According to Scout.com, the Colts have waived reserve middle linebacker Buster Davis. Presumably, Davis was let go because the Colts signed Adam Seward, a more reliable player at the same position. Seward also offers experience on the strong side, and does much more special teams.
So, the Colts current linebacker situation currently looks like this:
WLB: Clint Session, Jordan Senn, Rufus Alexander
MLB: Gary Brackett, Michael Okwo
SLB: Phillip Wheeler, Adam Seward
I put Seward at Sam because there’s no guarantee Wheeler will win that job, and Seward may be asked to start there. But if there were to be another injury to Brackett, you know Seward would be in there, not Okwo.
So it would appear that the Colts have five definite keepers at linebacker — Session, Senn, Brackett, Wheeler and Seward — for six or seven spots. Brackett, 29 in May, and Seward, 27 in June, are the graybeards, but don’t look like they are in decline.
So will the Colts draft a linebacker? Or two? That depends on two factors. Do they feel they can find prospects better than Alexander and Okwo? And will they need new starters to replace free agents? The Colts tend to keep middle linebackers, and let outside linebackers walk. Here’s what season the guys are signed through:
Rufus Alexander 2009
Gary Brackett 2009
Michael Okwo 2009
Adam Seward 2009
Jordan Senn 2010
Clint Session 2010
Phillip Wheeler 2011
So the Colts have some flexibility outside. Look for them to draft a long-range prospect — a kid with all the tools who may just be lacking in experience, perhaps because he went to a small school. Western Illinois’ Jason Williams certainly fills that bill.
Inside, both of the obvious options (Brackett and Seward) are set to be unrestricted free agents after this season. Brackett is likely to re-sign for a number of reasons, but in the unlikely case that both leave, Wheeler would most likely step in and the Colts would be looking for an outside guy.
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Monday, March 30, 2009
More prospects on the Colts radar
Asher Allen CB Georgia (5094/194/4.64c4.33pd) is a somewhat undersized corner with all the tools to be an effective pro, especially in a zone system like the Cover-2. He really could have used another season in college, but was solid as a junior and the consensus is that the arrow is very much pointed up on him. While he is a bit of a project at corner, he’s a finished product as a returner. At Georgia he went 10-146-0 (14.60 average) on punts and 47-1,110-0 (23.62 average) on kicks. Don’t let his 4.64 forty at the Combine fool you. He changed running coaches, altered his takeoff and ran a 4.33 at Georgia, which is not considered an especially fast track. He’ll probably be drafted in the third round, but could slip into the second.
Dan Skuta DE Grand Valley State (6025/249/4.72pd) is a super-productive D2 defensive end (17.5 TFL, 11.5 sacks, 4 forced fumbles as a senior) who improved throughout his career and generally stayed healthy. He’s not a big guy, so many teams (and draft experts) think he’ll be an outside linebacker. At his pro day, he had the numbers to make the switch a possibility, but teams like the Colts will interpret them as an indication that he’ll just be a better defensive end than they thought. Eerily similar to Trevor Scott, who played at Buffalo and was drafted by the Raiders sixth round last year and led all rookies with sacks. Skuta will most likely be taken in the sixth or seventh rounds.
Andy Schantz ILB Portland State (6003/234/4.71pd) played alongside Colts’ rookie sensation Jordan Senn in college. Although Schantz lacks Senns athleticism and speed, he is a tough, steady, by-the-book middle ’backer who can locate and drive to the ball carrier. He had 115 tackles as a senior, and looked comfortable in zone coverage. I saw him blitz at the Texas vs. the Nation game and he acquitted himself well. Schantz probably could have had a better chance being drafted if he ran a hair faster at his pro day, but he has a definite chance at sticking on an NFL squad as an undrafted free agent. Many people have compared him to the Bills’ John DiGeorgio, and it’s an apt analogy.
Billy Malone QB Abilene Christian (6022/235/4.95e) was a high school star in 2002 who turned down scholarship offers at Texas, LSU, Tennessee and other schools to play with his brother at Tulane. He didn’t play for two seasons behind future first rounder J.P. Losman, then was diagnosed with a circulatory problem. When he was finally cleared to play, it was too late to get into a major school, so he signed with D2 Abilene Christian. While there, he shredded the record book and brought the program renewed respect. In four seasons as a starter, he went 1,319-818-12,012-114-39 (62.02 completion percentage, 9.11 yards per attempt) — those are great numbers in any league. And if you look at him on film, you’ll see that he has all the NFL tools — big strong arm, accuracy, a nice touch, an understanding of coverages and blitzes, an ability to sense and escape the rush, great pre-snap reads and some running ability. But with all the good comes the bad. No less a source than The New York Times reported that his problems at Tulane had just as much to do with low grades, partying and marijuana use than they did with his medical condition. Malone says he’s changed, but teams will take that into consideration. And you can’t discount a circulatory condition. Perhaps the biggest problem for Malone is his age. He’ll be 26 in less than two weeks. It’s hard to be a quarterback of the future at that age, especially if you’re coming out of a D2. But there are very, very few people in the world who have Malone’s skill set and a dearth of quality quarterback prospects (not just in this draft, but in this era) will drive up his value. Right now people are saying he’s likely to be a priority free agent or perhaps a seventh rounder. But if he checks out on his physical, and he interviews well, he could climb up to the fifth round. He could be the steal of the draft, or cut before he ever plays a professional down.
Dan Skuta DE Grand Valley State (6025/249/4.72pd) is a super-productive D2 defensive end (17.5 TFL, 11.5 sacks, 4 forced fumbles as a senior) who improved throughout his career and generally stayed healthy. He’s not a big guy, so many teams (and draft experts) think he’ll be an outside linebacker. At his pro day, he had the numbers to make the switch a possibility, but teams like the Colts will interpret them as an indication that he’ll just be a better defensive end than they thought. Eerily similar to Trevor Scott, who played at Buffalo and was drafted by the Raiders sixth round last year and led all rookies with sacks. Skuta will most likely be taken in the sixth or seventh rounds.
Andy Schantz ILB Portland State (6003/234/4.71pd) played alongside Colts’ rookie sensation Jordan Senn in college. Although Schantz lacks Senns athleticism and speed, he is a tough, steady, by-the-book middle ’backer who can locate and drive to the ball carrier. He had 115 tackles as a senior, and looked comfortable in zone coverage. I saw him blitz at the Texas vs. the Nation game and he acquitted himself well. Schantz probably could have had a better chance being drafted if he ran a hair faster at his pro day, but he has a definite chance at sticking on an NFL squad as an undrafted free agent. Many people have compared him to the Bills’ John DiGeorgio, and it’s an apt analogy.
Billy Malone QB Abilene Christian (6022/235/4.95e) was a high school star in 2002 who turned down scholarship offers at Texas, LSU, Tennessee and other schools to play with his brother at Tulane. He didn’t play for two seasons behind future first rounder J.P. Losman, then was diagnosed with a circulatory problem. When he was finally cleared to play, it was too late to get into a major school, so he signed with D2 Abilene Christian. While there, he shredded the record book and brought the program renewed respect. In four seasons as a starter, he went 1,319-818-12,012-114-39 (62.02 completion percentage, 9.11 yards per attempt) — those are great numbers in any league. And if you look at him on film, you’ll see that he has all the NFL tools — big strong arm, accuracy, a nice touch, an understanding of coverages and blitzes, an ability to sense and escape the rush, great pre-snap reads and some running ability. But with all the good comes the bad. No less a source than The New York Times reported that his problems at Tulane had just as much to do with low grades, partying and marijuana use than they did with his medical condition. Malone says he’s changed, but teams will take that into consideration. And you can’t discount a circulatory condition. Perhaps the biggest problem for Malone is his age. He’ll be 26 in less than two weeks. It’s hard to be a quarterback of the future at that age, especially if you’re coming out of a D2. But there are very, very few people in the world who have Malone’s skill set and a dearth of quality quarterback prospects (not just in this draft, but in this era) will drive up his value. Right now people are saying he’s likely to be a priority free agent or perhaps a seventh rounder. But if he checks out on his physical, and he interviews well, he could climb up to the fifth round. He could be the steal of the draft, or cut before he ever plays a professional down.
Friday, March 27, 2009
Today's News
The Colts are having Tez Doolittle DT Auburn (6022/285/4.92pd) in for a meeting. A touch undersized by NFL DT standards, Doolittle is very talented and productive. He’s very explosive off the snap, plays low and has good hand use. He’s plenty strong for his size and has a nonstop motor and a good understanding of the game. The problem, though, is that he’s been injury-prone in his college career, missing games every year, including the entire 2007 season. Most draft guides say he won’t be drafted, but I disagree. He has the tools to be an effective NFL DT, and those guys are rare. Someone will take a chance on him. Doolittle seems like a fine young man.
They also took a long look at Ramon Humber OLB North Dakota State (5106/224/4.56pd). This All-Missouri Valley player is a run-and-chase OLB with strong blitzing ability. He played the strong side with Bisons, and seemed able to handle most tight ends and backs on routes through his zone, but may be too small to play there in the pros. It’s unlikely that Humber will be drafted, but he should be a priority free agent, and we all know the Colts are very good and finding those. Humber is, by all reports, a high character prospect.
Uncle Rico lives! Yahoo! Sports reports that 41-year-old Jeff George is throwing and staying in shape in hopes of yet another NFL comeback. “It just amazes me that I’m not on somebody’s roster,” they report him as saying. “You can’t tell me I’m not better than some of the QBs that are out there — I look at teams like Minnesota or Chicago, and I want to scream at the people in charge, ‘What are you thinking?’ ” They go on to report that if he says that if he was signed by the Vikings last season, he’d be wearing a Super Bowl ring now.
Of course, Jeff. Screaming, threats, claims of greatness and empty promises are how Super Bowls are won. Face it, the Colts made a huge mistake drafting you. You were not a quality NFL player because of your mental and emotional state. Your personal stats were okay, but you tore up every team you played for and never won anything significant. And your claims to the contrary only make me (and no doubt others) believe you haven’t changed.
Look, you had a chance to play in the NFL and you should be grateful for that. But I’m pretty sure it’s done now. Best of luck on whatever you do next.
Bullet dodged: ESPN is reporting that NFL teams are showing very “sparse” interest in free agent wide receiver Marvin Harrison. Kind of makes you feel good the Colts decided not to pay him $13.4 million this year.
They also took a long look at Ramon Humber OLB North Dakota State (5106/224/4.56pd). This All-Missouri Valley player is a run-and-chase OLB with strong blitzing ability. He played the strong side with Bisons, and seemed able to handle most tight ends and backs on routes through his zone, but may be too small to play there in the pros. It’s unlikely that Humber will be drafted, but he should be a priority free agent, and we all know the Colts are very good and finding those. Humber is, by all reports, a high character prospect.
Uncle Rico lives! Yahoo! Sports reports that 41-year-old Jeff George is throwing and staying in shape in hopes of yet another NFL comeback. “It just amazes me that I’m not on somebody’s roster,” they report him as saying. “You can’t tell me I’m not better than some of the QBs that are out there — I look at teams like Minnesota or Chicago, and I want to scream at the people in charge, ‘What are you thinking?’ ” They go on to report that if he says that if he was signed by the Vikings last season, he’d be wearing a Super Bowl ring now.
Of course, Jeff. Screaming, threats, claims of greatness and empty promises are how Super Bowls are won. Face it, the Colts made a huge mistake drafting you. You were not a quality NFL player because of your mental and emotional state. Your personal stats were okay, but you tore up every team you played for and never won anything significant. And your claims to the contrary only make me (and no doubt others) believe you haven’t changed.
Look, you had a chance to play in the NFL and you should be grateful for that. But I’m pretty sure it’s done now. Best of luck on whatever you do next.
Bullet dodged: ESPN is reporting that NFL teams are showing very “sparse” interest in free agent wide receiver Marvin Harrison. Kind of makes you feel good the Colts decided not to pay him $13.4 million this year.
Thursday, March 26, 2009
ColtPlay Interview: Dudley Guice Jr.
A couple of days ago, the Colts looked at an exciting small-school prospect named Dudley Guice Jr. I didn’t really know much about him (I’ve only seen him play once), but was really impressed by his statistics and his workout numbers. Then I looked at his bio, and he seemed like a great guy. He had a 3.597 grade-point average, graduated cum laude and aspires to be a federal agent.
So ColtPlay asked Guice a few questions. I’m glad I did. Not only is Guice an intriguing prospect, he’s also a witty, candid guy. Read what he says, he seems like a natural-born Colt.
CP: I saw you play in the Texas vs. the Nation Game, and you did great. Was it difficult playing a game with players from other teams after four years at NSU?
DGJ: No, not at all. I mean, it’s one of those things where I’ve been playing football pretty much my whole life; and more than anything, it was an honor just to play with such a great group of guys from all calibers of schools. I adapted well to the environment, and I had a great time to show not only scouts and players my God-given ability, but to prove to myself that I belong there in the mix.
CP: What’s the best part of your game as relates to a pro career?
DGJ: If I had a phrase to describe me it would say “A Very Versatile Athlete” … meaning I think personally I do all of the intangibles very well. I pride myself on route running and God gave me the ability to have soft big hands. I’m a great deep threat, short, or over the middle. I’m very physical, and I love to mix up with DBs at the line of scrimmage. I definitely think I'm a home run hitter, and I will block for my running back at all times and not take plays off. Most of all, I’m self-motivated and a hard worker.
CP: What do you need to work on?
DGJ: Not trying to sound arrogant by any means, but I think we all have room for improvement in every aspect of our games. And I’m always open mentally and physically for improvement — but the one thing that pops out to me is that I may need to work on is playing and focusing in on my assignment at 100 percent while playing tired or fatigued.
CP: I noticed that you move very well laterally for a big receiver, is that something you’ve specifically worked on?
DGJ: Yes sir. I have. I think a lot of big receivers rely only on their natural body and talent to get open, but myself, I pride myself on route running and doing the intangibles to make it even harder to cover me. When it’s the 4th quarter and a DB’s saying to himself ‘what is he about to do?’ I would like more than one bullet in the chamber. LOL
CP: I know you did a lot of work at NSU on special teams, is this something you see yourself doing in the pros?
DGJ: Of course. I know you have to crawl before you walk, and I’m willing to do whatever it takes to get on the field, whether it’s playing special teams or catching the game-winning touchdown. As long as our team’s winning, I'm all for it.
CP: Despite your production at NSU and your great workout numbers, there’s a chance you might not get drafted. If that becomes the case, you will get lots of offers — what factors would help you decide on what team to sign with (eg. signing bonus, chance of making playoffs, offensive philosophy)?
DGJ: That’s a big factor, and I just try not think about it, and let God work His magic. But if that was to happen, I would like to go to an organization who’s about the team first and that take pride themselves the same way whether they’re winning or losing, and just treating everyone with respect.
CP: Is playing the slot significantly different than playing wide? Which do you prefer?
DGJ: Actually, I like both. I like the wide because DBs have a hard time pressing me and matching up man to man. And I like the slot cause I give safeties and linebackers a major threat. I just try to make plays when my number’s called whether it's in the slot or out wide.
CP: Who was the toughest DB you faced in college?
DGJ: I can honestly say up until this point I haven't met my match yet but maybe in the near future I can answer that question. LOL
CP: You turned down a scholarship to play DB at Mississippi State to play WR at NSU, why was it so important to play WR?
DGJ: It's just one of those things that receiver is my passion, and it’s something I love to do. At the time, I led the state with 11 or 12 INTs my senior year and a lot of bigger schools wanted me to play DB because I was 6'1 and 207 pounds coming out of high school. I helped my team out on the defensive side, but also led the state in receptions with about 52, 54 or 56 with 1,100 or 1,200-plus yards receiving. So to me it's one of those things — are you going to play DB just to go to a bigger school and get more recognition, or are you going to go to a school and play the position that you love to play and want to get better in? So I picked WR.
CP: You’re a cum laude graduate and aspire to be a federal agent; is it important to you to go to a team that deems character to be an essential part of a prospect’s value?
DGJ: Of course. Definitely growing up throughout my life, a wise man (which is my dad) told me to remember a saying and till this day I know it frontwards and backwards. My dad said: “Adversity brings character; and character can take you to a place that fame, money or whatever it is can’t.”
CP: You’ve spoken with a number of NFL teams, how do the Colts compare with the others?
DGJ: Just saying the name Colts speaks for itself. There are a lot of great veteran players on that team, and they pride themselves in the same manner whether it's winning or losing — and that’s playing till it’s 0:00 on the clock. I would love to catch a few bombs from Peyton Manning. It would not only be a biggest dream, but it would be an honor.
CP: Do people consistently mispronounce your last name? Does it rhyme with “spice?”
DGJ: Yes sir. Whether there are saying geese, juice, or grice, it keeps a smile on my face. Hopefully, one day I can become a household name — a Got Guice instead of juice. LOL
So ColtPlay asked Guice a few questions. I’m glad I did. Not only is Guice an intriguing prospect, he’s also a witty, candid guy. Read what he says, he seems like a natural-born Colt.
CP: I saw you play in the Texas vs. the Nation Game, and you did great. Was it difficult playing a game with players from other teams after four years at NSU?
DGJ: No, not at all. I mean, it’s one of those things where I’ve been playing football pretty much my whole life; and more than anything, it was an honor just to play with such a great group of guys from all calibers of schools. I adapted well to the environment, and I had a great time to show not only scouts and players my God-given ability, but to prove to myself that I belong there in the mix.
CP: What’s the best part of your game as relates to a pro career?
DGJ: If I had a phrase to describe me it would say “A Very Versatile Athlete” … meaning I think personally I do all of the intangibles very well. I pride myself on route running and God gave me the ability to have soft big hands. I’m a great deep threat, short, or over the middle. I’m very physical, and I love to mix up with DBs at the line of scrimmage. I definitely think I'm a home run hitter, and I will block for my running back at all times and not take plays off. Most of all, I’m self-motivated and a hard worker.
CP: What do you need to work on?
DGJ: Not trying to sound arrogant by any means, but I think we all have room for improvement in every aspect of our games. And I’m always open mentally and physically for improvement — but the one thing that pops out to me is that I may need to work on is playing and focusing in on my assignment at 100 percent while playing tired or fatigued.
CP: I noticed that you move very well laterally for a big receiver, is that something you’ve specifically worked on?
DGJ: Yes sir. I have. I think a lot of big receivers rely only on their natural body and talent to get open, but myself, I pride myself on route running and doing the intangibles to make it even harder to cover me. When it’s the 4th quarter and a DB’s saying to himself ‘what is he about to do?’ I would like more than one bullet in the chamber. LOL
CP: I know you did a lot of work at NSU on special teams, is this something you see yourself doing in the pros?
DGJ: Of course. I know you have to crawl before you walk, and I’m willing to do whatever it takes to get on the field, whether it’s playing special teams or catching the game-winning touchdown. As long as our team’s winning, I'm all for it.
CP: Despite your production at NSU and your great workout numbers, there’s a chance you might not get drafted. If that becomes the case, you will get lots of offers — what factors would help you decide on what team to sign with (eg. signing bonus, chance of making playoffs, offensive philosophy)?
DGJ: That’s a big factor, and I just try not think about it, and let God work His magic. But if that was to happen, I would like to go to an organization who’s about the team first and that take pride themselves the same way whether they’re winning or losing, and just treating everyone with respect.
CP: Is playing the slot significantly different than playing wide? Which do you prefer?
DGJ: Actually, I like both. I like the wide because DBs have a hard time pressing me and matching up man to man. And I like the slot cause I give safeties and linebackers a major threat. I just try to make plays when my number’s called whether it's in the slot or out wide.
CP: Who was the toughest DB you faced in college?
DGJ: I can honestly say up until this point I haven't met my match yet but maybe in the near future I can answer that question. LOL
CP: You turned down a scholarship to play DB at Mississippi State to play WR at NSU, why was it so important to play WR?
DGJ: It's just one of those things that receiver is my passion, and it’s something I love to do. At the time, I led the state with 11 or 12 INTs my senior year and a lot of bigger schools wanted me to play DB because I was 6'1 and 207 pounds coming out of high school. I helped my team out on the defensive side, but also led the state in receptions with about 52, 54 or 56 with 1,100 or 1,200-plus yards receiving. So to me it's one of those things — are you going to play DB just to go to a bigger school and get more recognition, or are you going to go to a school and play the position that you love to play and want to get better in? So I picked WR.
CP: You’re a cum laude graduate and aspire to be a federal agent; is it important to you to go to a team that deems character to be an essential part of a prospect’s value?
DGJ: Of course. Definitely growing up throughout my life, a wise man (which is my dad) told me to remember a saying and till this day I know it frontwards and backwards. My dad said: “Adversity brings character; and character can take you to a place that fame, money or whatever it is can’t.”
CP: You’ve spoken with a number of NFL teams, how do the Colts compare with the others?
DGJ: Just saying the name Colts speaks for itself. There are a lot of great veteran players on that team, and they pride themselves in the same manner whether it's winning or losing — and that’s playing till it’s 0:00 on the clock. I would love to catch a few bombs from Peyton Manning. It would not only be a biggest dream, but it would be an honor.
CP: Do people consistently mispronounce your last name? Does it rhyme with “spice?”
DGJ: Yes sir. Whether there are saying geese, juice, or grice, it keeps a smile on my face. Hopefully, one day I can become a household name — a Got Guice instead of juice. LOL
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
More Look-Sees
Add four more prospects to the list of guys the Colts’ have shown interest in:
Al Afalava SS Oregon State (5107/207/4.47pd): This kid is a big hitter and excellent open-field tackler (real football fans know that those two don’t always coincide) with excellent instincts and short-area quickness. But like many thumper safeties, he’s much better facing the plays than he is in deep coverage. If that seems like the kind of college safety the Colts turn into outside linebackers, then you’re thinking like I am. But Afalava has had a few character issues, including ramming a bus shelter at 4:30 a.m., then fleeing on foot. Most draft guides will tell you he won’t be drafted, but they were written before he ran a 4.47 forty, jumped 40 inches in the vertical and pushed the bar up 25 times. If he checks out on the character side, don’t be surprised if you hear his name in the sixth or even fifth round.
Josh Gaines DE Penn State (6003/276/4.92pd): Gaines was effective in college, but lacks the explosiveness you look for in an end and the size and strength you want in a tackle. He’s got a good motor and great technique, though, so he can be effective in the NFL — especially in short bursts. In the Colts’ scheme, he’d likely play a combination end/tackle position like Josh Thomas used to. May be drafted in the sixth or seventh round, or could just as likely go undrafted.
Lonnie Harvey DT Morgan State (6030/346/5.20pd): It’s okay of you haven’t heard of this small-school behemoth, but he’s a legit pro prospect. This monster in the middle is much more mobile than you’d expect for a guy his size, and has good tackling skills. Otherwise he’s pretty raw, but he could be coached up. Probably won’t be drafted, but will be in somebody’s camp.
Andrew Johnson HB Akron (5104/215/4.42e): Is a very interesting prospect. A much ballyhooed high school prospect, Johnson went to Miami where he was buried on the depth chart despite obvious skill. He had a few carries and then tore his ACL. He came back, played a little and tore his other ACL. Sure he wouldn’t get another chance with the Hurricanes, Johnson took a year off and transferred to Akron. And with the Zips he was taken off the field in an ambulance twice. He’s definitely got talent if he can stay on the field, but with that kind of medical history it’s very unlikely he’ll be drafted.
In other news, veteran Colts writer John Oehser reports on his blog, The Indy Football Report, that the Colts are sending Clint Session to the weakside, and Phillip Wheeler will compete for the strongside spot. This makes sense, as Session is a natural weakside backer, and Wheeler is big enough to handle the strongside. Should Wheeler fail to secure the spot it would likely fall to veteran free agent signee Adam Seward. He’s not awesome, but he is capable.
Al Afalava SS Oregon State (5107/207/4.47pd): This kid is a big hitter and excellent open-field tackler (real football fans know that those two don’t always coincide) with excellent instincts and short-area quickness. But like many thumper safeties, he’s much better facing the plays than he is in deep coverage. If that seems like the kind of college safety the Colts turn into outside linebackers, then you’re thinking like I am. But Afalava has had a few character issues, including ramming a bus shelter at 4:30 a.m., then fleeing on foot. Most draft guides will tell you he won’t be drafted, but they were written before he ran a 4.47 forty, jumped 40 inches in the vertical and pushed the bar up 25 times. If he checks out on the character side, don’t be surprised if you hear his name in the sixth or even fifth round.
Josh Gaines DE Penn State (6003/276/4.92pd): Gaines was effective in college, but lacks the explosiveness you look for in an end and the size and strength you want in a tackle. He’s got a good motor and great technique, though, so he can be effective in the NFL — especially in short bursts. In the Colts’ scheme, he’d likely play a combination end/tackle position like Josh Thomas used to. May be drafted in the sixth or seventh round, or could just as likely go undrafted.
Lonnie Harvey DT Morgan State (6030/346/5.20pd): It’s okay of you haven’t heard of this small-school behemoth, but he’s a legit pro prospect. This monster in the middle is much more mobile than you’d expect for a guy his size, and has good tackling skills. Otherwise he’s pretty raw, but he could be coached up. Probably won’t be drafted, but will be in somebody’s camp.
Andrew Johnson HB Akron (5104/215/4.42e): Is a very interesting prospect. A much ballyhooed high school prospect, Johnson went to Miami where he was buried on the depth chart despite obvious skill. He had a few carries and then tore his ACL. He came back, played a little and tore his other ACL. Sure he wouldn’t get another chance with the Hurricanes, Johnson took a year off and transferred to Akron. And with the Zips he was taken off the field in an ambulance twice. He’s definitely got talent if he can stay on the field, but with that kind of medical history it’s very unlikely he’ll be drafted.
In other news, veteran Colts writer John Oehser reports on his blog, The Indy Football Report, that the Colts are sending Clint Session to the weakside, and Phillip Wheeler will compete for the strongside spot. This makes sense, as Session is a natural weakside backer, and Wheeler is big enough to handle the strongside. Should Wheeler fail to secure the spot it would likely fall to veteran free agent signee Adam Seward. He’s not awesome, but he is capable.
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
News Roundup
Ed Thompson of Scout.com reports the Colts took a look at Central Florida’s CB/RS Joe Burnett (5093/192/4.58c). He’s a very interesting prospect . If you look at his Combine numbers, you see a seventh rounder or an undrafted free agent. But if you look at his game film, you see a first rounder. Okay, Burnett hasn’t faced top competition as a Knight, but he started from Day 1 as a corner and set records as a return man.
Burnett makes up for his lack of timed speed as a corner with perfect technique and short area quickness and as a return man with natural elusiveness and extraordinary agility and body control. And the results were obvious. In four years as a corner, he had 164 tackles, 38 assists, 11.5 tackles for loss, 2 quarterback hurries, 1 forced fumble, 16-262-0 interceptions and 33 passes broken up. And as a returner, he went 96-1,304-3 (13.58 average) on punts and 28-791-2 (28.25 average) on kicks. In college, he showed every talent you want in a Cover-2 corner and as a returner, but is shorter and slower in a straight line than you’d expect. That combination makes teams wonder if he’s a great college player lacking the physical prerequisites to be an NFLer, or if he’s just one of those players who simply doesn’t test well, but brings it all on game day. The problem is that it will probably take a fifth-round pick to find out.
Yesterday, the league awarded the Colts a fourth-round pick as compensation for Jake Scott, the free-agent offensive lineman who signed with the Titans. I like Scott, but am really surprised by what a great pick they got for him.
In other news, the Colts cut Clifton Dawson. The book on him is that he’s a great guy with all the skills a halfback needs except quickness and deep speed. So he’s perfect for the CFL (and the fact that he’s a Canadian citizen doesn’t hurt, either). Their camps have just opened. Let’s hope he goes to my hometown Hamilton Tiger-Cats rather than the contemptible Toronto Argonauts.
Burnett makes up for his lack of timed speed as a corner with perfect technique and short area quickness and as a return man with natural elusiveness and extraordinary agility and body control. And the results were obvious. In four years as a corner, he had 164 tackles, 38 assists, 11.5 tackles for loss, 2 quarterback hurries, 1 forced fumble, 16-262-0 interceptions and 33 passes broken up. And as a returner, he went 96-1,304-3 (13.58 average) on punts and 28-791-2 (28.25 average) on kicks. In college, he showed every talent you want in a Cover-2 corner and as a returner, but is shorter and slower in a straight line than you’d expect. That combination makes teams wonder if he’s a great college player lacking the physical prerequisites to be an NFLer, or if he’s just one of those players who simply doesn’t test well, but brings it all on game day. The problem is that it will probably take a fifth-round pick to find out.
Yesterday, the league awarded the Colts a fourth-round pick as compensation for Jake Scott, the free-agent offensive lineman who signed with the Titans. I like Scott, but am really surprised by what a great pick they got for him.
In other news, the Colts cut Clifton Dawson. The book on him is that he’s a great guy with all the skills a halfback needs except quickness and deep speed. So he’s perfect for the CFL (and the fact that he’s a Canadian citizen doesn’t hurt, either). Their camps have just opened. Let’s hope he goes to my hometown Hamilton Tiger-Cats rather than the contemptible Toronto Argonauts.
Monday, March 23, 2009
Nate Davis: QB of the Future?
According to published reports, the Colts were the only NFL team to watch Ball State QB Nate Davis (6013/226/4.95c) work out at his Pro Day. Not surprisingly, this — not too long after the Colts worked out USC QB Mark Sanchez — has led Colts fans to believe that the team is not just looking for a better back-up than Jim Sorgi, but also an eventual replacement for Peyton Manning.
It makes sense. Manning will be 33 tomorrow, and he looked very mortal this year after a bursa sac problem that began before the season slowed him down considerably. Everyone, all at once realized he won’t actually last forever. So it makes sense for the Colts to invest in a young passer with upside — as the Patriot did with Matt Cassell — but is Davis the guy? Let’s look at the pluses and minuses.
Positives
• Great arm, with stunning accuracy on deep passes
• Quick release
• Good footwork and overall athleticism
• Excellent college production (1,124-678-9,233-74-22 passing)
• Is a viable running option
• Very tough and durable
Negatives
• Short
• Overall mechanics are lacking, especially on short passes
• Will fumble
• Played in spread offense and very rarely took snaps from center
• Did not play as well in big games or against tougher opponents
• Has been diagnosed with a learning disability
• Plays with glove on his throwing hand and does not use laces, despite coaches’ advice
I’d have to say that Davis has the tools to be an effective NFL starter if he develops. His height doesn’t bother me (he’s taller than Drew Brees). Nor does his lack of experience behind center or against top competition, because those things can gradually disappear with experience in the NFL.
But what does bother me about Davis is between his ears. And I’m not talking about the learning disability. While natural intelligence is a nice thing to have, it doesn’t always translate to the field; and Davis’ decision-making process as a football player seemed as unimpaired as most prospects at his stage of development. The alarming thing is his reluctance to heed his coaches’ advice. While Davis has had undeniable success throwing the ball, he has done so while ignoring some basic fundamentals. It makes one wonder how good he could be if he took the gloves off and used the laces. It also makes you wonder if he’ll listen to his coaches as a pro.
And that’s the key. If Davis is to develop, it will only happen if he realizes that his coaches (and potential veteran NFL quarterbacks) know more about the game than he does. But if he didn’t listen to Stan Parrish and Eddie Faulkner when his draft status (ie. pay day) was on line, what makes us think he’ll listen to Jim Caldwell, Tom Moore, Frank Reich and Manning after a contract is signed? It has nothing to do with a learning disability; it’s about maturity. And coming out as a junior when he clearly had a lot to learn didn’t help anyone believe he was maturing.
Personally I’d like to see the kid succeed, but I realize he’s a lottery ticket at this point. He’ll never be a Manning, but if he responds to coaches, he could maybe be a Jay Cutler type, or an Aaron Rodgers — a guy whose physical talents often transcend his occasional lapses and shortcomings. More likely he’s a Joey Harrington — the guy with the live arm who just doesn’t have the patience or discipline for the NFL game. And, or course, there’s always a chance he’ll be an Akili Smith — a guy who just doesn’t belong in the NFL at all.
Like all gambles, a talent like Davis is only worth an investment you can afford to lose. It’s tempting to say the Colts should draft him in the third round because they haven’t gotten anything decent out of a third-round pick in years, but I think that’s still too steep. I’d be very impressed if the Colts managed to get Davis with no greater loss than a fourth rounder. Keep in mind there are three guys in this draft with the potential to be a franchise QB in the NFL, and Davis is the only one who won't cost a first rounder.
Note: It’s not a huge deal that other teams did not attend Davis’ Pro Day; he went through all the workouts at the Combine and it's not uncommon for teams to stand on what they saw there.
It makes sense. Manning will be 33 tomorrow, and he looked very mortal this year after a bursa sac problem that began before the season slowed him down considerably. Everyone, all at once realized he won’t actually last forever. So it makes sense for the Colts to invest in a young passer with upside — as the Patriot did with Matt Cassell — but is Davis the guy? Let’s look at the pluses and minuses.
Positives
• Great arm, with stunning accuracy on deep passes
• Quick release
• Good footwork and overall athleticism
• Excellent college production (1,124-678-9,233-74-22 passing)
• Is a viable running option
• Very tough and durable
Negatives
• Short
• Overall mechanics are lacking, especially on short passes
• Will fumble
• Played in spread offense and very rarely took snaps from center
• Did not play as well in big games or against tougher opponents
• Has been diagnosed with a learning disability
• Plays with glove on his throwing hand and does not use laces, despite coaches’ advice
I’d have to say that Davis has the tools to be an effective NFL starter if he develops. His height doesn’t bother me (he’s taller than Drew Brees). Nor does his lack of experience behind center or against top competition, because those things can gradually disappear with experience in the NFL.
But what does bother me about Davis is between his ears. And I’m not talking about the learning disability. While natural intelligence is a nice thing to have, it doesn’t always translate to the field; and Davis’ decision-making process as a football player seemed as unimpaired as most prospects at his stage of development. The alarming thing is his reluctance to heed his coaches’ advice. While Davis has had undeniable success throwing the ball, he has done so while ignoring some basic fundamentals. It makes one wonder how good he could be if he took the gloves off and used the laces. It also makes you wonder if he’ll listen to his coaches as a pro.
And that’s the key. If Davis is to develop, it will only happen if he realizes that his coaches (and potential veteran NFL quarterbacks) know more about the game than he does. But if he didn’t listen to Stan Parrish and Eddie Faulkner when his draft status (ie. pay day) was on line, what makes us think he’ll listen to Jim Caldwell, Tom Moore, Frank Reich and Manning after a contract is signed? It has nothing to do with a learning disability; it’s about maturity. And coming out as a junior when he clearly had a lot to learn didn’t help anyone believe he was maturing.
Personally I’d like to see the kid succeed, but I realize he’s a lottery ticket at this point. He’ll never be a Manning, but if he responds to coaches, he could maybe be a Jay Cutler type, or an Aaron Rodgers — a guy whose physical talents often transcend his occasional lapses and shortcomings. More likely he’s a Joey Harrington — the guy with the live arm who just doesn’t have the patience or discipline for the NFL game. And, or course, there’s always a chance he’ll be an Akili Smith — a guy who just doesn’t belong in the NFL at all.
Like all gambles, a talent like Davis is only worth an investment you can afford to lose. It’s tempting to say the Colts should draft him in the third round because they haven’t gotten anything decent out of a third-round pick in years, but I think that’s still too steep. I’d be very impressed if the Colts managed to get Davis with no greater loss than a fourth rounder. Keep in mind there are three guys in this draft with the potential to be a franchise QB in the NFL, and Davis is the only one who won't cost a first rounder.
Note: It’s not a huge deal that other teams did not attend Davis’ Pro Day; he went through all the workouts at the Combine and it's not uncommon for teams to stand on what they saw there.
Saturday, March 21, 2009
Colts sign Seward
Well what do you know? The Colts actually signed someone from another team and even reportedly had to outbid the Patriots for him. The guy is former UNLV, former Carolina Panthers LB Adam Seward. I described him a few days ago.
So why was it so important to bring him in? Keep in mind that the Colts have lost not just Freddie Keiaho at linebacker, but also Tyjuan Hagler. Seward will fill Hagler's role (formerly Rocky Boiman's role) as the guy who backs up Mike and Sam (Will in a pinch) and contributes on specials as well. Seward represents an ungrade over Hagler in most aspects of the game and spends far less time in the whirlpool.
QB 18 Peyton Manning, 12 Jim Sorgi
RB 29 Joseph Addai, 32 Mike Hart, 35 Chad Simpson, 27 Lance Ball, 30 Clifton Dawson
FL 87 Reggie Wayne, 85 Pierre Garcon, 14 Samuel Giguere
SE 88 Marvin Harrison, 11 Anthony Gonzalez, 83 Roy Hall, 6 Taj Smith
TE 44 Dallas Clark, 84 Jacob Tamme, 80 Jamie Petrowski
H-B 47 Gijon Robinson, 86 Tom Santi
RT 71 Ryan Diem, 75 Michael Toudouze, 72 Corey Hilliard
RG 78 Mike Pollak
C 61 Jamey Richard, 53 Steve Justice
LG 65 Ryan Lilja
LT 67 Tony Ugoh, 74 Charlie Johnson
RDE 93 Dwight Freeney, 92 Marcus Howard, 94 Curtis Johnson
RDT 99 Antonio Johnson, 90 Daniel Muir
LDT 96 Keyunta Dawson, 68 Eric Foster
LDE 79 Raheem Brock, 98 Robert Mathis
RLB 51 Jordan Senn, 59 Rufus Alexander
MLB 58 Gary Brackett, Adam Seward, 52 Buster Davis
LLB 55 Clint Session, 50 Philip Wheeler, Mike Okwo
RCB 26 Kelvin Hayden, 23 Tim Jennings, 25 Michael Coe, 34 TJ Rushing, 39 Brandon Foster, Travis Keys
LCB 28 Marlin Jackson, 20 Dante Hughes, 42 Nick Graham, 36 Brandon Sumrall
SS 21 Bob Sanders, 40 Jamie Silva
FS 41 Antoine Bethea, 33 Melvin Bullitt, 37 Brannon Condren
K 4 Adam Vinatieri
P Mike Dragosavich
LS 48 Justin Snow
So why was it so important to bring him in? Keep in mind that the Colts have lost not just Freddie Keiaho at linebacker, but also Tyjuan Hagler. Seward will fill Hagler's role (formerly Rocky Boiman's role) as the guy who backs up Mike and Sam (Will in a pinch) and contributes on specials as well. Seward represents an ungrade over Hagler in most aspects of the game and spends far less time in the whirlpool.
QB 18 Peyton Manning, 12 Jim Sorgi
RB 29 Joseph Addai, 32 Mike Hart, 35 Chad Simpson, 27 Lance Ball, 30 Clifton Dawson
FL 87 Reggie Wayne, 85 Pierre Garcon, 14 Samuel Giguere
SE 88 Marvin Harrison, 11 Anthony Gonzalez, 83 Roy Hall, 6 Taj Smith
TE 44 Dallas Clark, 84 Jacob Tamme, 80 Jamie Petrowski
H-B 47 Gijon Robinson, 86 Tom Santi
RT 71 Ryan Diem, 75 Michael Toudouze, 72 Corey Hilliard
RG 78 Mike Pollak
C 61 Jamey Richard, 53 Steve Justice
LG 65 Ryan Lilja
LT 67 Tony Ugoh, 74 Charlie Johnson
RDE 93 Dwight Freeney, 92 Marcus Howard, 94 Curtis Johnson
RDT 99 Antonio Johnson, 90 Daniel Muir
LDT 96 Keyunta Dawson, 68 Eric Foster
LDE 79 Raheem Brock, 98 Robert Mathis
RLB 51 Jordan Senn, 59 Rufus Alexander
MLB 58 Gary Brackett, Adam Seward, 52 Buster Davis
LLB 55 Clint Session, 50 Philip Wheeler, Mike Okwo
RCB 26 Kelvin Hayden, 23 Tim Jennings, 25 Michael Coe, 34 TJ Rushing, 39 Brandon Foster, Travis Keys
LCB 28 Marlin Jackson, 20 Dante Hughes, 42 Nick Graham, 36 Brandon Sumrall
SS 21 Bob Sanders, 40 Jamie Silva
FS 41 Antoine Bethea, 33 Melvin Bullitt, 37 Brannon Condren
K 4 Adam Vinatieri
P Mike Dragosavich
LS 48 Justin Snow
Friday, March 20, 2009
The Latest Prospect to be Seen
Dudley Guice (6024/209/4.40pd) is a wide receiver/return man prospect from tiny Northwestern State. I’ve not seen film of him so I have to depend on numbers and media reports. When it comes to numbers, he’s got ’em in all the right places. He’s tall, strong and fast. He also had a 39-inch vertical, 10’5 long jump, did the short shuttle in 4.01 seconds and the three-cone in 6.61. Those are phenomenal numbers for a man of any size at any position. And he was plenty productive. Here are his college numbers:
2008: 35-606-5 receiving, 1-1-0 kick return, 2 tackles
2007: 28-430-4 receiving, 11-182-0 kick returns, 11-84-2 rushing, 1-1-48-0-0 passing, 1-(-1)-0 punt returns, 3 tackles
2006: 14-138-2 receiving, 1 tackle
2005: 1-39-0 receiving, 5 tackles, 1 assist
Total: 78-1,213-11 (15.55) receiving, 12-183-0 (15.25) kick returns, 11-84-2 rushing (7.64), 1-1-48-0-0 (48.00) passing 1-(-1)-0 (-1.00) punt return, 11 tackles and 1 assist.
While I can’t be definitive, those numbers tell me he can get open and catch, but he’s not a naturally elusive runner.
His triangle numbers mean he’ll be in someone’s camp, but his lack of total dominance in the Southland Conference makes him unlikely to be drafted.
He comes off as intelligent and candid in interviews and he has already earned his degree.
Should he end up with the Colts — which could well happen, as he fits their mold, and they are the most aggressive team when it comes to signing undrafted free agents — he’d be thrown on the pile of wide receiver/returner/special teamer prospects, and likely be stashed away on the practice squad unless he looks like Superman in camp.
Correction: Yes, I did see this kid! In the Texas vs. the Nation Bowl. He caught all five passes thrown to him for 70 yards and a touchdown. He was pretty good, and this sudden recollection does nothing ton change my opinion of him. I like him, hope he succeeds and would like to see him with a horseshoe on his hat.
2008: 35-606-5 receiving, 1-1-0 kick return, 2 tackles
2007: 28-430-4 receiving, 11-182-0 kick returns, 11-84-2 rushing, 1-1-48-0-0 passing, 1-(-1)-0 punt returns, 3 tackles
2006: 14-138-2 receiving, 1 tackle
2005: 1-39-0 receiving, 5 tackles, 1 assist
Total: 78-1,213-11 (15.55) receiving, 12-183-0 (15.25) kick returns, 11-84-2 rushing (7.64), 1-1-48-0-0 (48.00) passing 1-(-1)-0 (-1.00) punt return, 11 tackles and 1 assist.
While I can’t be definitive, those numbers tell me he can get open and catch, but he’s not a naturally elusive runner.
His triangle numbers mean he’ll be in someone’s camp, but his lack of total dominance in the Southland Conference makes him unlikely to be drafted.
He comes off as intelligent and candid in interviews and he has already earned his degree.
Should he end up with the Colts — which could well happen, as he fits their mold, and they are the most aggressive team when it comes to signing undrafted free agents — he’d be thrown on the pile of wide receiver/returner/special teamer prospects, and likely be stashed away on the practice squad unless he looks like Superman in camp.
Correction: Yes, I did see this kid! In the Texas vs. the Nation Bowl. He caught all five passes thrown to him for 70 yards and a touchdown. He was pretty good, and this sudden recollection does nothing ton change my opinion of him. I like him, hope he succeeds and would like to see him with a horseshoe on his hat.
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Two more potential Colts
In the past few days the Colts have looked at one veteran free agent, linebacker Adam Seward, and one draftable guy, Portland State cornerback Reggie Jones. Here’s rundown:
Adam Seward (6022/248/4.60c in 05) was a very productive inside linebacker in UNLV’s 3-4, but looked on tape to be a college star who lacked the athleticism to be an NFL starter. He surprised everyone with a great Combine showing, and was drafted by the Panthers in the fifth round. It hasn’t really worked out that well for either party. In four seasons with Carolina, Seward has played in 40 games (one start), recording 16 tackles, 4 assists and one fumble recovery. He was a pretty solid player, especially on specials, and showed an ability to clog the middle on running plays; but he was behind both Jon Beason and Dan Connor on the depth chart. If he were to join the Colts, Seward probably wouldn’t challenge for a starting spot, but could take over the swing backup/special teamer spot Rocky Boiman used to hold down.
Reggie Jones (5113/193/4.43pd) is an outstanding athlete who’s very raw for a couple of reasons — he transferred from Idaho to Portland State, missing a whole year, and was moved from wide receiver to cornerback. And he’s had some trouble, too. When his mom went to prison, he took over the care of his two younger sisters. It affected his studies, and he was doing poorly at Idaho. But a determined Portland State coach — former NFL and CFL stalwart Alundis Brice — helped him out, and Jones blossomed on the field and in the classroom. As a corner, he has all the tools, but would take some time to develop. He has some experience as a return man and natural run skills, so he could be worth a roster spot while the coaches see if he can contribute on defense. He’ll be drafted in the seventh round if at all, but has potential steal written all over him.
Adam Seward (6022/248/4.60c in 05) was a very productive inside linebacker in UNLV’s 3-4, but looked on tape to be a college star who lacked the athleticism to be an NFL starter. He surprised everyone with a great Combine showing, and was drafted by the Panthers in the fifth round. It hasn’t really worked out that well for either party. In four seasons with Carolina, Seward has played in 40 games (one start), recording 16 tackles, 4 assists and one fumble recovery. He was a pretty solid player, especially on specials, and showed an ability to clog the middle on running plays; but he was behind both Jon Beason and Dan Connor on the depth chart. If he were to join the Colts, Seward probably wouldn’t challenge for a starting spot, but could take over the swing backup/special teamer spot Rocky Boiman used to hold down.
Reggie Jones (5113/193/4.43pd) is an outstanding athlete who’s very raw for a couple of reasons — he transferred from Idaho to Portland State, missing a whole year, and was moved from wide receiver to cornerback. And he’s had some trouble, too. When his mom went to prison, he took over the care of his two younger sisters. It affected his studies, and he was doing poorly at Idaho. But a determined Portland State coach — former NFL and CFL stalwart Alundis Brice — helped him out, and Jones blossomed on the field and in the classroom. As a corner, he has all the tools, but would take some time to develop. He has some experience as a return man and natural run skills, so he could be worth a roster spot while the coaches see if he can contribute on defense. He’ll be drafted in the seventh round if at all, but has potential steal written all over him.
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Lookie-lous
Here’s a brief rundown of the players ColtPlay has learned the Colts have shown interest in:
Mark Sanchez QB Southern California (6021/227/4.92c)
Bill Polian is doing this just to drive me crazy. Actually, even Peyton Manning will one day need a replacement, and the Colts would be wise to track one down soon. The comparisons of Sanchez to Matt Cassell are astute — he appears to have the tools to transcend his lack of experience. And where would he be better off learning than at the foot of the master? But there’s talk of him being not just a top-10 pick, but maybe the top pick overall. Maybe Polian is just putting me on after all.
Rashad Jennings RB Liberty (6010/234/4.58c4.52pd)
Oh boy, I’d like this a lot. With Dominic Rhodes unlikely to be re-signed, and Mike Hart probably sidelined until midseason, the Colts desperately need a back to go with starter Joseph Addai. They could do a whole lot worse than Jennings. He’s a top character guy, a battering ram as a runner, is a smooth and effective receiver and is a willing and talented blocker. Not only would he be a strong No. 2 back, he would also help out on that short-yardage problem that seems to have been around since Roosevelt Potts tore his ACL. He’s a second round pick, third id things get strange.
Derrick Williams WR Penn State (5114/194/4.65c)
Williams would be an intriguing pick. In college, he was feared as a receiver and return man because he could score pretty well any time he touched the ball. He had some problems with drops and was seen more as a Devin Hester-type than the second coming of Steve Smith. But then he ran like a linebacker at the Combine. It makes one wonder whether he’s a guy who can destroy opposing teams without speed, or if he was a college star who just doesn’t have the stuff to make it in the pros. My bet is that he succeeds despite his lack of timed speed. And he also has all of those intelligent, solid-citizen credentials the Colts love. Before the Combine everyone had Williams as a second rounder, but now opinions vary and I have seen some mockers exiling him to as far down as the fifth round. We’ll have a much clearer idea if he runs better on his pro day.
JaRon Harris WR South Dakota State (6003/192/4.47e)
Yeah, yeah, yeah he played at South Dakota State. So did Adam Vinateri. I realize that’s not actually pertinent, but it had to be said. But Harris actually does have potential NFL value. He’s plenty fast, strong and a gifted receiver. In his senior season he caught 70-966-11, ran for 2-98-1 and returned kicks 13-302-0; that followed up a junior season in which he caught 40-664-7 and ran 2-5-1. He looked like a man among boys out there, very much like how Pierre Garcon looked last year at Mount Union. Most media sources are saying Harris is unlikely to be drafted, but that could easily change after his pro day.
Phil Loadholt T (6076/332/5.49c5.45pd)
Immensely strong tackle prospect who will never have the feet to play on the left side, but could be a destroyer even a Pro Bowler on the right side. A good kid with a ton of upside and an ability to get to the second level quickly, Loadholt will be a great pro if he gets good coaching and understands that he needs to be more than just strong to be successful. I think it’ll take a second rounder to get him.
Connor Barwin DE Cincinnati (6035/256/4.59c)
You’re gonna hear countless comparisons to Mike Vrabel because this kid can play tight end and projects to a 3-4 OLB who can put his hand down on passing downs. But if he were to become a Colt, he’d almost certainly spend all his time at end. He’s a touch raw but everything else the Colts like at the position, not just as a player but also as a person. He’d be a great addition, but since he is expected to be drafted in the second round, he could be an expensive luxury on a team already spending a ton on its ends.
Cody Brown DE Connecticut (6021/244/4.76c) 5th/124
A similar product to Barwin, Brown is not quite as athletic, but was a huge producer in college. An end most pro teams are projecting as an OLB, I think Brown would be better off staying on the line. While he’s plenty athletic, Brown has little experience in coverage and has not looked comfortable there. He’s solid guy with a special-teamer’s mentality and an NFL starter’s ability. Brown’s probably a fourth or fifth rounder at this point.
Ron Brace DT Boston College (6030/330/5.48c)
Every year at draft time, Colts fans beg and plead for a giant DT who can hold onto two blockers while the rest of the front seven work their magic. Brace fits that description. While he will only occasionally step past the line of scrimmage and is only vaguely aware of when the ball is at any time, he will tie up blockers, crush the pocket and punish any back unwary enough to tread on his turf. Whether the Colts are serious about him depends on how different Larry Coyer looks at their defense, because the old regime never would have given him the time of day. Brace — although a bit too busty for my taste — figures to be a second rounder at this point.
Mitch King DT Iowa (6014/280/4.83c)
What’s to know about this guy? On tape he looks like Steve Emtman and John Randle’s love child, and at the Combine he looks like the guy who should be carrying the players’ stuff. So is he a college overachiever or a guy who transcends his triangle numbers? Looks like it will atke a third rounder to find out.
Nick Santiago DT Syracuse (6026/279/5.03pd)
Best player on Syracuse’s defense? That’s like being the best iceberg spotter on the Titanic. But this former offensive lineman showed good explosion and hustle. He’s unlikely to be drafted, and he fits the Colts’ blueprint — don’t be surprised to see him join the team as an eighth rounder.
Zach Follett OLB California (6017/236/4.69c)
Hmm, smart tough linebacker who had 23 TFL and 10.5 sacks as a senior in a top program. And a solid citizen, you say? Motor never stops? Has his degree? Tackles like coaches tell you to? Sign us up. A lack of big-time athleticism and a nagging injury probably drags Follett down to the third round, but if he’s healthy he starts from Day 1.
Jason Williams OLB Western Illinois (6010/241/4.49pd)
Raw as sushi but blessed with all the tools, Williams is particularly good in coverage — something the Colts prize a great deal in linebackers. The kid is a project no doubt, but he seems the type who needs just one season on special before he starts. The experts have him anywhere from the fourth round to undrafted, so expect to hear his name near the start of the second day.
Alphonso Smith CB Wake Forest (5090/193/4.47c)
Here we go again, the Colts are interested in a corner ho would be all-everything if only he were two inches taller. Smith looks very much like an eventual NFL starter and will probably be chosen in the second round.
Michael Hamlin SS Clemson (6020/214/4.57c)
This kid is an awesome athlete and big hitter with NFL star ability but he never really seemed to step it up the where he could be in college. Look for him to be chosen late in the second or early in the third.
Chip Vaughn SS Wake Forest (6013/221/4.42c) 3rd/91
A big hitter who’s much better against the run and the short zones than he is in deep zones, there’s a chance that Vaughn could be an NFL linebacker in the right system. One of the best pure tacklers I have seen in many drafts — and isn’t that what defense is all about? He’s a second or third rounder depending on how things shake out.
David Bruton FS Notre Dame (6020/219/4.40c) 4th/133
Yadda, yadda, yadda, great player, great guy. Bruton is a great talent and a great prospect, but he plays an Otogwe-style centerfielder safety and I don’t know how that fits in with the Colts. Maybe this Coyer fellow has had more of an impression on Polian than I thought. At any rate you’re looking at a third rounder for Bruton and with Bob Sanders, Antoine Bethea and Melvin Bullitt already on board, I gotta wonder if that’s too big a price.
What we’ve learned:
• The Colts are looking at a lot of potential second rounders. That makes me think they know what they want in the first round already.
• They are looking at a lot of players that don’t fit the traditional Colts mode — at least physically — so changes may be coming
Mark Sanchez QB Southern California (6021/227/4.92c)
Bill Polian is doing this just to drive me crazy. Actually, even Peyton Manning will one day need a replacement, and the Colts would be wise to track one down soon. The comparisons of Sanchez to Matt Cassell are astute — he appears to have the tools to transcend his lack of experience. And where would he be better off learning than at the foot of the master? But there’s talk of him being not just a top-10 pick, but maybe the top pick overall. Maybe Polian is just putting me on after all.
Rashad Jennings RB Liberty (6010/234/4.58c4.52pd)
Oh boy, I’d like this a lot. With Dominic Rhodes unlikely to be re-signed, and Mike Hart probably sidelined until midseason, the Colts desperately need a back to go with starter Joseph Addai. They could do a whole lot worse than Jennings. He’s a top character guy, a battering ram as a runner, is a smooth and effective receiver and is a willing and talented blocker. Not only would he be a strong No. 2 back, he would also help out on that short-yardage problem that seems to have been around since Roosevelt Potts tore his ACL. He’s a second round pick, third id things get strange.
Derrick Williams WR Penn State (5114/194/4.65c)
Williams would be an intriguing pick. In college, he was feared as a receiver and return man because he could score pretty well any time he touched the ball. He had some problems with drops and was seen more as a Devin Hester-type than the second coming of Steve Smith. But then he ran like a linebacker at the Combine. It makes one wonder whether he’s a guy who can destroy opposing teams without speed, or if he was a college star who just doesn’t have the stuff to make it in the pros. My bet is that he succeeds despite his lack of timed speed. And he also has all of those intelligent, solid-citizen credentials the Colts love. Before the Combine everyone had Williams as a second rounder, but now opinions vary and I have seen some mockers exiling him to as far down as the fifth round. We’ll have a much clearer idea if he runs better on his pro day.
JaRon Harris WR South Dakota State (6003/192/4.47e)
Yeah, yeah, yeah he played at South Dakota State. So did Adam Vinateri. I realize that’s not actually pertinent, but it had to be said. But Harris actually does have potential NFL value. He’s plenty fast, strong and a gifted receiver. In his senior season he caught 70-966-11, ran for 2-98-1 and returned kicks 13-302-0; that followed up a junior season in which he caught 40-664-7 and ran 2-5-1. He looked like a man among boys out there, very much like how Pierre Garcon looked last year at Mount Union. Most media sources are saying Harris is unlikely to be drafted, but that could easily change after his pro day.
Phil Loadholt T (6076/332/5.49c5.45pd)
Immensely strong tackle prospect who will never have the feet to play on the left side, but could be a destroyer even a Pro Bowler on the right side. A good kid with a ton of upside and an ability to get to the second level quickly, Loadholt will be a great pro if he gets good coaching and understands that he needs to be more than just strong to be successful. I think it’ll take a second rounder to get him.
Connor Barwin DE Cincinnati (6035/256/4.59c)
You’re gonna hear countless comparisons to Mike Vrabel because this kid can play tight end and projects to a 3-4 OLB who can put his hand down on passing downs. But if he were to become a Colt, he’d almost certainly spend all his time at end. He’s a touch raw but everything else the Colts like at the position, not just as a player but also as a person. He’d be a great addition, but since he is expected to be drafted in the second round, he could be an expensive luxury on a team already spending a ton on its ends.
Cody Brown DE Connecticut (6021/244/4.76c) 5th/124
A similar product to Barwin, Brown is not quite as athletic, but was a huge producer in college. An end most pro teams are projecting as an OLB, I think Brown would be better off staying on the line. While he’s plenty athletic, Brown has little experience in coverage and has not looked comfortable there. He’s solid guy with a special-teamer’s mentality and an NFL starter’s ability. Brown’s probably a fourth or fifth rounder at this point.
Ron Brace DT Boston College (6030/330/5.48c)
Every year at draft time, Colts fans beg and plead for a giant DT who can hold onto two blockers while the rest of the front seven work their magic. Brace fits that description. While he will only occasionally step past the line of scrimmage and is only vaguely aware of when the ball is at any time, he will tie up blockers, crush the pocket and punish any back unwary enough to tread on his turf. Whether the Colts are serious about him depends on how different Larry Coyer looks at their defense, because the old regime never would have given him the time of day. Brace — although a bit too busty for my taste — figures to be a second rounder at this point.
Mitch King DT Iowa (6014/280/4.83c)
What’s to know about this guy? On tape he looks like Steve Emtman and John Randle’s love child, and at the Combine he looks like the guy who should be carrying the players’ stuff. So is he a college overachiever or a guy who transcends his triangle numbers? Looks like it will atke a third rounder to find out.
Nick Santiago DT Syracuse (6026/279/5.03pd)
Best player on Syracuse’s defense? That’s like being the best iceberg spotter on the Titanic. But this former offensive lineman showed good explosion and hustle. He’s unlikely to be drafted, and he fits the Colts’ blueprint — don’t be surprised to see him join the team as an eighth rounder.
Zach Follett OLB California (6017/236/4.69c)
Hmm, smart tough linebacker who had 23 TFL and 10.5 sacks as a senior in a top program. And a solid citizen, you say? Motor never stops? Has his degree? Tackles like coaches tell you to? Sign us up. A lack of big-time athleticism and a nagging injury probably drags Follett down to the third round, but if he’s healthy he starts from Day 1.
Jason Williams OLB Western Illinois (6010/241/4.49pd)
Raw as sushi but blessed with all the tools, Williams is particularly good in coverage — something the Colts prize a great deal in linebackers. The kid is a project no doubt, but he seems the type who needs just one season on special before he starts. The experts have him anywhere from the fourth round to undrafted, so expect to hear his name near the start of the second day.
Alphonso Smith CB Wake Forest (5090/193/4.47c)
Here we go again, the Colts are interested in a corner ho would be all-everything if only he were two inches taller. Smith looks very much like an eventual NFL starter and will probably be chosen in the second round.
Michael Hamlin SS Clemson (6020/214/4.57c)
This kid is an awesome athlete and big hitter with NFL star ability but he never really seemed to step it up the where he could be in college. Look for him to be chosen late in the second or early in the third.
Chip Vaughn SS Wake Forest (6013/221/4.42c) 3rd/91
A big hitter who’s much better against the run and the short zones than he is in deep zones, there’s a chance that Vaughn could be an NFL linebacker in the right system. One of the best pure tacklers I have seen in many drafts — and isn’t that what defense is all about? He’s a second or third rounder depending on how things shake out.
David Bruton FS Notre Dame (6020/219/4.40c) 4th/133
Yadda, yadda, yadda, great player, great guy. Bruton is a great talent and a great prospect, but he plays an Otogwe-style centerfielder safety and I don’t know how that fits in with the Colts. Maybe this Coyer fellow has had more of an impression on Polian than I thought. At any rate you’re looking at a third rounder for Bruton and with Bob Sanders, Antoine Bethea and Melvin Bullitt already on board, I gotta wonder if that’s too big a price.
What we’ve learned:
• The Colts are looking at a lot of potential second rounders. That makes me think they know what they want in the first round already.
• They are looking at a lot of players that don’t fit the traditional Colts mode — at least physically — so changes may be coming
Sunday, March 8, 2009
Know Your Colts: Tight Ends and H-Backs
With all that Combine and free agency stuff out of the way, lets get back to our regularly scheduled program. Let’s look at the tight ends, starting with the stats.
Percentage of passes caught
Robinson 79.17
Santi 76.92
Clark 71.96
Tamme 60.00
Yards per catch
Clark 11.01
Robinson 8.74
Santi 6.40
Tamme 4.00
Yards per target
Clark 7.93
Robinson 6.92
Santi 4.92
Tamme 2.40
Yards after the catch per catch:
Robinson 4.63
Clark 4.13
Santi 4.00
Tamme 1.60
Percentage of 1st downs and touchdowns per catch:
Clark 61.04
Santi 40.00
Tamme 33.33
Robinson 26.32
44 Dallas Clark
Numbers: 6033/257/4.65c in 03
2008 stats: 15 games played/15 games started (11-4), 77-848-6 receiving, 2-5 penalties
2008 preseason stats: 4 games played/4 games started, 6-73-0 receiving, 1-9-0 rushing
Status: Signed through 2013
Clark is one of those great, dynamic players the Colts have built upon. Although he’s not Peyton Manning’s favorite target, he is Manning’s safety net — the guy he looks for when he’s in trouble or he needs some important yards. Because the Colts prefer to play three-wide most of the time but haven’t always had a reliable third-wideout Clark has had to play frequently in the slot. So much, in fact, that FootballOutsiders has sometimes classed him as a wide receiver instead of a tight end. But they’re a little off-base — when Clark plays in the slot, he still runs those short tight end routes. The fact is, he’s a tight end playing outside, not a legitimate slot. It’s not a great solution. Not only aren’t the Colts getting great production from their third wideout, they are squandering Clark’s ridiculous skills at tight end.
47 Gijon Robinson
Numbers: 6006/255/4.71c in 07
2008 stats: 15 games played/14 games started (11-3), 19-166-0 receiving, 2-15 penalties
2008 preseason stats: 5 games played/5 games started, 8-86-0 receiving
Status: Signed through 2010
So, the undrafted guy from nowhere (actually, Missouri Western State) who nobody thought would make the roster wound up starting 14 games. Okay, maybe injuries to rookies Tamme and Santi helped that a little, but Robinson acquitted himself pretty well no matter how you slice it. He’s not a strong in-line blocker, but what tight end is these days? Instead, he’s more like a fullback — he can chip and help out at the line, but is really only effective on the move. As a receiver, Robinson is blessed with excellent hands and superb vision. But he’s not very quick off the line and does not to a great job using his hands to free himself from linebackers and safeties. Consequently, most of the times he gets open are very close to the line of scrimmage. Consider that Clark’s average catch came 6.88 yards beyond the line of scrimmage, while Robinson’s came just 4.11 yards deep. But he did show some strength, if not great elusiveness, running after the catch. As Clark is definitive of the Colts’ tight end as pumped-up wide receiver, Robinson is illustrative of the Colts’ H-back as pass-catching fullback playing closer to the line.
86 Tom Santi
Numbers: 6024/250/4.80c in 08
2008 stats: 6 games played/2 games started (1-1), 10-64-1 receiving
2008 preseason stats: 1 game played/1 game started, 1-22-0 receiving
Status: Signed through 2011
Santi was a sixth-round draft pick in 2008. That came as a major surprise to many Colts’ fans because the team had already selected Tamme in the fourth. But it actually makes sense because they are different players filling different roles. While Tamme is very much like a poor man’s version of Clark, Santi brings a skill set very similar to Robinson’s, but with more upside. The best blocker of the lot — and very effective on the move and on the second or third level — Santi also has some serious receiving skills. But like Robinson, he doesn’t offer much explosion off the line, nor straight-line speed. Although his rookie season was marred by a shoulder injury that put him on injured reserve, the arrow is definitely pointed upwards on this tough smart kid, and he could battle Robinson for the starting H-back spot this summer.
84 Jacob Tamme
Numbers: 6034/236/4.58c in 08
2008 stats: 12 games played/0 games started, 3-12-0 receiving, 1-11-0 kick return, 2 special-teams tackles, 1-10 penalty
2008 preseason stats: 4 games played/0 game started, 10-133-2 receiving, 1 tackle
Status: Signed through 2011
When the Colts drafted Tamme this year, some fans envisioned him joining the Count Manning’s Flying Circus as a full-time member. And, in the preseason, he showed some of the skills that made him a feared pass-catcher in college. But nagging injuries robbed him of any chance to be much of a contributor in the regular season. If he’s healthy — and he was plenty durable in college — Tamme has moves, agility, vision and hands of a pretty decent NFL wide receiver. The problem is, many NFL wide receivers block better than Tamme, and lots are better than him at beating the jam. Basically, it puts Tamme in between positions. If he were faster, he would fit better outside and if he were stronger, he’d fit better inside. As it stands, Tamme fits in as a back-up to Clark who can also play in motion, in the slot, at fullback and occasionally outside. Another stand-up, solid citizen type, Tamme has also shown an ability to get downfield quickly on coverage teams.
80 Jamie Petrowski
Numbers: 6037/248/4.75e in 08
2008 stats: None
2008 preseason stats: 4 games played/0 games started, 4-81-0 receiving with Tennessee
Status: Signed through 2011
You guys probably know more about this old Sycamore than I do. But I have seen him — mostly when he was a Titan in the preseason — so I know a little. Petrowski has good hands and vision, and is a some natural run-after-the catch instincts. He’s a load to bring down with the ball in his hands, but he’s not exactly Tony Gonzalez when it comes to getting open. As a blocker, he’s a big strong lad who shows potential, but not much refinement in that area. He’s sort of the odd man out in this little group because he’s more of a traditional complete tight end.
What this means for the draft and free agency
While the Colts don’t exactly have an embarrassment of wealth at tight end/H-back, they do run a very solid two-deep at both positions. And while Clark is the graybeard of the group at 29, he’s signed through 2013. Basically, this will be a very hard group for any rookie or free agent to crack.
That’s what makes it unlikely the Colts will draft a tight end, or sign one most of us have heard of. More likely, however, they will invite one or two undrafted free agents like prospects like Utah State’s Rob Myers or East Carolina’s Davon Drew to have someone around who knows the offense in case of injury. And don’t count Petrowski out too soon, either. Last year, everyone I saw this time last year gave Robinson no chance at making the squad, let alone starting. And Petrowski has — from what little I’ve seen — some skills.
Tight ends drafted since Polian took over
2008 Fourth round Jacob Tamme
2008 Sixth round Tom Santi
2004 Third round Ben Hartsock
2003 First round Dallas Clark
Contract information courtest ColtsCap.net
Percentage of passes caught
Robinson 79.17
Santi 76.92
Clark 71.96
Tamme 60.00
Yards per catch
Clark 11.01
Robinson 8.74
Santi 6.40
Tamme 4.00
Yards per target
Clark 7.93
Robinson 6.92
Santi 4.92
Tamme 2.40
Yards after the catch per catch:
Robinson 4.63
Clark 4.13
Santi 4.00
Tamme 1.60
Percentage of 1st downs and touchdowns per catch:
Clark 61.04
Santi 40.00
Tamme 33.33
Robinson 26.32
44 Dallas Clark
Numbers: 6033/257/4.65c in 03
2008 stats: 15 games played/15 games started (11-4), 77-848-6 receiving, 2-5 penalties
2008 preseason stats: 4 games played/4 games started, 6-73-0 receiving, 1-9-0 rushing
Status: Signed through 2013
Clark is one of those great, dynamic players the Colts have built upon. Although he’s not Peyton Manning’s favorite target, he is Manning’s safety net — the guy he looks for when he’s in trouble or he needs some important yards. Because the Colts prefer to play three-wide most of the time but haven’t always had a reliable third-wideout Clark has had to play frequently in the slot. So much, in fact, that FootballOutsiders has sometimes classed him as a wide receiver instead of a tight end. But they’re a little off-base — when Clark plays in the slot, he still runs those short tight end routes. The fact is, he’s a tight end playing outside, not a legitimate slot. It’s not a great solution. Not only aren’t the Colts getting great production from their third wideout, they are squandering Clark’s ridiculous skills at tight end.
47 Gijon Robinson
Numbers: 6006/255/4.71c in 07
2008 stats: 15 games played/14 games started (11-3), 19-166-0 receiving, 2-15 penalties
2008 preseason stats: 5 games played/5 games started, 8-86-0 receiving
Status: Signed through 2010
So, the undrafted guy from nowhere (actually, Missouri Western State) who nobody thought would make the roster wound up starting 14 games. Okay, maybe injuries to rookies Tamme and Santi helped that a little, but Robinson acquitted himself pretty well no matter how you slice it. He’s not a strong in-line blocker, but what tight end is these days? Instead, he’s more like a fullback — he can chip and help out at the line, but is really only effective on the move. As a receiver, Robinson is blessed with excellent hands and superb vision. But he’s not very quick off the line and does not to a great job using his hands to free himself from linebackers and safeties. Consequently, most of the times he gets open are very close to the line of scrimmage. Consider that Clark’s average catch came 6.88 yards beyond the line of scrimmage, while Robinson’s came just 4.11 yards deep. But he did show some strength, if not great elusiveness, running after the catch. As Clark is definitive of the Colts’ tight end as pumped-up wide receiver, Robinson is illustrative of the Colts’ H-back as pass-catching fullback playing closer to the line.
86 Tom Santi
Numbers: 6024/250/4.80c in 08
2008 stats: 6 games played/2 games started (1-1), 10-64-1 receiving
2008 preseason stats: 1 game played/1 game started, 1-22-0 receiving
Status: Signed through 2011
Santi was a sixth-round draft pick in 2008. That came as a major surprise to many Colts’ fans because the team had already selected Tamme in the fourth. But it actually makes sense because they are different players filling different roles. While Tamme is very much like a poor man’s version of Clark, Santi brings a skill set very similar to Robinson’s, but with more upside. The best blocker of the lot — and very effective on the move and on the second or third level — Santi also has some serious receiving skills. But like Robinson, he doesn’t offer much explosion off the line, nor straight-line speed. Although his rookie season was marred by a shoulder injury that put him on injured reserve, the arrow is definitely pointed upwards on this tough smart kid, and he could battle Robinson for the starting H-back spot this summer.
84 Jacob Tamme
Numbers: 6034/236/4.58c in 08
2008 stats: 12 games played/0 games started, 3-12-0 receiving, 1-11-0 kick return, 2 special-teams tackles, 1-10 penalty
2008 preseason stats: 4 games played/0 game started, 10-133-2 receiving, 1 tackle
Status: Signed through 2011
When the Colts drafted Tamme this year, some fans envisioned him joining the Count Manning’s Flying Circus as a full-time member. And, in the preseason, he showed some of the skills that made him a feared pass-catcher in college. But nagging injuries robbed him of any chance to be much of a contributor in the regular season. If he’s healthy — and he was plenty durable in college — Tamme has moves, agility, vision and hands of a pretty decent NFL wide receiver. The problem is, many NFL wide receivers block better than Tamme, and lots are better than him at beating the jam. Basically, it puts Tamme in between positions. If he were faster, he would fit better outside and if he were stronger, he’d fit better inside. As it stands, Tamme fits in as a back-up to Clark who can also play in motion, in the slot, at fullback and occasionally outside. Another stand-up, solid citizen type, Tamme has also shown an ability to get downfield quickly on coverage teams.
80 Jamie Petrowski
Numbers: 6037/248/4.75e in 08
2008 stats: None
2008 preseason stats: 4 games played/0 games started, 4-81-0 receiving with Tennessee
Status: Signed through 2011
You guys probably know more about this old Sycamore than I do. But I have seen him — mostly when he was a Titan in the preseason — so I know a little. Petrowski has good hands and vision, and is a some natural run-after-the catch instincts. He’s a load to bring down with the ball in his hands, but he’s not exactly Tony Gonzalez when it comes to getting open. As a blocker, he’s a big strong lad who shows potential, but not much refinement in that area. He’s sort of the odd man out in this little group because he’s more of a traditional complete tight end.
What this means for the draft and free agency
While the Colts don’t exactly have an embarrassment of wealth at tight end/H-back, they do run a very solid two-deep at both positions. And while Clark is the graybeard of the group at 29, he’s signed through 2013. Basically, this will be a very hard group for any rookie or free agent to crack.
That’s what makes it unlikely the Colts will draft a tight end, or sign one most of us have heard of. More likely, however, they will invite one or two undrafted free agents like prospects like Utah State’s Rob Myers or East Carolina’s Davon Drew to have someone around who knows the offense in case of injury. And don’t count Petrowski out too soon, either. Last year, everyone I saw this time last year gave Robinson no chance at making the squad, let alone starting. And Petrowski has — from what little I’ve seen — some skills.
Tight ends drafted since Polian took over
2008 Fourth round Jacob Tamme
2008 Sixth round Tom Santi
2004 Third round Ben Hartsock
2003 First round Dallas Clark
Contract information courtest ColtsCap.net
Tuesday, March 3, 2009
Out on a limb
Here are some things ColtPlay has learned about Bill Polian’s drafts:
• One or two picks might be short, but none will be fat
• They may not all have the best 40-yard dashes, but most will be among their position’s leaders at the vertical jump
• Few if any will be considered “character risks,” and if they are, that assessment will have been made over one or two incidents, not a consistent type of behavior
• Few in the media will correctly guess the Colts first pick — it’s only happened twice since Polian has taken over, with Rob Morris in 2000 and Joseph Addai in 2007
• Most of the Colts’ picks will be players the media predicted would be picked many picks later — the only guy I remember the Colts taking later than expected was Mike Doss (second round, 2003), and we all know how that worked out
• Enhancing Peyton Manning’s overall effectiveness is always a factor when it comes to first-day picks
• Many will be more intelligent than the average draftee, and with more diverse interests
• Some will be coming off a bad senior year after an outstanding junior year, or will be one-year wonders as seniors
• Fewer will be underclassmen than most teams’ drafts
So with that in mind, here’s the first of what will probably be many mock drafts from ColtPlay this year:
1. Kenny Britt WR Rutgers 6027/218/4.50c
Yeah, the big guy. Britt is not just a big productive receiver but is a real load to bring down after the catch and is also a strong blocker. He could start his career in the slot and eventually move outside. Reminds me a lot of Dwayne Bowe, but with better hands.
2. Jarron Gilbert DT San Jose State 6052/288/4.87c
Lots of teams project him as a 3-4 end, but I like him inside. He has a lot to learn, but is such an excellent athlete that he’s too hard to pass up at this spot. Has a chance to be an absolute destroyer.
3. Xavier Fulton T Illinois 6042/302/5.01c
Yeah, I know all of his drawbacks, but anyone with the athletic potential to be a star NFL left tackle deserves a look. Fulton is a lot like Tony Ugoh (for whom the Colts traded their 2008 first-round pick to select in 2007’s second round), but may be an even better athlete and is certainly more dedicated to his craft.
4. Stephen Hodge S TCU 5115/234/4.58c
I know he’s listed as a safety, but he played more like a linebacker at TCU and compares favorably with former Colts’ star Cato June. Even if he doesn’t develop into a starter — though I bet he will — he was a special-teams demon in college and projects to be one in the pros as well.
5. Ian Johnson RB Boise State 5112/212/4.46c
Am I caught up the college hype and the Cinderfella story that was Boise State? I don’t think so. All Johnson did in college was produce, and critics kept looking for ways to bring him down. They say he wasn’t fast enough. Really? He was the second-fastest back at the Combine. They say he’s no athlete. Is that so? Because he aced all the other drills too. Johnson reminds me a lot of Mike Hart — only with speed. Polian loves backs with that special, indefinable something, and Johnson has it.
6. Jarett Dillard WR Rice 5102/191/4.54c
This year’s ridiculous athlete who the Colts will try to nurture into a player. Can contribute immediately as a returner, and has tremendous upside as a receiver.
6. Justin Brantley P Texas A&M 6031/249/5.00e
Big-legged punter could also take over kickoff job.
7. Jason Williams OLB Western Illinois 6010/241/4.59u
Small-school hit-and-run ’backer has a chance to be a real contributor.
• One or two picks might be short, but none will be fat
• They may not all have the best 40-yard dashes, but most will be among their position’s leaders at the vertical jump
• Few if any will be considered “character risks,” and if they are, that assessment will have been made over one or two incidents, not a consistent type of behavior
• Few in the media will correctly guess the Colts first pick — it’s only happened twice since Polian has taken over, with Rob Morris in 2000 and Joseph Addai in 2007
• Most of the Colts’ picks will be players the media predicted would be picked many picks later — the only guy I remember the Colts taking later than expected was Mike Doss (second round, 2003), and we all know how that worked out
• Enhancing Peyton Manning’s overall effectiveness is always a factor when it comes to first-day picks
• Many will be more intelligent than the average draftee, and with more diverse interests
• Some will be coming off a bad senior year after an outstanding junior year, or will be one-year wonders as seniors
• Fewer will be underclassmen than most teams’ drafts
So with that in mind, here’s the first of what will probably be many mock drafts from ColtPlay this year:
1. Kenny Britt WR Rutgers 6027/218/4.50c
Yeah, the big guy. Britt is not just a big productive receiver but is a real load to bring down after the catch and is also a strong blocker. He could start his career in the slot and eventually move outside. Reminds me a lot of Dwayne Bowe, but with better hands.
2. Jarron Gilbert DT San Jose State 6052/288/4.87c
Lots of teams project him as a 3-4 end, but I like him inside. He has a lot to learn, but is such an excellent athlete that he’s too hard to pass up at this spot. Has a chance to be an absolute destroyer.
3. Xavier Fulton T Illinois 6042/302/5.01c
Yeah, I know all of his drawbacks, but anyone with the athletic potential to be a star NFL left tackle deserves a look. Fulton is a lot like Tony Ugoh (for whom the Colts traded their 2008 first-round pick to select in 2007’s second round), but may be an even better athlete and is certainly more dedicated to his craft.
4. Stephen Hodge S TCU 5115/234/4.58c
I know he’s listed as a safety, but he played more like a linebacker at TCU and compares favorably with former Colts’ star Cato June. Even if he doesn’t develop into a starter — though I bet he will — he was a special-teams demon in college and projects to be one in the pros as well.
5. Ian Johnson RB Boise State 5112/212/4.46c
Am I caught up the college hype and the Cinderfella story that was Boise State? I don’t think so. All Johnson did in college was produce, and critics kept looking for ways to bring him down. They say he wasn’t fast enough. Really? He was the second-fastest back at the Combine. They say he’s no athlete. Is that so? Because he aced all the other drills too. Johnson reminds me a lot of Mike Hart — only with speed. Polian loves backs with that special, indefinable something, and Johnson has it.
6. Jarett Dillard WR Rice 5102/191/4.54c
This year’s ridiculous athlete who the Colts will try to nurture into a player. Can contribute immediately as a returner, and has tremendous upside as a receiver.
6. Justin Brantley P Texas A&M 6031/249/5.00e
Big-legged punter could also take over kickoff job.
7. Jason Williams OLB Western Illinois 6010/241/4.59u
Small-school hit-and-run ’backer has a chance to be a real contributor.
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