a depth/special-teams guy.
Fili Moala
Who is he?: A former second-round pick, Moala opened the season as a starter at defensive tackle/defensive end.
How was his 2012?: Not good. Battling knee injuries all season, he was eventually lost to an ACL tear in November. When he did play, he showed some pass-rush flair, but could be pushed around.
Will he be back?:Maybe. He'll be hard-pressed to be anywhere near full-strength when camp opens, and the Colts might move on.
Seth Olsen RFAWho is he?: An All-American guard at Iowa who was drafted in the fourth round in 2009, Olsen has struggled to get playing time in stops in Denver, Minnesota and Indianapolis.
How was his 2012?: Terrible. He had a starting position early, but struggled mightily before being put on injured reserve. Recalled from injured reserve, he was dominated again and saw very little playing time after that. The Colts guards were terrible in 2012, and Olsen graded the worst of them by my eye.
Will he be back?: I don't think so. The Colts are likely to overhaul the guard position via free agency and the draft, and Olsen would appear to be one of the pieces they could do without.
Martin Tevaseu ERFAWho is he?: Undrafted in 2010, Tevaseu bounced from the Browns to the Jets to the Colts as a backup nose tackle.
How was his 2012?: Decent. Tevaseu was called upon frequently to spell Mookie Johnson, and acquitted himself well. He offered precious little pass rush, but did fill space, occupy blockers and stand his ground in the run game.
Will he be back?: Probably. As an exclusive-rights free agent, Tevaseu may not sign with another team if the Colts tender him. This is another position in transition, but Tevaseu definitely deserves an invitation to camp at least.
Josh Gordy ERFAWho is he?: Another undrafted prospect from 2010, Gordy kicked around mainly on practice squads in Jacksonville and Green Bay before signing with St. Louis. A bizarre slate of injuries to the Rams' cornerbacks in 2011 gave Gordy a lot of playing time and even a few starts. When the Colts were desperate for warm bodies at cornerback early in 2012, they traded for him.
How was his 2012?: Okay. Generally the Colts' fourth or fifth corner, he was not that impressive in coverage, nor as a run stopper. He was slightly better inside than out, and was much better as an extra defensive back then the one occasion he was asked to start (against New England). Interestingly, though, he managed a sack in just five blitz attempts. He generally fared better on special teams than he did on defense.
Will he be back?: Probably. Another exclusive-rights free agent, Gordy will be invited to camp to compete for a roster spot.
Melwelde MooreWho is he?: After an extraordinary career at Tulane, Moore was drafted in the fourth round in 2004 by the Vikings. Though never a bell-cow back, he developed into a very effective third-down back, making a living receiving, blocking and stretching draw runs. He took his act as a free agent to Pittsburgh (where he was even more effective) in 2008, and then in 2012, to Indianapolis.
How was his 2012?: Terrible. He was 16-31-0 rushing (with a fumble), and 6-77-1 receiving (with two drops). Even his bread-and-butter, pass blocking, looked subpar as he allowed a sack and two hurries in just 36 pass-block attempts.
Will he be back?: Probably not. After a superb career, Moore appeared to have either lost a step or not studied his playbook in 2012. If he's playing anywhere in 2013, it probably won't be in Indy.
Jamaal WestermanWho is he?: A kid who went from Brooklyn to a Toronto suburb to Rutgers, Westerman was an effective defensive end in college (26 sacks), who has been tried as a 3-4 outside linebacker by the Jets, Dolphins, Cardinals and now the Colts.
How was his 2012?: Promising. Something of an emergency signing after injuries hit, Westerman was pressed into action and looked pretty good. It's hard to judge a player on just 25 downs, but Westerman managed to get a sack and a hurry in just seven rushes. He also contributed adroitly on special teams.
Will he be back?: Probably. Westerman's well-traveled, but has shown promise. He deserves a shot at a roster spot.
Tony HillsWho is he: A high school tight end turned Texas left tackle, Hills was drafted by Pittsburgh in the fourth round of the 2008 draft. He was a swing backup there until he was waived in 2011. Picked up by Denver, he played little and ended up with the Colts in 2012 after injuries and ineffectiveness struck.
How was his 2012?: So-so. He saw a few offensive plays as an extra blocker in jumbo packages, and when other players needed a breather. playing both right tackle and right guard, he neither distinguished himself nor embarrassed himself. But it is important to note that in the Wild Card game when injuries hit, the team picked Bradley Sowell and Seth Olsen over Hills.
Will he be back?: I don't think so. An emergency pickup and spare part in 2012, he'll probably be replaced by a younger, more promising prospect for 2013.
Austin CollieWho is he: A well-known Colts star, he needs no introduction to ColtPlay readers.
How was his 2012?: Tragic. After courageously coming back for some unsettling injuries, Collie's 2012 ended with a ruptured patella just 14 offensive plays into the season.
Will he be back?: Not right away, if at all. Ruptured patellas take even longer to recover from than torn ACLs, and it's unlikely Collie will be ready for the 2013 season, let alone camp. If he does return to the NFL, it would be with Indy.
AJ Edds RFAWho is he: A star linebacker at Iowa (alongside Colt Pat Angerer), this 2010 fourth-round pick by the Dolphins has been mainly a special teamer for them and later the Patriots before signing with the Colts in 2012.
How was his 2012?: Painful, He tore his left ACL in camp (he tore his right one in 2010), and missed the season.
Will he be back?: Maybe. He's not without talent, and he could be useful if healthy.
Deji Karim ERFAWho is he: A very speedy little halfback from Southern Illinois, Karim was drafted in teh sixth round of the 2010 draft by the Jaguars. As a rookie, he excelled as a change-of-pace back and returner. But in his second season, he was forced by injuries to try to be the top back and did not do well at all. When the Jaguars cut him after the 2011 season, the Colts grabbed him.
How was his 2012?: Limited. The Colts offense calls for big backs who can catch and block. Since none of that applies to Karim, he didn't play a down. The Colts actually cut him, bringing him back in Week 15 in hopes of sparking their lackluster return game. They were right to do so, as Karim went 9-328-1 on kick returns in three games.
Will he be back?: I'd be surprised if he wasn't. Although he has almost no value on offense, Karim is an explosive kick returner who deserves another shot to win the job. The team would prefer a player with more of a role on offense or defense (like TY Hilton or LaVon Brazill) take over the kick return duties rather than spend a roster spot on Karim, there's no guarantee one will.
Drew Stanton
Who is he: A former Michigan State standout passer who was drafted in the second round of the 2007 draft by Detroit, he was a third stringer for the Lions until 2012 when he signed with the Jets. When the Jets signed Tim Tebow a few days later, Stanton demanded a trade and was sent to Indy.
How was his 2012?: Boring. After just 27 preseason passes, Stanton didn't see a single snap in the regular season as Andrew Luck's primary backup.
Will he be back?: Almost certainly. I can't see anyone getting in a bidding war with the Colts for his services, and they seem happy enough with him and in no hurry to find a replacement.
Who is he?: A 4-3 outside linebacker known for special-teams prowess who plays inside in the 3-4.
How was his 2012?: Not bad. A fairly solid contributor inside, but no real threat to start over the other guys the Colts have at the position. His special-teams efforts were tempered by a few unnecessary penalties.
Will he be back?: Probably, but as a depth/special-teams guy.
Fili Moala
Who is he?: A former second-round pick, Moala opened the season as a starter at defensive tackle/defensive end.
How was his 2012?: Not good. Battling knee injuries all season, he was eventually lost to an ACL tear in November. When he did play, he showed some pass-rush flair, but could be pushed around.
Will he be back?:Maybe. He'll be hard-pressed to be anywhere near full-strength when camp opens, and the Colts might move on.
Seth Olsen RFAWho is he?: An All-American guard at Iowa who was drafted in the fourth round in 2009, Olsen has struggled to get playing time in stops in Denver, Minnesota and Indianapolis.
How was his 2012?: Terrible. He had a starting position early, but struggled mightily before being put on injured reserve. Recalled from injured reserve, he was dominated again and saw very little playing time after that. The Colts guards were terrible in 2012, and Olsen graded the worst of them by my eye.
Will he be back?: I don't think so. The Colts are likely to overhaul the guard position via free agency and the draft, and Olsen would appear to be one of the pieces they could do without.
Martin Tevaseu ERFAWho is he?: Undrafted in 2010, Tevaseu bounced from the Browns to the Jets to the Colts as a backup nose tackle.
How was his 2012?: Decent. Tevaseu was called upon frequently to spell Mookie Johnson, and acquitted himself well. He offered precious little pass rush, but did fill space, occupy blockers and stand his ground in the run game.
Will he be back?: Probably. As an exclusive-rights free agent, Tevaseu may not sign with another team if the Colts tender him. This is another position in transition, but Tevaseu definitely deserves an invitation to camp at least.
Josh Gordy ERFAWho is he?: Another undrafted prospect from 2010, Gordy kicked around mainly on practice squads in Jacksonville and Green Bay before signing with St. Louis. A bizarre slate of injuries to the Rams' cornerbacks in 2011 gave Gordy a lot of playing time and even a few starts. When the Colts were desperate for warm bodies at cornerback early in 2012, they traded for him.
How was his 2012?: Okay. Generally the Colts' fourth or fifth corner, he was not that impressive in coverage, nor as a run stopper. He was slightly better inside than out, and was much better as an extra defensive back then the one occasion he was asked to start (against New England). Interestingly, though, he managed a sack in just five blitz attempts. He generally fared better on special teams than he did on defense.
Will he be back?: Probably. Another exclusive-rights free agent, Gordy will be invited to camp to compete for a roster spot.
Melwelde MooreWho is he?: After an extraordinary career at Tulane, Moore was drafted in the fourth round in 2004 by the Vikings. Though never a bell-cow back, he developed into a very effective third-down back, making a living receiving, blocking and stretching draw runs. He took his act as a free agent to Pittsburgh (where he was even more effective) in 2008, and then in 2012, to Indianapolis.
How was his 2012?: Terrible. He was 16-31-0 rushing (with a fumble), and 6-77-1 receiving (with two drops). Even his bread-and-butter, pass blocking, looked subpar as he allowed a sack and two hurries in just 36 pass-block attempts.
Will he be back?: Probably not. After a superb career, Moore appeared to have either lost a step or not studied his playbook in 2012. If he's playing anywhere in 2013, it probably won't be in Indy.
Jamaal WestermanWho is he?: A kid who went from Brooklyn to a Toronto suburb to Rutgers, Westerman was an effective defensive end in college (26 sacks), who has been tried as a 3-4 outside linebacker by the Jets, Dolphins, Cardinals and now the Colts.
How was his 2012?: Promising. Something of an emergency signing after injuries hit, Westerman was pressed into action and looked pretty good. It's hard to judge a player on just 25 downs, but Westerman managed to get a sack and a hurry in just seven rushes. He also contributed adroitly on special teams.
Will he be back?: Probably. Westerman's well-traveled, but has shown promise. He deserves a shot at a roster spot.
Tony HillsWho is he: A high school tight end turned Texas left tackle, Hills was drafted by Pittsburgh in the fourth round of the 2008 draft. He was a swing backup there until he was waived in 2011. Picked up by Denver, he played little and ended up with the Colts in 2012 after injuries and ineffectiveness struck.
How was his 2012?: So-so. He saw a few offensive plays as an extra blocker in jumbo packages, and when other players needed a breather. playing both right tackle and right guard, he neither distinguished himself nor embarrassed himself. But it is important to note that in the Wild Card game when injuries hit, the team picked Bradley Sowell and Seth Olsen over Hills.
Will he be back?: I don't think so. An emergency pickup and spare part in 2012, he'll probably be replaced by a younger, more promising prospect for 2013.
Austin CollieWho is he: A well-known Colts star, he needs no introduction to ColtPlay readers.
How was his 2012?: Tragic. After courageously coming back for some unsettling injuries, Collie's 2012 ended with a ruptured patella just 14 offensive plays into the season.
Will he be back?: Not right away, if at all. Ruptured patellas take even longer to recover from than torn ACLs, and it's unlikely Collie will be ready for the 2013 season, let alone camp. If he does return to the NFL, it would be with Indy.
AJ Edds RFAWho is he: A star linebacker at Iowa (alongside Colt Pat Angerer), this 2010 fourth-round pick by the Dolphins has been mainly a special teamer for them and later the Patriots before signing with the Colts in 2012.
How was his 2012?: Painful, He tore his left ACL in camp (he tore his right one in 2010), and missed the season.
Will he be back?: Maybe. He's not without talent, and he could be useful if healthy.
Deji Karim ERFAWho is he: A very speedy little halfback from Southern Illinois, Karim was drafted in teh sixth round of the 2010 draft by the Jaguars. As a rookie, he excelled as a change-of-pace back and returner. But in his second season, he was forced by injuries to try to be the top back and did not do well at all. When the Jaguars cut him after the 2011 season, the Colts grabbed him.
How was his 2012?: Limited. The Colts offense calls for big backs who can catch and block. Since none of that applies to Karim, he didn't play a down. The Colts actually cut him, bringing him back in Week 15 in hopes of sparking their lackluster return game. They were right to do so, as Karim went 9-328-1 on kick returns in three games.
Will he be back?: I'd be surprised if he wasn't. Although he has almost no value on offense, Karim is an explosive kick returner who deserves another shot to win the job. The team would prefer a player with more of a role on offense or defense (like TY Hilton or LaVon Brazill) take over the kick return duties rather than spend a roster spot on Karim, there's no guarantee one will.
Drew Stanton
Who is he: A former Michigan State standout passer who was drafted in the second round of the 2007 draft by Detroit, he was a third stringer for the Lions until 2012 when he signed with the Jets. When the Jets signed Tim Tebow a few days later, Stanton demanded a trade and was sent to Indy.
How was his 2012?: Boring. After just 27 preseason passes, Stanton didn't see a single snap in the regular season as Andrew Luck's primary backup.
Will he be back?: Almost certainly. I can't see anyone getting in a bidding war with the Colts for his services, and they seem happy enough with him and in no hurry to find a replacement.
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