Friday, September 7, 2012

Midweek notes

Here's what the official injury report had to say for the Colts today:

Pat Angerer LB Did Not Participate in Practice
Coltplay says: No surprise.

Austin Collie WR Full Participation in Practice
Coltplay says: I'm worried about his long-term health, and I'm sure the Colts will be very careful with him, especially early in the season. That is, if he even plays.

Delone Carter RB Limited Participation in Practice 
Coltplay says:

T.Y. Hilton WR Limited Participation in Practice
Coltplay says: Hmmm, not good, especially with Collie likely to be treated with kid gloves after all we know about his head issues. Hilton's development has already been delayed with injuries, so it's sad to see them continue.

Jerraud Powers CB Full Participation in Practice
Coltplay says: Whew. Without him, the secondary is a mess.

Cory Redding DE Full Participation in Practice
Coltplay says: Great, he's the veteran presence the line desperately needs.

Joe Reitz G Did Not Participate in Practice
Coltplay says: Uh oh, with Linkenbach moved back to tackle it's likely that human turnstile Seth Olsen will take his place.

Football Outsiders makes projections for selected skill-position players every year. This is what they think the Colts will do:

QB*
Chandler Harnish No prediction
Andrew Luck 497-307-3,543-18-17 passing 65-267-2 rushing
Drew Stanton 463-271-3,149-11-12 passing 43-50-2 rushing
Coltplay says: I think Luck will do somewhat better and Stanton, in the same position, somewhat worse.
*Unlike other positions, Football Outsiders' predictions for QBs assumes they'll start all 16 games.

HB
Vick Ballard No prediction
Donald Brown 184-752-4 rushing 20-246-1 receiving
Delone Carter 119-355-3 rushing 7-52-0 receiving
Mewelde Moore 33-120-1 rushing 20-154-0 receiving
Coltplay says: Brown's and Carter's numbers seem depressingly accurate, while Moore's befit a veteran third-down back. Although they had no prediction for Ballard (who I see contributing 250-300 yards rushing and perhaps a couple dozen receiving), they thought since-cut Deji Karim would chip in 29-94-0 rushing and 14-120-0 receiving.


WR
Kris Adams No prediction
Donnie Avery 16-226-1 receiving
LaVon Brazill No prediction
Austin Collie 54-607-2 receiving
T.Y. Hilton 14-161-1 receiving
Reggie Wayne 62-848-4 receiving
Coltplay says: Harsh. Football Outsiders has a major hate-on for Avery, judging him solely (it seems) on his poor performance with Tennessee last season. Those are good numbers for Collie if his head stays on, but Wayne will do better than that.

TE
Dwayne Allen 33-357-2 receiving
Coby Fleener 53-706-5 receiving
Dominique Jones No prediction
Coltplay says: A little ambitious for Fleener, I think, and a little mean for Allen.

In other news, the Colts waived CB Brandon King, DE James Aiono and S Mike Newton from injured reserve. None appeared to be part of the team's future.

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