Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Colts' right cornerback may already be on the roster


So the Colts’ brass is saying that there’s a decent chance that the starter at right cornerback next year might be Kevin Thomas (6000/192/4.41) or Chris Rucker (6004/195/4.54). While it may be reassuring that the team feels that they don’t need to fill that slot through the draft or free agency, it’s a little disturbing based on their 2011 performances.

Let’s look at Rucker first. A 2011 sixth-round pick, Rucker played sparingly at first, not appearing in a game until Week 4 against Tampa Bay, and not getting any starts until Week 14. In the end, he played more than any Colts corner except for top guy Jerraud Powers, the much-maligned and since-departed Jacob Lacey and Thomas.

In coverage, Rucker was true to the Colts’ old bend-don’t-break system, giving a big cushion and allowing short completions rather than long ones and trying to mitigate yards after the catch. He was pretty good at preventing big gains, allowing just one touchdown and only two completions over 20 yards. But the problem was that he allowed lots and lots of short gains. In fact, quarterbacks threw for 25-20-184-1-0 against him for a 110.7 passer rating. That, combined with no interceptions and just one pass knocked down, indicates that he had a pretty rough year.

He was little better against the run, making just four tackles (none behind the line of scrimmage) in the run game with one missed tackle. On the bright side, he did manage a pressure on one of his few blitzes.

Okay, it’s Thomas’ turn. A surprise third-round pick in 2010, he spent his that season on injured reserve making him a virtual rookie in 2012. He played in just about every game, starting from Week 7 to Week 12 before giving way to Rucker. Although he obviously has some skills, he was a quarterback’s dream last season, allowing 38-26-404-3-0 to opposing quarterbacks for a ridiculous 129.7 passer reating. And unlike Rucker, he played tight, more man-on-man. Sometimes it worked out okay — he certainly allowed a much lower completion percentage than Rucker — and sometimes it didn’t as when he was literally destroyed by Julio Jones in Week 9 (see the accompanying photo). He also had no interceptions, but three passes defensed.

Against the run, Thomas also had four tackles, but missed on three others. Wow. And he added nothing as a blitzer.

To put it bluntly, both of them sucked in 2011. But corner is one of the most, if not the most, difficult positions to make the adaptation from college to pro. Many a fine corner has sucked as a rookie, so let’s give our guys — who were playing on a team trhat had essentially given up — the benefit of the doubt.

To tell you the truth, I actually like Rucker’s future better than Thomas’. I watched them both very closely, and I saw more smoothness and confidence from Rucker, Maybe Thomas will have a better career, but if I needed one of them to cover Calvin Johnson on third-and-10, I’d go with Rucker, He’d fail, of course, but not as spectacularly as Thomas.

So don’t be surprised if the Colts start 2012 with either Rucker or Thomas at right corner. Don’t be happy about it, but don’t be surprised, either.

No comments: